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Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 76-74
20-9 18-18 24-23 14-24
Position#2
Record21-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#3
Record18-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2024
Meetings · Olympiacos v Panathinaikos
28 Mar 2027
OLY v PAO
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
OLY v PAO
upcoming
13 Jun 2026
OLY89
PAO85
08 Jun 2026
OLY102
PAO92
03 Jun 2026
OLY82
PAO76
06 Mar 2026
OLY86
PAO80
12 Oct 2025
OLY90
PAO86
08 Jun 2025
OLY85
PAO71
01 Jun 2025
OLY91
PAO83
25 May 2025
OLY97
PAO93
14 Mar 2025
OLY76
PAO74
27 Oct 2024
OLY71
PAO78
12 Jun 2024
OLY85
PAO88
07 Jun 2024
OLY92
PAO86
14 Mar 2024
OLY71
PAO65
30 Oct 2023
OLY54
PAO66
30 Sep 2023
OLY75
PAO51
11 Jun 2023
OLY75
PAO52
04 Jun 2023
OLY73
PAO70
31 Mar 2023
OLY81
PAO73
18 Feb 2023
OLY81
PAO65
05 Dec 2022
OLY68
PAO66
17 Jun 2022
OLY93
PAO74
11 Jun 2022
OLY74
PAO61
17 Mar 2022
OLY101
PAO73
22 Nov 2021
OLY76
PAO81
05 Feb 2021
OLY77
PAO88
23 May 2019
OLY v PAO
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
OLY0
PAO20
04 Jan 2019
OLY79
PAO65
14 Jun 2018
OLY92
PAO76
07 Jun 2018
OLY66
PAO71
10 Nov 2017
OLY62
PAO70
08 Oct 2017
OLY68
PAO71
11 Jun 2017
OLY51
PAO66
04 Jun 2017
OLY64
PAO62
28 May 2017
OLY63
PAO58
16 Jan 2017
OLY67
PAO77
06 Jan 2017
OLY77
PAO69
17 Oct 2016
OLY88
PAO63
08 Oct 2015
OLY64
PAO70
14 Jun 2015
OLY93
PAO74
07 Jun 2015
OLY76
PAO70
27 Dec 2014
OLY81
PAO75
01 Jun 2014
OLY65
PAO67
26 May 2014
OLY89
PAO64
10 Apr 2014
OLY68
PAO65
14 Oct 2013
OLY55
PAO45
12 Jun 2013
OLY72
PAO76
07 Jun 2013
OLY51
PAO64
04 Feb 2013
OLY72
PAO67
02 Jun 2012
OLY82
PAO76
27 May 2012
OLY84
PAO72
21 May 2012
OLY84
PAO78
10 Mar 2012
OLY70
PAO71
12 Feb 2012
OLY78
PAO77
01 Jun 2011
OLY76
PAO68
26 May 2011
OLY70
PAO75
15 May 2011
OLY68
PAO74
16 Apr 2011
OLY87
PAO83
06 Jun 2010
OLY69
PAO76
30 May 2010
OLY79
PAO72
29 Nov 2009
OLY87
PAO76
28 May 2009
OLY74
PAO70
21 May 2009
OLY67
PAO69
01 May 2009
OLY82
PAO84
01 Mar 2009
OLY77
PAO75
22 Feb 2009
OLY70
PAO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
W
90-73
90
73
+17
89avg 84
A05/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
90-88
90
88
+2
88avg 84
A07/02
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
86-60
86
60
+26
84avg 84
H10/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#26
W
71-54
71
54
+17
70avg 84
H13/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#12
W
94-75
94
75
+19
95avg 84
A14/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
64avg 84
A16/02
Greek Cup
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
92-70
92
70
+22
97avg 84
A28/02
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 84
A02/03
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
82-70
82
70
+12
86avg 84
H07/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 84
H09/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
18-16
19-27
23-15
22-18
23-29
21-18
24-23
17-21
17-14
27-8
25-17
21-14
14-13
18-15
18-12
13-17
31-18
22-20
28-20
21-16
13-14
21-29
20-20
34-14
20-15
14-25
24-16
20-22
20-23
20-14
22-10
27-18
19-14
18-19
18-19
20-15
23-23
25-20
27-18
157.1Avg total
85.7Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.881.5169.3+6.475%
Season at home (13)88.777.9166.6+10.885%
Season away (15)87.184.5171.6+2.567%
Last 10 (10)85.771.4157.1+14.390%
Last 5 (5)85.272.8158.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.183.6166.7-0.457%
vs Weaker (21)90.977.8168.7+13.095%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 85
H04/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
104-89
104
89
+15
98avg 85
H06/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
94-82
94
82
+12
90avg 85
H09/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#29
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 85
H12/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
91-73
91
73
+18
87avg 85
A14/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
72avg 85
H16/02
Greek Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
96-93
96
93
+3
97avg 85
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
102-95
102
95
+7
97avg 85
A02/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 85
H06/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
97-66
97
66
+31
105avg 85
H09/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
17-16
20-24
30-26
17-21
32-26
26-26
29-16
22-24
23-17
31-19
18-22
28-13
20-13
23-24
22-13
22-17
19-14
22-19
28-23
16-21
14-13
29-21
20-20
25-16
29-28
17-19
25-30
20-32
34-20
15-21
33-22
24-13
16-20
23-20
22-17
27-16
23-12
25-21
22-17
172.8Avg total
93.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.382.9170.2+4.464%
Season at home (14)94.982.1177.1+12.886%
Season away (14)79.683.6163.3-4.043%
Last 10 (10)93.279.6172.8+13.6100%
Last 5 (5)91.879.8171.6+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.483.9167.2-0.562%
vs Weaker (21)94.179.0173.1+15.090%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
OlympiacosPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A05/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A07/02
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#26
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H13/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A16/02
Greek Cup
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A28/02
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/03
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H07/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/03
Basket League
77.2Avg total
42.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.681.4+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.039.583.5+4.571%-
Last 30 away (16)41.837.879.6+3.956%-
Last 10 (10)42.334.977.2+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.878.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.030.064.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.939.681.4+2.343%-
vs Weaker (21)43.939.283.1+4.767%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H04/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#29
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H12/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H16/02
Greek Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A02/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H09/03
Basket League
82.8Avg total
45.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.084.0+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.136.984.1+10.288%-
Last 30 away (14)42.541.483.9+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.682.8+7.690%-
Last 5 (5)45.638.283.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.838.479.1+2.475%-
vs Weaker (21)46.439.986.3+6.571%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.219.2
65.8%
54.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
36.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
78.0%12.7
They take 52.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.923.4
61.7%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.0
39.0%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.712.8
72.3%
78.0%12.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWWLWWWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+19.3
Net rating
+19.6
125.4
Offensive rating
126.9
106.1
Defensive rating
107.3
60.6%
Effective FG%
60.4%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
13.2%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.2%
3-point %
39.0%
65.0%
Assist %
62.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence125.4 · 126.9Defence106.1 · 107.3Shooting60.6% · 60.4%3-point %36.2% · 39.0%Ball care15.5% · 13.2%Off. rebounds34.0% · 32.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 100%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olympiacos wins
6
Panathinaikos wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HKolossos Rhodes95-76
07/03/25HPartizan82-70
02/03/25APeristeri82-69
28/02/25AVirtus Bologna92-70
16/02/25APanathinaikos75-79
14/02/25APAOK94-75
13/02/25HAS Karditsas71-54
10/02/25HPAOK86-60
07/02/25ABarcelona90-88
05/02/25AParis90-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HPanionios97-66
06/03/25HReal Madrid85-70
02/03/25AMaroussi102-95
28/02/25ALyon-Villeurbanne96-93
16/02/25HOlympiacos79-75
14/02/25APromitheas91-73
12/02/25HPeristeri93-63
09/02/25HKolossos Rhodes94-82
06/02/25HAnadolu Efes104-89
04/02/25HFenerbahce91-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %75%85%67%
Points / game87.888.787.1
Allowed / game81.577.984.5
Point differential+6.4+10.8+2.5
Avg total169.3166.6171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%54%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (3)71% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game87.394.979.6
Allowed / game82.982.183.6
Point differential+4.4+12.8-4.0
Avg total170.2177.1163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%64%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2821775%87.881.5+6.4
2 Fenerbahce2920969%82.880.4+2.3
3 Panathinaikos28181064%87.382.9+4.4
4 Bayern28171161%86.686.4+0.3
5 Monaco29171259%86.583.0+3.5
6 Crvena zvezda29161355%81.880.9+0.9
7 Paris29161355%85.285.0+0.2
8 Olimpia Milano29161355%85.185.6-0.5
9 Partizan28151354%82.979.2+3.6
10 Barcelona28151354%87.684.6+3.1
11 Real Madrid29151452%84.282.4+1.8
12 Anadolu Efes28141450%85.482.2+3.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas29141548%77.678.1-0.6
14 Baskonia29121741%80.882.6-1.8
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne29111838%81.385.4-4.1
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv2992031%85.489.9-4.4
17 Virtus Bologna2972224%78.984.7-5.8
18 Alba Berlin2952417%79.491.3-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2018241476
Panathinaikos918232474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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