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Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-65
16-14 25-11 18-15 20-25
Position#6
Record9-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#7
Record7-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2018
Meetings · Olympiacos v Panathinaikos
28 Mar 2027
OLY v PAO
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
OLY v PAO
upcoming
13 Jun 2026
OLY89
PAO85
08 Jun 2026
OLY102
PAO92
03 Jun 2026
OLY82
PAO76
06 Mar 2026
OLY86
PAO80
12 Oct 2025
OLY90
PAO86
08 Jun 2025
OLY85
PAO71
01 Jun 2025
OLY91
PAO83
25 May 2025
OLY97
PAO93
14 Mar 2025
OLY76
PAO74
27 Oct 2024
OLY71
PAO78
12 Jun 2024
OLY85
PAO88
07 Jun 2024
OLY92
PAO86
14 Mar 2024
OLY71
PAO65
30 Oct 2023
OLY54
PAO66
30 Sep 2023
OLY75
PAO51
11 Jun 2023
OLY75
PAO52
04 Jun 2023
OLY73
PAO70
31 Mar 2023
OLY81
PAO73
18 Feb 2023
OLY81
PAO65
05 Dec 2022
OLY68
PAO66
17 Jun 2022
OLY93
PAO74
11 Jun 2022
OLY74
PAO61
17 Mar 2022
OLY101
PAO73
22 Nov 2021
OLY76
PAO81
05 Feb 2021
OLY77
PAO88
23 May 2019
OLY v PAO
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
OLY0
PAO20
04 Jan 2019
OLY79
PAO65
14 Jun 2018
OLY92
PAO76
07 Jun 2018
OLY66
PAO71
10 Nov 2017
OLY62
PAO70
08 Oct 2017
OLY68
PAO71
11 Jun 2017
OLY51
PAO66
04 Jun 2017
OLY64
PAO62
28 May 2017
OLY63
PAO58
16 Jan 2017
OLY67
PAO77
06 Jan 2017
OLY77
PAO69
17 Oct 2016
OLY88
PAO63
08 Oct 2015
OLY64
PAO70
14 Jun 2015
OLY93
PAO74
07 Jun 2015
OLY76
PAO70
27 Dec 2014
OLY81
PAO75
01 Jun 2014
OLY65
PAO67
26 May 2014
OLY89
PAO64
10 Apr 2014
OLY68
PAO65
14 Oct 2013
OLY55
PAO45
12 Jun 2013
OLY72
PAO76
07 Jun 2013
OLY51
PAO64
04 Feb 2013
OLY72
PAO67
02 Jun 2012
OLY82
PAO76
27 May 2012
OLY84
PAO72
21 May 2012
OLY84
PAO78
10 Mar 2012
OLY70
PAO71
12 Feb 2012
OLY78
PAO77
01 Jun 2011
OLY76
PAO68
26 May 2011
OLY70
PAO75
15 May 2011
OLY68
PAO74
16 Apr 2011
OLY87
PAO83
06 Jun 2010
OLY69
PAO76
30 May 2010
OLY79
PAO72
29 Nov 2009
OLY87
PAO76
28 May 2009
OLY74
PAO70
21 May 2009
OLY67
PAO69
01 May 2009
OLY82
PAO84
01 Mar 2009
OLY77
PAO75
22 Feb 2009
OLY70
PAO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
92-70
92
70
+22
130avg 108
H30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
75-83
75
83
-8
104avg 108
A06/12
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
84-60
84
60
+24
no box
H09/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
122avg 108
H13/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A15/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
69-60
69
60
+9
96avg 108
A18/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H20/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H23/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
104avg 108
A27/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
78-68
78
68
+10
no box
A30/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
19-17
32-14
16-19
29-19
19-21
11-20
16-23
27-20
22-15
19-8
16-17
25-12
23-34
17-22
23-13
19-15
21-14
20-17
26-21
17-14
15-16
23-18
14-12
20-14
32-19
21-21
25-23
16-21
26-27
32-10
18-11
12-24
19-18
22-18
22-19
16-19
25-16
14-19
23-14
155.1Avg total
83.7Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.677.0157.6+3.660%
Season at home (7)85.980.4166.3+5.471%
Season away (8)76.074.0150.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)83.771.4155.1+12.380%
Last 5 (5)82.470.6153.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.977.9155.7+0.043%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.779.6157.3-1.957%
vs Weaker (15)86.167.1153.2+19.193%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
L
68-76
68
76
-8
92avg 106
A30/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
92avg 106
H07/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
101avg 106
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
A16/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
85avg 106
A19/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
108avg 106
H21/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
H23/12
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
96-84
96
84
+12
124avg 106
H28/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A30/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
19-19
7-11
17-17
12-18
21-17
19-21
17-25
21-18
22-21
26-17
11-19
22-16
21-16
14-21
18-14
19-11
29-20
21-25
24-27
10-23
21-20
24-20
13-26
23-21
17-26
16-17
27-22
36-16
21-21
30-23
24-19
19-26
36-18
17-18
24-22
16-21
19-13
26-16
25-19
161.8Avg total
82.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.580.1159.6-0.747%
Season at home (9)85.180.7165.8+4.467%
Season away (6)71.079.3150.3-8.317%
Last 10 (10)82.978.9161.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)88.881.4170.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.883.0156.8-9.225%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.081.1162.1-0.138%
vs Weaker (18)87.171.1158.2+16.094%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
OlympiacosPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A06/12
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H09/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H13/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A15/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A18/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H23/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A30/12
Basket League
80.2Avg total
42.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.835.378.1+7.683%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.136.782.8+9.481%-
Last 30 away (14)39.133.672.7+5.486%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.580.2+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.677.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.936.677.4+4.371%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.136.979.0+5.386%-
vs Weaker (15)44.134.178.3+10.087%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A16/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A19/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H23/12
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H28/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/12
Basket League
81.9Avg total
42.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.379.0+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.135.778.8+7.471%-
Last 30 away (13)39.839.479.2+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.081.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.084.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.841.578.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.942.681.5-3.838%-
vs Weaker (18)44.134.078.1+10.183%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.1
51.4%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.8
38.6%
37.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
73.9%
76.7%13.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.2
52.0%
52.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.4
30.3%
37.0%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.5
71.1%
76.7%14.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLWWWWWWLW
Panathinaikos
WWWLLWWWLL
#6
League position
#7
+6.8
Net rating
-3.6
112.8
Offensive rating
106.7
106.0
Defensive rating
110.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.6%
3-point %
30.3%
64.7%
Assist %
52.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 106.7Defence106.0 · 110.4Shooting53.8% · 49.8%3-point %38.6% · 30.3%Ball care17.5% · 13.9%Off. rebounds35.6% · 29.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olympiacos wins
7
Panathinaikos wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18APAOK78-68
27/12/18ADarussafaka75-79
23/12/18HPeristeri92-69
20/12/18HGran Canaria98-77
18/12/18ABarcelona69-60
15/12/18AKolossos Rhodes86-67
13/12/18HAnadolu Efes88-81
09/12/18HRethymno84-60
06/12/18AZalgiris Kaunas75-83
30/11/18HBuducnost92-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18APromitheas86-69
28/12/18HCSKA Moscow96-84
23/12/18HAEK Athens111-79
21/12/18HOlimpia Milano83-86
19/12/18AReal Madrid68-89
16/12/18APAOK93-83
14/12/18HDarussafaka75-67
10/12/18HPeristeri80-75
07/12/18HFenerbahce69-81
30/11/18AKhimki M.68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game80.685.976.0
Allowed / game77.080.474.0
Point differential+3.6+5.4+2.0
Avg total157.6166.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%67%17%
Points / game79.585.171.0
Allowed / game80.180.779.3
Point differential-0.7+4.4-8.3
Avg total159.6165.8150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1615194%84.475.4+8.9
2 Real Madrid1613381%87.776.2+11.5
3 CSKA Moscow1612475%88.282.6+5.6
4 Anadolu Efes1610662%86.582.1+4.4
5 Olympiacos159660%80.677.0+3.6
6 Barcelona158753%76.276.8-0.6
7 Olimpia Milano168850%87.586.2+1.3
8 Bayern168850%80.281.5-1.2
9 Panathinaikos157847%79.580.1-0.7
10 Zalgiris Kaunas167944%81.280.9+0.4
11 Baskonia167944%81.281.6-0.4
12 Khimki M.1661038%79.080.1-1.1
13 Gran Canaria1661038%80.588.6-8.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1651131%78.180.8-2.7
15 Buducnost1631319%73.985.9-12.1
16 Darussafaka1521313%75.985.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1625182079
Panathinaikos1411152565
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