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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 78-80
16-15 24-26 17-17 21-22
Position#11
Record6-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#12
Record6-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2018
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A15/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A18/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H25/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
A16/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
28-30
14-20
30-23
31-11
13-23
16-26
24-21
27-26
20-17
26-25
20-22
25-24
17-29
12-21
26-16
11-20
18-15
27-20
20-20
23-18
8-22
27-20
20-23
22-20
18-28
23-23
23-23
18-18
26-18
20-16
37-22
21-15
19-25
18-27
27-25
21-18
24-23
23-22
23-28
176.5Avg total
88.8Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.185.7171.8+0.450%
Season at home (6)85.287.5172.7-2.350%
Season away (6)87.083.8170.8+3.250%
Last 10 (10)88.887.7176.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)91.489.8181.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.088.2172.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.285.0172.2+2.275%
vs Weaker (17)91.279.9171.2+11.382%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H16/11
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A18/11
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
71-95
71
95
-24
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A09/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H16/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
17-26
25-21
14-16
21-19
15-16
25-17
20-14
15-15
12-16
16-14
19-27
21-17
25-25
15-20
28-12
21-16
25-24
21-25
27-14
17-27
12-20
26-20
16-28
16-16
15-12
23-22
18-15
25-22
26-13
10-15
21-16
18-12
28-26
17-23
25-23
23-19
22-24
24-14
14-24
157.6Avg total
80.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.280.3160.5-0.250%
Season at home (8)80.678.0158.6+2.662%
Season away (4)79.285.0164.2-5.825%
Last 10 (10)80.177.5157.6+2.670%
Last 5 (5)79.278.2157.4+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.090.3168.3-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.378.7160.0+2.664%
vs Weaker (12)90.172.7162.8+17.4100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A15/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A18/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H25/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A16/12
Lega A
83.5Avg total
41.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.782.7+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.341.986.2+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.037.779.7+4.369%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.983.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.081.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.539.082.5+4.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.141.581.6-1.450%-
vs Weaker (17)44.839.584.4+5.371%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H16/11
Euroleague
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/11
BBL
Olympiacos
#6
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A09/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/12
BBL
79.2Avg total
39.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.581.1+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.637.581.1+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)41.539.881.2+1.762%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.579.2+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.278.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.750.392.0-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.936.676.6+3.364%-
vs Weaker (12)44.738.182.8+6.683%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.5
51.5%
52.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.1
40.1%
37.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.8
77.8%
76.7%16.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.2
53.9%
52.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.28.0
39.6%
37.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.911.9
79.9%
76.7%11.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLLWLWWW
Bayern
WWWWLWWLWL
#11
League position
#12
+4.4
Net rating
+2.9
116.9
Offensive rating
115.1
112.5
Defensive rating
112.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
40.1%
3-point %
39.6%
57.4%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 115.1Defence112.5 · 112.3Shooting55.3% · 55.7%3-point %40.1% · 39.6%Ball care15.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
03/12/14Olimpia Milano v Bayern83-81
31/10/14Bayern v Olimpia Milano74-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18ASassari107-106 OT
13/12/18AFenerbahce85-92
09/12/18ACantu101-74
06/12/18HGran Canaria86-94
29/11/18AZalgiris Kaunas78-83
25/11/18HCremona76-75
23/11/18ABarcelona80-90
21/11/18HBaskonia93-90
18/11/18AVenezia84-81
15/11/18ADarussafaka98-92
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18HAlba Berlin83-81
14/12/18HZalgiris Kaunas88-84
09/12/18AJena82-66
06/12/18HKhimki M.72-65
29/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-95
25/11/18HGiessen94-79
22/11/18AGran Canaria89-74
20/11/18HOlympiacos62-72
18/11/18AMitteldeutscher81-66
16/11/18HCSKA Moscow79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.185.287.0
Allowed / game85.787.583.8
Point differential+0.4-2.3+3.2
Avg total171.8172.7170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %50%62%25%
Points / game80.280.679.2
Allowed / game80.378.085.0
Point differential-0.2+2.6-5.8
Avg total160.5158.6164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1312192%84.676.3+8.3
2 Real Madrid1210283%89.877.9+11.9
3 CSKA Moscow1310377%87.881.8+6.0
4 Anadolu Efes139469%87.981.1+6.8
5 Olympiacos138562%79.776.8+2.8
6 Olimpia Milano126650%86.185.7+0.4
7 Panathinaikos126650%78.878.6+0.2
8 Bayern126650%80.280.3-0.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas136746%82.781.8+0.8
10 Baskonia136746%81.381.2+0.1
11 Barcelona136746%75.878.2-2.4
12 Gran Canaria135838%82.288.8-6.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv134931%77.279.2-2.0
14 Khimki M.134931%77.280.2-3.1
15 Buducnost1331023%71.983.2-11.3
16 Darussafaka131128%75.085.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1624172178
Bayern1526172280
← all games of the day
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