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Esgueira vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 69-78
27-17 12-21 16-16 14-24
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game65.5
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2024
Meetings · Esgueira v Oliveirense
30 Jan 2027
ESGU v OLIV
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
ESGU93
OLIV88
15 Mar 2025
ESGU78
OLIV66
17 Dec 2024
ESGU88
OLIV96
27 Jan 2024
ESGU69
OLIV78
30 Sep 2023
ESGU62
OLIV74
17 Dec 2022
ESGU77
OLIV73
03 Apr 2021
ESGU68
OLIV82
01 Nov 2019
ESGU69
OLIV78
08 Mar 2019
ESGU74
OLIV86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
57avg 64
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 64
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
56avg 64
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-105
68
105
-37
56avg 64
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
78-66
78
66
+12
79avg 64
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 64
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 64
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
84avg 64
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 64
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 64
A20/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
20-26
13-24
17-13
28-21
24-16
16-16
16-21
20-15
15-28
19-18
17-14
18-24
9-33
21-27
20-21
23-29
22-7
13-16
20-14
21-16
14-32
25-21
23-20
18-21
12-19
23-21
19-19
26-15
28-16
16-20
15-17
9-22
17-22
21-22
21-29
8-20
20-23
18-25
27-23
157.5Avg total
75.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.076.5155.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)87.074.0161.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)75.382.2157.5-6.930%
Last 5 (5)76.284.6160.8-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.392.5161.8-23.20%
vs Similar (15)79.779.7159.4+0.147%
vs Weaker (4)83.281.0164.2+2.275%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 77
A04/11
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
111-60
111
60
+51
113avg 77
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
86avg 77
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
104-75
104
75
+29
106avg 77
H01/12
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
47-71
47
71
-24
no box
A08/12
Taca de Portugal
Portimonense
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
64avg 77
A16/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
80-100
80
100
-20
65avg 77
H23/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
55-77
55
77
-22
42avg 77
H07/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 77
A17/01
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
91-73
91
73
+18
93avg 77
H20/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
12-22
25-14
19-19
32-22
16-14
22-10
41-14
21-25
29-23
16-13
24-24
21-15
33-15
23-32
27-13
12-12
15-17
5-20
15-22
13-19
22-16
19-17
15-16
13-24
26-22
18-19
23-35
17-17
9-22
16-22
13-16
25-22
14-19
16-16
17-17
20-8
23-20
25-18
23-27
155.9Avg total
79.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.565.5160.0+29.0100%
Season at home (1)111.060.0171.0+51.0100%
Season away (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.776.2155.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)73.478.4151.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.983.5159.4-7.640%
vs Similar (4)74.280.2154.5-6.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.967.1145.0+10.787%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
EsgueiraOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A20/01
LPB
79.4Avg total
37.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.680.1-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.782.6+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)35.242.577.7-7.37%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.179.4-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.641.275.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.544.375.8-12.80%-
vs Similar (15)41.939.681.5+2.347%-
vs Weaker (4)41.843.885.5-2.025%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A04/11
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H01/12
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A08/12
Taca de Portugal
Portimonense
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H23/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H07/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/01
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/01
LPB
77.3Avg total
39.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.375.3+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.336.676.9+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)35.737.973.6-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.877.3+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.874.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.044.782.7-6.730%-
vs Similar (4)34.241.075.2-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.731.971.6+7.973%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.0
50.2%
51.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.2
29.1%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws21.214.4
67.9%
69.0%14.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.6
51.4%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.1
39.9%
32.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.515.0
73.2%
69.0%15.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLWLLWLLWL
Oliveirense
WLLLWLWWWL
#9
League position
#3
-9.0
Net rating
+10.3
96.7
Offensive rating
107.5
105.7
Defensive rating
97.2
48.0%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
22.2%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.1%
3-point %
39.9%
52.2%
Assist %
59.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 107.5Defence105.7 · 97.2Shooting48.0% · 54.9%3-point %29.1% · 39.9%Ball care19.1% · 22.2%Off. rebounds26.4% · 30.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Esgueira   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Esgueira wins
9
Oliveirense wins
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AOliveirense73-91
13/01/24AImortal68-95
06/01/24HPortimonense85-68
28/12/23HCD Povoa72-80
16/12/23ALusitania83-89
09/12/23HVitoria78-66
02/12/23HSporting CP68-105
25/11/23AOvarense71-75
18/11/23HGalomar84-74
11/11/23ACD Povoa71-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HEsgueira91-73
17/01/24AFC Porto72-74
07/01/24HBenfica55-77
23/12/23HVitoria80-100
16/12/23APortimonense69-68
08/12/23ABenfica47-71
01/12/23HCD Povoa104-75
18/11/23HSporting CP90-85
11/11/23HOvarense111-60
04/11/23AOvarense78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.087.071.0
Allowed / game76.574.079.0
Point differential+2.5+13.0-8.0
Avg total155.5161.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.5111.078.0
Allowed / game65.560.071.0
Point differential+29.0+51.0+7.0
Avg total160.0171.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oliveirense220100%94.565.5+29.0
2 FC Porto330100%90.762.0+28.7
3 Sporting CP330100%93.776.7+17.0
4 Benfica32167%88.075.3+12.7
5 Vitoria32167%84.083.0+1.0
6 CD Povoa21150%85.081.5+3.5
7 Esgueira21150%79.076.5+2.5
8 Imortal31233%78.082.0-4.0
9 Ovarense31233%75.3100.0-24.7
10 Galomar2020%74.091.0-17.0
11 Portimonense3030%67.387.3-20.0
12 Lusitania3030%71.394.0-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira2712161469
Oliveirense1721162478
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