Olympiacos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 May 2018

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 96-77

25-20 28-17 20-18 23-22

Position#2

Record19-4

FormWLWLL

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game67.5

Olympiacos 🏆

PAOK

Position#3

Record15-8

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game76.6

Basket LeagueRound 24

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · Olympiacos v PAOK

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

PAOK winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olympiacos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koroivos

#13

104-54

104

+50

A26/03

Basket League

Unicaja

85-87 OT

-2

A30/03

Euroleague

AEK Athens

100-86

100

+14

H01/04

Basket League

Zalgiris Kaunas

85-86 OT

-1

H06/04

Euroleague

Lavrio

84-68

+16

A11/04

Basket League

Panionios

#12

79-73

A13/04

Basket League

Zalgiris Kaunas

78-87 OT

-9

H18/04

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

79-68

+11

H20/04

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

60-80

-20

A24/04

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

91-101

101

-10

A26/04

Euroleague

27-21

21-10

37-13

19-10

22-19

11-28

23-7

18-20

19-21

33-25

22-15

26-25

25-10

18-21

16-25

21-24

22-13

21-17

24-13

17-25

13-16

26-16

19-18

21-23

23-12

15-20

18-21

16-19

17-15

24-17

13-22

25-14

19-21

17-26

14-20

10-13

22-23

15-28

19-27

35-23

163.5Avg total

84.5Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	84.8	67.5	152.3	+17.3	83%
Season at home (11)	89.2	69.8	159.0	+19.4	91%
Season away (12)	80.8	65.3	146.1	+15.4	75%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	79.0	163.5	+5.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	81.8	159.2	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.2	76.5	155.8	+2.8	50%
vs Similar (12)	78.2	82.3	160.6	-4.1	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	89.6	73.4	163.0	+16.1	93%

This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PAOK

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

G.S. Kymis

85-88

-3

A15/02

Basket League

Trikala

#14

58-54

H03/03

Basket League

Karsiyaka

#12

74-68

H06/03

Champions League

Karsiyaka

#12

67-79

-12

A14/03

Champions League

Rethymno

80-72

H17/03

Basket League

Aris

#10

66-65

A21/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

79-76

A24/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#13

92-63

+29

H31/03

Basket League

AEK Athens

81-72

A11/04

Basket League

Lavrio

92-87

H15/04

Basket League

27-24

19-27

20-14

19-23

14-9

19-19

16-12

9-14

20-16

19-21

16-7

19-24

13-20

20-23

15-12

19-24

24-18

20-18

16-18

21-13

16-23

13-16

16-13

17-20

22-16

17-21

23-19

26-15

22-12

26-17

18-19

25-21

13-12

24-20

19-19

27-16

17-27

18-15

30-29

149.8Avg total

77.4Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.9	76.6	155.4	+2.3	65%
Season at home (12)	79.3	71.0	150.3	+8.3	83%
Season away (11)	78.4	82.6	161.0	-4.3	45%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	72.4	149.8	+5.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	72.6	154.6	+9.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	73.5	84.5	158.0	-11.0	25%
vs Similar (11)	80.5	75.4	155.8	+5.1	73%
vs Weaker (15)	77.9	71.5	149.4	+6.3	80%

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OlympiacosPAOK

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	17.9	40.1	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	16.9	40.5	+6.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.1	38.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.2	18.0	43.2	+7.2	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.3	18.4	38.8	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.9	17.5	40.4	+5.4	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.0	40.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	19.5	39.9	+1.0	73%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.3	37.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	19.2	34.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	22.2	40.9	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.4	39.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.4	39.2	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.7	20.7	41.5	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.5	60%	-

OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koroivos

#13

48-31

+17

A26/03

Basket League

Unicaja

33-47

-14

A30/03

Euroleague

AEK Athens

52-46

H01/04

Basket League

Zalgiris Kaunas

43-31

+12

H06/04

Euroleague

Lavrio

43-30

+13

A11/04

Basket League

Panionios

#12

39-32

A13/04

Basket League

Zalgiris Kaunas

38-32

H18/04

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

41-32

H20/04

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

36-47

-11

A24/04

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

37-51

-14

A26/04

Euroleague

78.9Avg total

41.0Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	37.7	79.6	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	37.1	81.7	+7.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	38.3	77.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.9	78.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	38.8	77.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.5	37.2	77.8	+3.2	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.1	40.6	79.7	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.8	35.3	80.1	+9.5	79%	-

This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

G.S. Kymis

46-51

-5

A15/02

Basket League

Trikala

#14

33-28

H03/03

Basket League

Karsiyaka

#12

39-37

H06/03

Champions League

Karsiyaka

#12

33-43

-10

A14/03

Champions League

Rethymno

44-36

H17/03

Basket League

Aris

#10

37-36

A21/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

39-36

A24/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#13

48-27

+21

H31/03

Basket League

AEK Athens

38-33

A11/04

Basket League

Lavrio

44-43

H15/04

Basket League

77.1Avg total

40.1Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	38.6	79.3	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.7	36.5	79.2	+6.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	40.9	79.4	-2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	37.0	77.1	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	35.0	76.2	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	42.2	42.0	84.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.2	40.2	81.4	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.0	36.5	76.5	+3.5	73%	-

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.7	39.1	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.1	17.0	41.1	+7.1	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	16.7	35.3	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	15.0	33.2	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	15.2	33.7	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.8	18.5	34.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	16.7	35.3	+1.8	73%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.4	16.3	35.7	+3.1	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.9	39.3	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.9	40.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.9	38.3	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	17.8	35.5	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.7	21.1	41.9	-0.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.8	36.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	19.1	37.2	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	18.4	35.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.5	24.0	39.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (15)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.1	78.6	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	38.5	79.5	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	37.7	77.7	+2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	37.7	79.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	40.0	78.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.0	37.8	73.8	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.8	38.1	82.9	+6.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	35.5	71.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	34.1	70.4	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	37.1	73.5	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	35.4	72.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.6	78.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	31.2	42.5	73.8	-11.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.3	35.2	74.5	+4.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (15)	35.6	33.9	69.5	+1.7	47%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 79.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀26%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 26% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	18.7	52.4%	53.7%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.2	33.2%	34.8%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	27.3	20.9	76.6%	73.9%	20.9

They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.7	53.2%	53.7%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.7	7.2	36.5%	34.8%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.6	77.7%	73.9%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	17.4	49.1%	53.7%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	7.7	33.5%	34.8%	23.0
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.0	75.8%	73.9%	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	20.6	49.9%	53.7%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.7	6.9	34.9%	34.8%	20.6
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.6	74.8%	73.9%	13.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olympiacos wins

PAOK wins

Date	Game	Score
07/01/18	PAOK v Olympiacos	78-71
02/04/17	Olympiacos v PAOK	84-59
18/12/16	PAOK v Olympiacos	84-89
16/03/15	PAOK v Olympiacos	72-88
23/11/14	Olympiacos v PAOK	80-55
16/02/14	PAOK v Olympiacos	72-74
11/11/13	Olympiacos v PAOK	78-70
27/01/13	PAOK v Olympiacos	76-71
14/10/12	Olympiacos v PAOK	89-64
21/04/12	PAOK v Olympiacos	61-68

Olympiacoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/18	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	91-101
24/04/18	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	60-80
20/04/18	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	79-68
18/04/18	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	78-87 OT
13/04/18	A	Panionios	79-73
11/04/18	A	Lavrio	84-68
06/04/18	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	85-86 OT
01/04/18	H	AEK Athens	100-86
30/03/18	A	Unicaja	85-87 OT
26/03/18	A	Koroivos	104-54

PAOKlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/18	H	Lavrio	92-87
11/04/18	A	AEK Athens	81-72
31/03/18	H	Koroivos	92-63
24/03/18	A	Kolossos Rhodes	79-76
21/03/18	A	Aris	66-65
17/03/18	H	Rethymno	80-72
14/03/18	A	Karsiyaka	67-79
06/03/18	H	Karsiyaka	74-68
03/03/18	H	Trikala	58-54
15/02/18	A	G.S. Kymis	85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos

Basket League 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	83%	91%	75%
Points / game	84.8	89.2	80.8
Allowed / game	67.5	69.8	65.3
Point differential	+17.3	+19.4	+15.4
Avg total	152.3	159.0	146.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	78%	91%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

PAOK

Basket League 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	65%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	LLWWW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	65%	83%	45%
Points / game	78.9	79.3	78.4
Allowed / game	76.6	71.0	82.6
Point differential	+2.3	+8.3	-4.3
Avg total	155.4	150.3	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	42%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	23	23	0	100%	91.0	69.0	+22.0
2	Olympiacos	23	19	4	83%	84.8	67.5	+17.3
3	Promitheas	24	16	8	67%	79.8	75.9	+3.8
4	PAOK	23	15	8	65%	78.9	76.6	+2.3
5	AEK Athens	24	14	10	58%	79.8	76.7	+3.1
6	Lavrio	23	13	10	57%	83.8	80.3	+3.6
7	G.S. Kymis	23	12	11	52%	78.6	79.2	-0.7
8	Kolossos Rhodes	23	9	14	39%	74.2	77.0	-2.7
9	Rethymno	23	8	15	35%	78.3	83.5	-5.2
10	Aris	23	8	15	35%	67.7	73.7	-6.0
11	Ifaistos Limnou	23	8	15	35%	75.6	83.8	-8.2
12	Panionios	23	7	16	30%	73.2	80.3	-7.1
13	Koroivos	23	7	16	30%	71.0	80.4	-9.4
14	Trikala	23	3	20	13%	69.2	82.3	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olympiacos	25	28	20	23	96
PAOK	20	17	18	22	77

← all games of the day

Olympiacos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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