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Olympiacos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 77-62
12-14 30-15 22-14 13-19
Position#3
Record13-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#10
Record7-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game77.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 16· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olympiacos v PAOK
13 Dec 2026
OLY v PAK
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
OLY100
PAK73
10 Feb 2025
OLY86
PAK60
27 Jan 2024
OLY77
PAK62
28 May 2023
OLY75
PAK54
13 May 2023
OLY83
PAK65
26 Mar 2023
OLY100
PAK70
14 Nov 2021
OLY86
PAK68
13 Apr 2019
OLY80
PAK59
05 May 2018
OLY96
PAK77
02 Apr 2017
OLY84
PAK59
23 Nov 2014
OLY80
PAK55
11 Nov 2013
OLY78
PAK70
14 Oct 2012
OLY89
PAK64
19 Apr 2012
OLY81
PAK53
18 Feb 2012
OLY87
PAK52
14 Jan 2012
OLY90
PAK60
09 Feb 2011
OLY89
PAK61
05 Dec 2010
OLY89
PAK82
17 Feb 2010
OLY92
PAK72
02 Nov 2008
OLY80
PAK71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Aris
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
90avg 81
H31/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
83avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 81
H04/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
92-80
92
80
+12
98avg 81
A07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 81
A10/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
69-80
69
80
-11
68avg 81
A12/01
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
71-52
71
52
+19
72avg 81
H15/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 81
H18/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 81
A22/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 81
A25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
21-16
18-27
26-17
18-19
22-16
23-15
16-24
17-21
17-15
22-22
19-15
23-16
26-23
22-18
21-23
20-27
21-17
22-31
15-11
17-14
15-19
17-26
20-21
14-11
13-21
23-12
21-8
26-18
16-18
27-21
20-15
18-23
24-21
12-19
26-22
13-30
17-22
25-16
30-22
156.6Avg total
80.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.968.3153.2+16.787%
Season at home (7)78.967.7146.6+11.186%
Season away (8)90.268.8159.0+21.588%
Last 10 (10)80.376.3156.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)78.875.8154.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)77.877.8155.5+0.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.769.4152.1+13.278%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
61-71
61
71
-10
53avg 67
A13/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
79-85
79
85
-6
75avg 67
H20/12
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 67
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 67
A30/12
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
63-95
63
95
-32
45avg 67
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 67
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
86avg 67
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-71
35
71
-36
19avg 67
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 67
H16/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
66-65 OT
66
65
+1
no box
H21/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
14-17
10-21
21-17
22-30
22-19
20-27
15-9
28-17
21-12
10-21
13-19
16-20
17-20
18-20
22-20
12-27
14-26
16-24
21-18
21-14
21-24
18-21
19-26
16-23
15-9
23-12
16-26
11-22
13-24
4-11
7-14
19-22
15-18
15-22
22-22
14-10
18-10
8-22
14-12
147.9Avg total
68.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.777.7150.3-5.047%
Season at home (8)75.576.5152.0-1.062%
Season away (7)69.479.0148.4-9.629%
Last 10 (10)68.779.2147.9-10.530%
Last 5 (5)67.878.4146.2-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.180.0148.1-11.823%
vs Similar (7)78.376.7155.0+1.671%
vs Weaker (1)67.054.0121.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
OlympiacosPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#8
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H31/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H02/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/01
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H15/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A25/01
Euroleague
75.6Avg total
37.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.176.6+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.134.773.7+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)42.037.579.5+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.875.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.639.474.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)38.538.677.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.934.476.3+7.572%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A13/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H20/12
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/12
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H21/01
Basket League
72.5Avg total
34.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.175.5-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.539.076.5-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)35.139.374.4-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.072.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.267.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)35.040.475.3-5.423%-
vs Similar (7)41.337.178.4+4.157%-
vs Weaker (1)32.026.058.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.9
37.6%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.114.2
74.3%
71.5%14.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.6
47.6%
52.4%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.8
32.4%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
71.5%15.2
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
LLWWLLWWWW
PAOK
WLLWLLLWLL
#3
League position
#10
+6.0
Net rating
-16.2
114.2
Offensive rating
95.9
108.2
Defensive rating
112.1
54.5%
Effective FG%
48.0%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
37.6%
3-point %
32.4%
71.6%
Assist %
69.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 95.9Defence108.2 · 112.1Shooting54.5% · 48.0%3-point %37.6% · 32.4%Ball care18.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds33.9% · 21.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Olympiacos   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23PAOK v Olympiacos63-77
28/05/23Olympiacos v PAOK75-54
25/05/23PAOK v Olympiacos77-97
13/05/23Olympiacos v PAOK83-65
26/03/23Olympiacos v PAOK100-70
11/12/22PAOK v Olympiacos68-88
04/04/22PAOK v Olympiacos73-84
14/11/21Olympiacos v PAOK86-68
13/04/19Olympiacos v PAOK80-59
30/12/18PAOK v Olympiacos68-78
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24AReal Madrid85-90
22/01/24APanathinaikos80-85
18/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv89-72
15/01/24HKolossos Rhodes71-52
12/01/24ABaskonia69-80
10/01/24ABarcelona78-86
07/01/24AAEK Athens92-80
04/01/24HMonaco75-73
02/01/24HOlimpia Milano79-74
31/12/23HAris85-71
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HLavrio66-65 OT
16/01/24HTofas71-84
13/01/24APeristeri35-71
09/01/24ATofas88-87 OT
06/01/24HMaroussi79-85
02/01/24HTofas63-95
30/12/23APromitheas73-80
23/12/23HAS Karditsas72-69
20/12/23HGalatasaray79-85
13/12/23AHapoel Jerusalem61-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%86%88%
Points / game84.978.990.2
Allowed / game68.367.768.8
Point differential+16.7+11.1+21.5
Avg total153.2146.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%71%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game72.775.569.4
Allowed / game77.776.579.0
Point differential-5.0-1.0-9.6
Avg total150.3152.0148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W660100%85.867.3+18.5
2 Panathinaikos15150100%85.470.3+15.1
3 Olympiacos1513287%84.968.3+16.7
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W54180%95.268.4+26.8
5 Peristeri1610662%81.473.2+8.2
6 Klaipedos Neptunas W53260%75.864.2+11.6
7 Promitheas169756%86.982.6+4.4
8 Aris158753%77.577.0+0.5
9 PAOK157847%72.777.7-5.0
10 AEK Athens167944%87.184.2+2.9
11 Kolossos Rhodes156940%80.283.5-3.3
12 Aistes LSU Kaunas W62433%57.774.7-17.0
13 AS Karditsas1651131%74.279.4-5.2
14 Maroussi1651131%81.689.6-8.1
15 Lavrio1651131%77.387.2-9.9
16 Apollon Patras1531220%67.082.9-15.9
17 Panevezys W51420%59.685.2-25.6
18 Siauliai W5050%66.280.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1230221377
PAOK1415141962
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