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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 85-70
24-13 16-20 23-20 22-17
Position#3
Record17-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#8
Record14-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
03 Feb 2026
PAO82
MAD81
06 Mar 2025
PAO85
MAD70
07 Dec 2023
PAO78
MAD90
06 Oct 2022
PAO68
MAD71
31 Mar 2022
PAO87
MAD86
15 Dec 2020
PAO93
MAD97
23 Apr 2019
PAO82
MAD89
28 Mar 2019
PAO73
MAD74
19 Apr 2018
PAO82
MAD89
17 Apr 2018
PAO95
MAD67
24 Nov 2017
PAO82
MAD80
16 Mar 2017
PAO88
MAD82
20 Mar 2015
PAO85
MAD69
25 Jan 2013
PAO54
MAD58
15 Nov 2012
PAO79
MAD68
17 Dec 2009
PAO67
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
66avg 85
A30/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
W
99-84
99
84
+15
103avg 85
A01/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 85
H04/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
104-89
104
89
+15
98avg 85
H06/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
94-82
94
82
+12
90avg 85
H09/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#29
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 85
H12/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
91-73
91
73
+18
87avg 85
A14/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
72avg 85
H16/02
Greek Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
96-93
96
93
+3
97avg 85
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
102-95
102
95
+7
97avg 85
A02/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
21-22
13-27
25-21
27-16
23-25
23-22
26-21
24-24
17-16
20-24
30-26
17-21
32-26
26-26
29-16
22-24
23-17
31-19
18-22
28-13
20-13
23-24
22-13
22-17
19-14
22-19
28-23
16-21
14-13
29-21
20-20
25-16
29-28
17-19
25-30
20-32
34-20
15-21
33-22
175.5Avg total
92.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.483.4170.7+4.063%
Season at home (13)95.783.1178.8+12.685%
Season away (14)79.683.6163.3-4.043%
Last 10 (10)92.483.1175.5+9.390%
Last 5 (5)92.279.8172.0+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.086.2170.2-2.262%
vs Weaker (21)94.279.4173.7+14.890%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
64avg 82
A31/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 82
H02/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 82
A04/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
54avg 82
A06/02
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
95avg 82
A09/02
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 82
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
69-54
69
54
+15
61avg 82
A02/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
26-16
17-23
17-18
22-20
18-19
18-19
28-15
17-25
21-13
23-18
12-23
16-16
12-24
19-18
20-20
28-21
18-16
20-28
29-19
22-22
21-8
20-19
29-20
10-16
20-15
25-16
25-16
15-18
21-21
19-25
24-29
23-25
17-18
30-24
26-24
12-9
19-9
17-22
21-14
157.1Avg total
81.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.982.9167.7+2.052%
Season at home (14)90.185.6175.7+4.471%
Season away (13)79.379.8159.2-0.531%
Last 10 (10)81.076.1157.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)83.274.0157.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.082.8165.8+0.243%
vs Weaker (15)88.877.2166.0+11.693%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A30/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A01/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H04/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#29
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H12/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H16/02
Greek Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A02/03
Basket League
84.4Avg total
44.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.584.4+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.037.884.8+9.281%-
Last 30 away (14)42.541.483.9+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.584.4+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.482.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.439.981.2+1.562%-
vs Weaker (21)46.140.086.1+6.171%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A31/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A06/02
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/02
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
31-18
31
18
+13
A02/03
ACB
72.2Avg total
37.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.879.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.381.8+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.638.377.9+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.172.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.268.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.140.479.5-1.436%-
vs Weaker (15)42.837.880.6+5.073%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.923.0
59.1%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.7
40.5%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.3
70.4%
78.0%13.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.3
53.6%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.5
32.8%
36.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.718.8
79.3%
78.0%18.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWWL
Real Madrid
WWLWWWLLWL
#3
League position
#8
+12.7
Net rating
+7.2
125.8
Offensive rating
111.1
113.1
Defensive rating
103.8
59.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
13.8%
Turnover %
17.1%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
40.5%
3-point %
32.8%
59.9%
Assist %
58.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence125.8 · 111.1Defence113.1 · 103.8Shooting59.8% · 51.8%3-point %40.5% · 32.8%Ball care13.8% · 17.1%Off. rebounds33.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AMaroussi102-95
28/02/25ALyon-Villeurbanne96-93
16/02/25HOlympiacos79-75
14/02/25APromitheas91-73
12/02/25HPeristeri93-63
09/02/25HKolossos Rhodes94-82
06/02/25HAnadolu Efes104-89
04/02/25HFenerbahce91-90
01/02/25APeristeri99-84
30/01/25AOlimpia Milano75-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AGran Canaria69-54
27/02/25HBarcelona96-91
16/02/25AUnicaja79-93
15/02/25AGran Canaria80-63
14/02/25HManresa92-69
09/02/25AForca Lleida95-84
06/02/25AFenerbahce67-78
04/02/25AAnadolu Efes73-79
02/02/25HJoventut Badalona86-73
31/01/25AMonaco73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW63%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %63%85%43%
Points / game87.495.779.6
Allowed / game83.483.183.6
Point differential+4.0+12.6-4.0
Avg total170.7178.8163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%71%31%
Points / game84.990.179.3
Allowed / game82.985.679.8
Point differential+2.0+4.4-0.5
Avg total167.7175.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2720774%88.081.9+6.1
2 Fenerbahce2819968%82.480.4+2.1
3 Panathinaikos27171063%87.483.4+4.0
4 Monaco28171161%86.582.8+3.7
5 Bayern28171161%86.686.4+0.3
6 Crvena zvezda28161257%81.980.9+1.0
7 Paris28161257%85.485.0+0.3
8 Partizan27151256%83.479.1+4.2
9 Olimpia Milano28151354%85.285.8-0.6
10 Barcelona27141352%87.284.6+2.7
11 Real Madrid27141352%84.982.9+2.0
12 Anadolu Efes27131448%85.282.7+2.5
13 Zalgiris Kaunas28131546%77.478.0-0.6
14 Baskonia28121643%80.482.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne27111641%80.884.6-3.7
16 Virtus Bologna2772026%79.884.7-4.9
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2772026%84.689.8-5.1
18 Alba Berlin2742315%78.691.1-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2416232285
Real Madrid1320201770
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