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Olympiacos vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 79-68
17-15 24-17 13-22 25-14
Position#6
Record19-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#4
Record19-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2017
Meetings · Olympiacos v Zalgiris Kaunas
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20 Apr 2018
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18 Apr 2018
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OLY74
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H18/03
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A21/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H23/03
Euroleague
Koroivos
#13
W
104-54
104
54
+50
A26/03
Basket League
Unicaja
#9
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
A30/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H01/04
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
H06/04
Euroleague
Lavrio
#6
W
84-68
84
68
+16
A11/04
Basket League
Panionios
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A13/04
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
H18/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
22-17
26-16
15-29
26-23
14-21
22-25
19-20
30-15
19-27
21-15
19-25
27-21
21-10
37-13
19-10
22-19
11-28
23-7
18-20
19-21
33-25
22-15
26-25
25-10
18-21
16-25
21-24
22-13
21-17
24-13
17-25
13-16
26-16
19-18
21-23
23-12
15-20
18-21
16-19
165.2Avg total
86.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.877.1154.9+0.861%
Season at home (16)83.276.2159.5+7.075%
Season away (15)72.177.9150.0-5.947%
Last 10 (10)86.878.4165.2+8.460%
Last 5 (5)85.280.0165.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.276.5155.8+2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.382.5158.8-6.230%
vs Weaker (16)88.274.1162.4+14.188%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H20/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A22/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H25/03
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H30/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A02/04
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A06/04
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
82-60
82
60
+22
A08/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
94-47
94
47
+47
H10/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H13/04
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
A18/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
14-18
23-16
23-15
16-19
28-22
18-24
19-23
19-20
20-25
22-15
24-12
23-18
25-24
16-18
21-13
21-28
24-27
19-19
26-19
10-25
21-18
25-16
24-21
18-24
21-17
24-6
19-13
26-13
33-10
18-10
17-14
18-9
15-14
21-23
23-20
12-23
20-15
21-18
19-16
157.1Avg total
84.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.780.5162.2+1.361%
Season at home (15)81.579.5161.0+1.973%
Season away (16)81.981.3163.2+0.650%
Last 10 (10)84.472.7157.1+11.780%
Last 5 (5)85.267.2152.4+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.080.5163.5+2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.783.4165.1-1.743%
vs Weaker (20)84.673.3157.9+11.285%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +4.9+4.9
OlympiacosZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H18/03
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A21/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/03
Euroleague
Koroivos
#13
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A26/03
Basket League
Unicaja
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A30/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H01/04
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H06/04
Euroleague
Lavrio
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A11/04
Basket League
Panionios
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A13/04
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H18/04
Euroleague
78.9Avg total
42.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.179.0+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.137.282.3+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.175.6+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)42.736.278.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.034.277.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.537.277.8+3.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.539.377.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker (16)44.235.880.0+8.575%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A22/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/03
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H30/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A02/04
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A06/04
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
59-23
59
23
+36
H10/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H13/04
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A18/04
Euroleague
78.6Avg total
40.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.579.7+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.234.878.0+8.480%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.381.3+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.578.6+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.672.4+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.041.587.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.339.977.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (20)43.436.279.6+7.265%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.6
51.0%
51.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.3
33.8%
37.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws26.120.2
77.4%
76.3%20.2
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.2
53.4%
51.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.26.8
44.7%
37.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
76.3%16.6
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
LWWLWLWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#4
+1.6
Net rating
+5.1
112.3
Offensive rating
116.0
110.8
Defensive rating
110.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
57.0%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.8%
3-point %
44.7%
66.8%
Assist %
70.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 116.0Defence110.8 · 110.8Shooting50.9% · 57.0%3-point %33.8% · 44.7%Ball care16.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds33.1% · 32.1%Free throws0.45 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olympiacos wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/18HZalgiris Kaunas78-87 OT
13/04/18APanionios79-73
11/04/18ALavrio84-68
06/04/18HZalgiris Kaunas85-86 OT
01/04/18HAEK Athens100-86
30/03/18AUnicaja85-87 OT
26/03/18AKoroivos104-54
23/03/18HAnadolu Efes89-82
21/03/18ACSKA Moscow81-89
18/03/18HKolossos Rhodes83-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/18AOlympiacos87-78 OT
13/04/18HRytas77-66
10/04/18HNeptunas94-47
08/04/18AAlytaus Dzukija82-60
06/04/18AOlympiacos86-85 OT
02/04/18ASiauliai90-93
30/03/18HCSKA Moscow85-73
25/03/18HLietkabelis85-72
22/03/18AReal Madrid81-88
20/03/18HOlimpia Milano77-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL61%
HomeWLWLL75%
AwayLWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %61%75%47%
Points / game77.883.272.1
Allowed / game77.176.277.9
Point differential+0.8+7.0-5.9
Avg total154.9159.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (3)71% (7)
Overtime %19%19%20%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeLWLWW73%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game81.781.581.9
Allowed / game80.579.581.3
Point differential+1.3+1.9+0.6
Avg total162.2161.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %13%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3226681%89.880.2+9.5
2 Fenerbahce3223972%81.275.5+5.7
3 Real Madrid32201262%85.780.4+5.3
4 Panathinaikos32201262%79.577.5+2.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas31191261%81.780.5+1.3
6 Olympiacos31191261%77.877.1+0.8
7 Baskonia32161650%82.879.7+3.1
8 Khimki M.32161650%78.779.3-0.7
9 Unicaja30131743%79.682.2-2.7
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%81.384.3-3.0
11 Valencia30121840%78.781.6-3.0
12 Barcelona30111937%81.980.1+1.7
13 Bamberg30111937%77.081.5-4.6
14 Crvena zvezda30111937%77.883.8-6.1
15 Olimpia Milano30102033%81.785.8-4.2
16 Anadolu Efes3072323%77.484.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1724132579
Zalgiris Kaunas1517221468
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