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CD Povoa vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 90-81
18-21 25-21 25-19 22-20
Position#6
Record11-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.4
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Oliveirense
Portugal
Position#3
Record14-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game74.1
PortugalLPBRound 20· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2023-24
Meetings · CD Povoa v Oliveirense
05 Dec 2026
CD P v OLIV
upcoming
19 Apr 2025
CD P61
OLIV68
14 May 2024
CD P85
OLIV84
13 Apr 2024
CD P90
OLIV81
18 Feb 2023
CD P71
OLIV61
29 Dec 2021
CD P76
OLIV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
85avg 74
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 74
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 74
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
99-87
99
87
+12
86avg 74
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
74avg 74
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 74
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
66avg 74
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 74
A06/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
13-21
22-22
30-16
20-27
23-29
21-20
17-31
16-18
19-23
29-16
23-19
19-19
25-16
22-20
10-21
17-22
15-19
24-16
23-21
25-23
24-26
28-13
22-25
28-29
17-31
22-19
19-24
13-16
19-12
15-21
28-24
12-13
26-19
21-32
13-23
28-22
8-24
14-8
24-18
167.4Avg total
82.4Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.983.4165.3-1.458%
Season at home (9)79.683.9163.4-4.344%
Season away (10)84.182.9167.0+1.270%
Last 10 (10)82.485.0167.4-2.660%
Last 5 (5)81.284.4165.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.091.8167.8-15.815%
vs Similar (4)79.581.2160.8-1.875%
vs Weaker (12)86.676.2162.8+10.375%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 78
A27/01
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 78
H03/02
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 78
H10/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
74-55
74
55
+19
70avg 78
A01/03
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 78
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
54avg 78
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 78
A16/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 78
A22/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
98-64
98
64
+34
102avg 78
H06/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
21-12
16-16
24-14
23-25
30-22
15-19
22-20
25-15
13-25
23-13
19-20
19-19
16-25
20-22
21-10
16-10
22-15
22-9
14-21
25-9
16-13
23-18
15-24
18-21
14-20
17-16
24-19
22-17
22-21
21-21
33-24
27-22
17-19
17-15
24-17
23-15
25-22
24-20
26-7
156.7Avg total
84.1Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.174.1155.2+6.974%
Season at home (10)83.777.8161.5+5.970%
Season away (9)78.170.0148.1+8.178%
Last 10 (10)84.172.6156.7+11.590%
Last 5 (5)86.672.0158.6+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.879.9158.6-1.162%
vs Similar (4)77.281.5158.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.568.9151.4+13.688%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +4.6+4.6
CD PovoaOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A06/04
LPB
82.1Avg total
39.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.081.7-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.839.879.6+0.053%-
Last 30 away (15)39.644.283.8-4.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.182.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.446.482.8-10.015%-
vs Similar (4)40.038.278.2+1.875%-
vs Weaker (12)42.838.381.1+4.467%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/01
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H03/02
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A01/03
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A16/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A22/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/04
LPB
78.5Avg total
41.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.277.2+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.038.880.8+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.035.773.7+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.478.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.877.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.242.083.2-0.850%-
vs Similar (4)36.042.878.8-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.134.275.3+6.965%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.5
51.4%
51.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws27.917.1
61.3%
69.3%17.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.5
54.6%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.0
38.8%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.8
74.4%
69.3%14.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WLWLWWLWLW
Oliveirense
WWWLWWWWWW
#6
League position
#3
+0.9
Net rating
+17.0
104.0
Offensive rating
109.6
103.1
Defensive rating
92.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
56.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
22.1%
Turnover %
21.4%
38.4%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.9%
3-point %
38.8%
51.9%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 109.6Defence103.1 · 92.6Shooting50.2% · 56.1%3-point %31.9% · 38.8%Ball care22.1% · 21.4%Off. rebounds38.4% · 29.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CD Povoa wins
4
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa86-83 OT
01/12/23Oliveirense v CD Povoa104-75
18/02/23CD Povoa v Oliveirense71-61
03/12/22Oliveirense v CD Povoa74-70
29/12/21CD Povoa v Oliveirense76-70
09/10/21Oliveirense v CD Povoa88-67
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24APortimonense74-72
30/03/24HBenfica72-87
23/03/24HVitoria75-73
16/03/24ABenfica86-103
09/03/24HLusitania99-87
02/03/24ASporting CP79-78
14/02/24AOliveirense83-86 OT
10/02/24HOvarense87-76
04/02/24AGalomar81-107
03/02/24AGalomar88-81
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HLusitania98-64
22/03/24ASporting CP85-73
16/03/24ALusitania98-83
09/03/24HOvarense73-76
03/03/24AGalomar79-64
01/03/24AGalomar74-55
14/02/24HCD Povoa86-83 OT
10/02/24HImortal80-73
03/02/24HFC Porto90-86
27/01/24AEsgueira78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeLLWWW44%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%44%70%
Points / game81.979.684.1
Allowed / game83.483.982.9
Point differential-1.4-4.3+1.2
Avg total165.3163.4167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %16%22%10%
Oliveirense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayWLWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%70%78%
Points / game81.183.778.1
Allowed / game74.177.870.0
Point differential+6.9+5.9+8.1
Avg total155.2161.5148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%30%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1916384%88.675.2+13.4
2 Benfica1915479%88.569.4+19.1
3 Oliveirense1914574%81.174.1+6.9
4 Sporting CP1913668%90.280.8+9.4
5 Ovarense1911858%79.978.9+1.1
6 CD Povoa1911858%81.983.4-1.4
7 Vitoria1991047%80.379.6+0.7
8 Imortal1981142%78.683.3-4.7
9 Portimonense1961332%71.978.7-6.8
10 Galomar1951426%73.780.2-6.5
11 Esgueira1951426%72.985.7-12.8
12 Lusitania191185%73.591.9-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa1825252290
Oliveirense2121192081
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