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Panathinaikos vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-86
23-21 17-26 16-17 27-22
Position#7
Record6-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.4
Panathinaikos
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Position#11
Record6-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game85.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2018
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano
27 Oct 2026
PAO80
MIL75
06 Jan 2026
PAO74
MIL87
17 Dec 2024
PAO103
MIL74
31 Jan 2024
PAO79
MIL62
08 Dec 2022
PAO90
MIL77
04 Mar 2022
PAO75
MIL76
01 Apr 2021
PAO86
MIL83
21 Dec 2018
PAO83
MIL86
15 Dec 2017
PAO80
MIL72
21 Mar 2017
PAO74
MIL61
07 Nov 2014
PAO90
MIL63
02 Jan 2014
PAO73
MIL57
23 Feb 2012
PAO58
MIL67
22 Dec 2010
PAO93
MIL62
03 Dec 2009
PAO80
MIL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
62-78
62
78
-16
89avg 104
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
H18/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
105avg 104
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
93avg 104
A23/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
68-76
68
76
-8
92avg 104
A30/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
92avg 104
H07/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
101avg 104
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
A16/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
85avg 104
A19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
17-25
18-16
16-18
15-14
17-15
23-22
24-19
13-10
21-15
21-25
21-20
12-20
20-24
23-29
22-13
25-29
19-19
7-11
17-17
12-18
21-17
19-21
17-25
21-18
22-21
26-17
11-19
22-16
21-16
14-21
18-14
19-11
29-20
21-25
24-27
10-23
21-20
24-20
13-26
152.2Avg total
74.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.979.4157.3-1.546%
Season at home (7)83.979.4163.3+4.471%
Season away (6)71.079.3150.3-8.317%
Last 10 (10)74.777.5152.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)77.079.0156.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.382.7149.0-16.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.780.4161.1+0.343%
vs Weaker (20)84.070.6154.6+13.490%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
143avg 116
A18/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
121avg 116
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
103avg 116
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
W
76-75
76
75
+1
136avg 116
H25/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
118avg 116
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
189avg 116
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
112avg 116
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
no box
A16/12
Lega A
Bayern
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
103avg 116
H19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-11
13-23
16-26
24-21
27-26
20-17
26-25
20-22
25-24
17-29
12-21
26-16
11-20
18-15
27-20
20-20
23-18
8-22
27-20
20-23
22-20
18-28
23-23
23-23
18-18
26-18
20-16
37-22
21-15
19-25
18-27
27-25
21-18
24-23
23-22
23-28
16-15
24-26
17-17
21-22
173.3Avg total
86.8Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.585.2170.7+0.246%
Season at home (7)84.186.4170.6-2.343%
Season away (6)87.083.8170.8+3.250%
Last 10 (10)86.886.5173.3+0.350%
Last 5 (5)91.489.2180.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.088.2172.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.284.4170.7+1.867%
vs Weaker (16)90.879.6170.4+11.281%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
PanathinaikosOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H18/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A16/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A19/12
Euroleague
73.8Avg total
36.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.977.6+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.234.075.2+7.269%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.380.3-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.073.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.075.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.740.771.3-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.742.080.7-3.343%-
vs Weaker (20)42.834.677.4+8.270%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A18/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H25/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A16/12
Lega A
Bayern
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/12
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
40.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.982.7+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.842.486.2+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)42.037.779.7+4.369%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.181.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.283.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.539.082.5+4.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.141.481.6-1.344%-
vs Weaker (16)44.739.984.6+4.869%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.3
52.5%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.2
29.5%
37.0%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
76.7%14.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.4
49.2%
52.7%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.8
39.9%
37.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.617.7
78.3%
76.7%17.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWWLLLWWL
Olimpia Milano
LWLWLLWLWW
#7
League position
#11
-2.4
Net rating
+0.8
106.0
Offensive rating
114.6
108.4
Defensive rating
113.8
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.5%
3-point %
39.9%
52.7%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 114.6Defence108.4 · 113.8Shooting49.7% · 53.8%3-point %29.5% · 39.9%Ball care14.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.8% · 31.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Panathinaikos wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
05/04/18Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos95-96 OT
15/12/17Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano80-72
21/03/17Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano74-61
21/12/16Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos72-86
11/12/14Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos66-64
07/11/14Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano90-63
27/02/14Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos77-75
02/01/14Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano73-57
23/02/12Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano58-67
19/01/12Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos57-78
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18AReal Madrid68-89
16/12/18APAOK93-83
14/12/18HDarussafaka75-67
10/12/18HPeristeri80-75
07/12/18HFenerbahce69-81
30/11/18AKhimki M.68-76
23/11/18ABaskonia77-86
21/11/18HBarcelona76-70
18/11/18HOlympiacos79-70
16/11/18AAnadolu Efes62-78
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18HBayern78-80
16/12/18ASassari107-106 OT
13/12/18AFenerbahce85-92
09/12/18ACantu101-74
06/12/18HGran Canaria86-94
29/11/18AZalgiris Kaunas78-83
25/11/18HCremona76-75
23/11/18ABarcelona80-90
21/11/18HBaskonia93-90
18/11/18AVenezia84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%71%17%
Points / game77.983.971.0
Allowed / game79.479.479.3
Point differential-1.5+4.4-8.3
Avg total157.3163.3150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%43%50%
Points / game85.584.187.0
Allowed / game85.286.483.8
Point differential+0.2-2.3+3.2
Avg total170.7170.6170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1413193%84.975.5+9.4
2 Real Madrid1311285%89.877.2+12.6
3 CSKA Moscow1411379%88.881.9+6.9
4 Anadolu Efes149564%87.682.6+5.1
5 Olympiacos149564%81.076.9+4.1
6 Bayern137654%80.280.2+0.0
7 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%82.581.2+1.3
8 Barcelona147750%75.977.6-1.7
9 Olimpia Milano136746%85.585.2+0.2
10 Panathinaikos136746%77.979.4-1.5
11 Baskonia146843%80.580.9-0.4
12 Khimki M.145936%77.780.5-2.8
13 Gran Canaria145936%81.889.4-7.6
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%76.979.2-2.4
15 Buducnost1431121%71.483.6-12.2
16 Darussafaka141137%75.685.9-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2317162783
Olimpia Milano2126172286
← all games of the day
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