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Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-51
16-4 21-7 19-23 19-17
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game64.0
GreeceSuper CupSuper Cup - Final· Kallithea Palais des Sports
Other2023
Meetings · Olympiacos v Panathinaikos
28 Mar 2027
OLY v PAO
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
OLY v PAO
upcoming
13 Jun 2026
OLY89
PAO85
08 Jun 2026
OLY102
PAO92
03 Jun 2026
OLY82
PAO76
06 Mar 2026
OLY86
PAO80
12 Oct 2025
OLY90
PAO86
08 Jun 2025
OLY85
PAO71
01 Jun 2025
OLY91
PAO83
25 May 2025
OLY97
PAO93
14 Mar 2025
OLY76
PAO74
27 Oct 2024
OLY71
PAO78
12 Jun 2024
OLY85
PAO88
07 Jun 2024
OLY92
PAO86
14 Mar 2024
OLY71
PAO65
30 Oct 2023
OLY54
PAO66
30 Sep 2023
OLY75
PAO51
11 Jun 2023
OLY75
PAO52
04 Jun 2023
OLY73
PAO70
31 Mar 2023
OLY81
PAO73
18 Feb 2023
OLY81
PAO65
05 Dec 2022
OLY68
PAO66
17 Jun 2022
OLY93
PAO74
11 Jun 2022
OLY74
PAO61
17 Mar 2022
OLY101
PAO73
22 Nov 2021
OLY76
PAO81
05 Feb 2021
OLY77
PAO88
23 May 2019
OLY v PAO
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
OLY0
PAO20
04 Jan 2019
OLY79
PAO65
14 Jun 2018
OLY92
PAO76
07 Jun 2018
OLY66
PAO71
10 Nov 2017
OLY62
PAO70
08 Oct 2017
OLY68
PAO71
11 Jun 2017
OLY51
PAO66
04 Jun 2017
OLY64
PAO62
28 May 2017
OLY63
PAO58
16 Jan 2017
OLY67
PAO77
06 Jan 2017
OLY77
PAO69
17 Oct 2016
OLY88
PAO63
08 Oct 2015
OLY64
PAO70
14 Jun 2015
OLY93
PAO74
07 Jun 2015
OLY76
PAO70
27 Dec 2014
OLY81
PAO75
01 Jun 2014
OLY65
PAO67
26 May 2014
OLY89
PAO64
10 Apr 2014
OLY68
PAO65
14 Oct 2013
OLY55
PAO45
12 Jun 2013
OLY72
PAO76
07 Jun 2013
OLY51
PAO64
04 Feb 2013
OLY72
PAO67
02 Jun 2012
OLY82
PAO76
27 May 2012
OLY84
PAO72
21 May 2012
OLY84
PAO78
10 Mar 2012
OLY70
PAO71
12 Feb 2012
OLY78
PAO77
01 Jun 2011
OLY76
PAO68
26 May 2011
OLY70
PAO75
15 May 2011
OLY68
PAO74
16 Apr 2011
OLY87
PAO83
06 Jun 2010
OLY69
PAO76
30 May 2010
OLY79
PAO72
29 Nov 2009
OLY87
PAO76
28 May 2009
OLY74
PAO70
21 May 2009
OLY67
PAO69
01 May 2009
OLY82
PAO84
01 Mar 2009
OLY77
PAO75
22 Feb 2009
OLY70
PAO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
W
83-65
83
65
+18
90avg 86
H13/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
80avg 86
H19/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 86
H21/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
97-77
97
77
+20
104avg 86
A25/05
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
75-54
75
54
+21
86avg 86
H28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H04/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
60avg 86
A08/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
75-52
75
52
+23
73avg 86
H11/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
63-35
63
35
+28
67avg 86
A15/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#2
W
84-64
84
64
+20
84avg 86
A29/09
Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
25-26
21-7
20-13
14-20
15-21
27-2
20-19
24-17
21-28
18-14
15-20
24-21
32-20
23-20
18-16
24-12
15-22
22-11
14-9
26-14
15-19
20-15
12-22
13-25
22-8
15-18
15-16
18-19
18-9
21-13
18-11
24-15
24-11
15-9
–
27-20
19-16
17-14
21-14
139.4Avg total
76.9Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.064.0148.0+20.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)84.064.0148.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.962.5139.4+14.480%
Last 5 (5)72.057.6129.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)78.079.0157.0-1.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)81.969.2151.1+12.783%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
101-57
101
57
+44
119avg 74
H15/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
58-73
58
73
-15
45avg 74
A20/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
89-80
89
80
+9
91avg 74
H23/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 74
A27/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 74
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
67-65
67
65
+2
58avg 74
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
52-75
52
75
-23
45avg 74
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
27avg 74
H15/06
Basket League
PAOK
#4
W
77-64
77
64
+13
72avg 74
A29/09
Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
26-10
24-18
26-12
17-18
12-15
17-28
12-12
30-24
19-25
27-10
13-21
15-21
13-20
27-18
16-17
23-17
18-22
23-9
17-19
14-26
19-15
15-20
22-12
25-13
8-22
18-15
16-15
19-18
9-18
13-21
11-18
15-24
11-24
9-15
–
22-18
16-15
27-12
12-19
139.4Avg total
70.1Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.064.0141.0+13.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)77.064.0141.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.169.3139.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)60.268.0128.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)67.577.8145.4-10.39%
vs Similar (4)80.277.0157.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (15)84.572.5156.9+12.067%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +7.6+7.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +7.6+7.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
OlympiacosPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H13/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H19/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A25/05
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A08/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H11/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A15/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A29/09
Super Cup
77.9Avg total
41.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.035.677.6+6.383%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.334.876.1+6.576%-
Last 30 away (13)42.836.879.6+6.192%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.277.9+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.231.272.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)45.045.090.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)41.935.377.2+6.686%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H15/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A20/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H23/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A27/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H15/06
Basket League
PAOK
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/09
Super Cup
73.8Avg total
35.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.477.8+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.340.381.6+1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.736.874.5+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.273.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.670.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.740.175.8-4.427%-
vs Similar (4)39.543.583.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker (15)42.035.977.9+6.167%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.819.1
60.1%
-38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.7
35.8%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws16.711.8
70.7%
-11.8
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.5
51.4%
-33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.5
32.9%
-22.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
-13.6
They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWLWWWLWW
Panathinaikos
WLLWLWLWLW
#1
League position
#3
+21.9
Net rating
+1.2
112.8
Offensive rating
100.0
90.8
Defensive rating
98.8
57.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.4%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.8%
3-point %
32.9%
78.4%
Assist %
70.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olympiacos wins
1
Panathinaikos wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23APeristeri84-64
15/06/23APanathinaikos63-35
11/06/23HPanathinaikos75-52
08/06/23APanathinaikos65-67
04/06/23HPanathinaikos73-70
28/05/23HPAOK75-54
25/05/23APAOK97-77
21/05/23HReal Madrid78-79
19/05/23HMonaco76-62
13/05/23HPAOK83-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23APAOK77-64
15/06/23HOlympiacos35-63
11/06/23AOlympiacos52-75
08/06/23HOlympiacos67-65
04/06/23AOlympiacos70-73
30/05/23HPeristeri81-67
27/05/23APeristeri71-76
23/05/23HPeristeri89-80
20/05/23APeristeri58-73
15/05/23HPeristeri101-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Super Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game84.0-84.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+20.0-+20.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Panathinaikos
Super Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game77.0-77.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+13.0-+13.0
Avg total141.0-141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos110100%84.064.0+20.0
2 Panathinaikos110100%77.064.0+13.0
3 Peristeri21150%64.066.5-2.5
4 PAOK2020%56.570.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1621191975
Panathinaikos47231751
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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