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Oliveirense vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 91-73
20-8 23-20 25-18 23-27
Position#3
Record7-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#9
Record2-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game85.9
PortugalLPBRound 13· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2023-24
Meetings · Oliveirense v Esgueira
24 Oct 2026
OLIV104
ESGU80
15 Nov 2025
OLIV100
ESGU77
16 Nov 2024
OLIV93
ESGU77
20 Jan 2024
OLIV91
ESGU73
01 Oct 2022
OLIV80
ESGU71
03 Jan 2021
OLIV86
ESGU81
01 Feb 2020
OLIV88
ESGU82
15 Dec 2018
OLIV106
ESGU83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
78avg 75
H28/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 75
A04/11
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
111-60
111
60
+51
113avg 75
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
86avg 75
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
104-75
104
75
+29
106avg 75
H01/12
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
47-71
47
71
-24
no box
A08/12
Taca de Portugal
Portimonense
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
64avg 75
A16/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
80-100
80
100
-20
65avg 75
H23/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
55-77
55
77
-22
42avg 75
H07/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 75
A17/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
23-15
16-16
7-23
22-24
12-22
25-14
19-19
32-22
16-14
22-10
41-14
21-25
29-23
16-13
24-24
21-15
33-15
23-32
27-13
12-12
15-17
5-20
15-22
13-19
22-16
19-17
15-16
13-24
26-22
18-19
23-35
17-17
9-22
16-22
13-16
25-22
14-19
16-16
17-17
154.0Avg total
78.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.475.0152.4+2.464%
Season at home (5)81.081.2162.2-0.260%
Season away (6)74.369.8144.2+4.567%
Last 10 (10)78.275.8154.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)64.678.0142.6-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.983.5159.4-7.640%
vs Similar (4)74.280.2154.5-6.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.367.8144.1+8.580%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 64
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
57avg 64
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 64
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
56avg 64
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-105
68
105
-37
56avg 64
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
78-66
78
66
+12
79avg 64
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 64
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 64
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
84avg 64
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 64
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
13-14
13-22
22-20
21-16
20-26
13-24
17-13
28-21
24-16
16-16
16-21
20-15
15-28
19-18
17-14
18-24
9-33
21-27
20-21
23-29
22-7
13-16
20-14
21-16
14-32
25-21
23-20
18-21
12-19
23-21
19-19
26-15
28-16
16-20
15-17
9-22
17-22
21-22
21-29
154.3Avg total
74.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.785.9159.6-12.217%
Season at home (6)72.882.8155.7-10.033%
Season away (6)74.589.0163.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)74.380.0154.3-5.730%
Last 5 (5)77.279.6156.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.392.8162.1-23.50%
vs Similar (15)79.779.7159.4+0.147%
vs Weaker (4)83.281.0164.2+2.275%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
OliveirenseEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H28/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A04/11
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H18/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H01/12
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A08/12
Taca de Portugal
Portimonense
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H23/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H07/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/01
LPB
78.5Avg total
40.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.575.1+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.137.277.4+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)35.337.873.1-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.078.5+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.238.071.2-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.044.782.7-6.730%-
vs Similar (4)34.241.075.2-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.932.471.3+6.567%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
77.8Avg total
37.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.580.4-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.782.6+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)35.842.378.1-6.57%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.577.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.444.176.5-11.70%-
vs Similar (15)41.939.681.5+2.347%-
vs Weaker (4)41.843.885.5-2.025%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.8
50.7%
51.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.5
38.9%
33.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
69.3%15.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.6
49.5%
51.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.3
29.0%
33.5%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.613.9
67.5%
69.3%13.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
LLLWLWWWLW
Esgueira
LWLLWLLWLL
#3
League position
#9
+9.7
Net rating
-7.6
107.6
Offensive rating
96.9
97.9
Defensive rating
104.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
47.5%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
21.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.9%
3-point %
29.0%
59.0%
Assist %
53.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 96.9Defence97.9 · 104.5Shooting53.7% · 47.5%3-point %38.9% · 29.0%Ball care21.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.5% · 25.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Oliveirense wins
1
Esgueira wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24AFC Porto72-74
07/01/24HBenfica55-77
23/12/23HVitoria80-100
16/12/23APortimonense69-68
08/12/23ABenfica47-71
01/12/23HCD Povoa104-75
18/11/23HSporting CP90-85
11/11/23HOvarense111-60
04/11/23AOvarense78-79
28/10/23HGalomar76-69
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AImortal68-95
06/01/24HPortimonense85-68
28/12/23HCD Povoa72-80
16/12/23ALusitania83-89
09/12/23HVitoria78-66
02/12/23HSporting CP68-105
25/11/23AOvarense71-75
18/11/23HGalomar84-74
11/11/23ACD Povoa71-79
05/11/23AImortal63-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game77.481.074.3
Allowed / game75.081.269.8
Point differential+2.4-0.2+4.5
Avg total152.4162.2144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game73.772.874.5
Allowed / game85.982.889.0
Point differential-12.2-10.0-14.5
Avg total159.6155.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1312192%86.873.5+13.2
2 Sporting CP1310377%93.382.8+10.5
3 Benfica139469%86.967.8+19.1
4 Oliveirense117464%77.475.0+2.4
5 Ovarense138562%78.079.3-1.3
6 Vitoria137654%81.579.4+2.2
7 Imortal136746%77.882.4-4.6
8 CD Povoa135838%81.285.9-4.8
9 Portimonense135838%71.878.5-6.6
10 Galomar134931%75.179.2-4.2
11 Esgueira1221017%73.785.9-12.2
12 Lusitania121118%73.388.7-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense2023252391
Esgueira820182773
← all games of the day
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