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Oliveirense vs CD Povoa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Oliveirense
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#11
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2025
Meetings · Oliveirense v CD Povoa
03 Apr 2027
OLIV v CD P
upcoming
29 Dec 2024
OLIV92
CD P53
30 Nov 2024
OLIV v CD P
upcoming
17 May 2024
OLIV78
CD P69
11 May 2024
OLIV78
CD P65
14 Feb 2024
OLIV86
CD P83
01 Dec 2023
OLIV104
CD P75
03 Dec 2022
OLIV74
CD P70
09 Oct 2021
OLIV88
CD P67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
80avg 74
H17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
55-100
55
100
-45
43avg 74
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
61avg 74
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
57avg 74
H27/05
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
95-61
95
61
+34
84avg 74
A19/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
88avg 74
H25/10
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
90-60
90
60
+30
88avg 74
H02/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
95-98
95
98
-3
85avg 74
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 74
H16/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
72avg 74
A30/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
26-19
16-21
21-14
16-24
5-28
23-21
11-27
18-22
16-24
18-21
17-24
14-20
17-15
16-26
17-16
23-15
23-20
25-12
24-14
27-22
21-18
22-24
23-12
23-14
20-15
21-17
26-14
20-21
27-21
23-23
25-33
18-18
27-23
21-21
27-15
15-17
16-26
18-25
26-25
160.9Avg total
80.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.780.2160.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)89.280.8170.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.683.9154.5-13.225%
vs Similar (5)80.884.4165.2-3.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.571.8157.3+13.888%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 70
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
82avg 70
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
47avg 70
A11/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 70
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 70
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
71-76
71
76
-5
53avg 70
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 70
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 70
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
65avg 70
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
82avg 70
H16/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-22
25-34
15-21
21-34
23-19
20-18
18-17
21-22
10-21
12-21
22-14
22-11
25-26
23-25
15-22
15-15
19-26
21-16
14-21
29-20
18-24
11-19
13-13
18-15
19-17
13-20
14-24
23-24
16-18
22-23
8-10
21-24
23-13
12-18
21-20
26-16
15-23
19-16
21-17
154.3Avg total
74.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.080.3154.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)72.474.8147.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.185.1161.2-9.131%
vs Similar (5)78.280.4158.6-2.260%
vs Weaker (8)86.078.8164.8+7.275%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
OliveirenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
21-52
21
52
-31
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H27/05
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A19/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/10
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H02/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H16/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A30/11
LPB
78.4Avg total
38.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.377.7+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.237.877.0+1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)39.538.978.4+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.778.4-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.081.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.943.077.9-8.125%-
vs Similar (5)38.838.477.2+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.636.177.7+5.665%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A11/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/11
LPB
81.5Avg total
40.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.481.3-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.539.681.1+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.543.081.5-4.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.481.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.142.180.1-4.038%-
vs Similar (5)41.239.080.2+2.280%-
vs Weaker (8)42.141.283.4+0.950%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.5
49.6%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.6
34.8%
34.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.516.1
78.5%
68.1%16.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.816.1
43.8%
51.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.116.1
66.8%
68.1%16.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
LWLWWWLLLW
CD Povoa
WWLLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#11
+0.9
Net rating
-8.6
104.9
Offensive rating
97.1
104.0
Defensive rating
105.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
45.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
21.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.8%
3-point %
32.3%
63.8%
Assist %
61.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 97.1Defence104.0 · 105.8Shooting50.7% · 45.7%3-point %34.8% · 32.3%Ball care21.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds32.7% · 28.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Oliveirense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Oliveirense wins
4
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
17/05/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa78-69
14/05/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense85-84
11/05/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa78-65
13/04/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense90-81
14/02/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa86-83 OT
01/12/23Oliveirense v CD Povoa104-75
18/02/23CD Povoa v Oliveirense71-61
03/12/22Oliveirense v CD Povoa74-70
29/12/21CD Povoa v Oliveirense76-70
09/10/21Oliveirense v CD Povoa88-67
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ABenfica75-93
16/11/24HEsgueira93-77
09/11/24AFC Porto95-98
02/11/24HImortal90-60
25/10/24HVitoria93-76
19/10/24AGalomar95-61
27/05/24HBenfica64-77
24/05/24ABenfica69-91
22/05/24ABenfica55-100
17/05/24HCD Povoa78-69
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HGalomar81-72
09/11/24AGalitos Barreiro77-75
02/11/24HOvarense69-75
26/10/24AFC Porto64-76
19/10/24ACA Queluz71-76
17/05/24AOliveirense69-78
14/05/24HOliveirense85-84
11/05/24AOliveirense65-78
27/04/24HEsgueira82-88
20/04/24ABenfica77-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
CD Povoa
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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