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PAOK vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 77-97
21-24 20-32 20-23 16-18
Position#6
Record15-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#1
Record25-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game70.5
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · PAOK v Olympiacos
21 Mar 2027
PAK v OLY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
PAK81
OLY92
14 Feb 2025
PAK75
OLY94
17 Nov 2024
PAK60
OLY90
05 Nov 2023
PAK63
OLY77
25 May 2023
PAK77
OLY97
11 Dec 2022
PAK68
OLY88
04 Apr 2022
PAK73
OLY84
30 Dec 2018
PAK68
OLY78
07 Jan 2018
PAK78
OLY71
18 Dec 2016
PAK84
OLY89
16 Mar 2015
PAK72
OLY88
16 Feb 2014
PAK72
OLY74
27 Jan 2013
PAK76
OLY71
21 Apr 2012
PAK61
OLY68
24 Oct 2011
PAK52
OLY65
09 Mar 2011
PAK49
OLY77
29 Dec 2010
PAK60
OLY79
22 Nov 2009
PAK78
OLY87
08 Feb 2009
PAK66
OLY74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
no box
A04/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
75avg 71
H13/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
87-79
87
79
+8
93avg 71
H19/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 71
A26/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 71
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
88-65
88
65
+23
90avg 71
A09/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
79avg 71
H23/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 71
A26/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
84avg 71
H30/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
65-83
65
83
-18
53avg 71
A13/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
27-23
12-25
18-24
13-18
25-22
23-21
20-12
21-19
26-16
23-22
17-22
22-30
8-19
22-17
18-34
23-18
17-21
12-16
26-17
25-13
20-21
27-22
16-9
17-13
21-19
20-29
20-14
13-20
16-21
15-16
19-20
23-21
24-21
17-15
17-21
19-17
26-25
7-21
13-20
155.2Avg total
76.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.977.5156.3+1.458%
Season at home (13)83.876.3160.1+7.585%
Season away (13)74.078.6152.6-4.631%
Last 10 (10)76.079.2155.2-3.260%
Last 5 (5)75.075.6150.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.183.8153.9-13.718%
vs Similar (12)78.078.8156.8-0.858%
vs Weaker (6)88.068.2156.2+19.883%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
97-73
97
73
+24
105avg 87
H20/04
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
no box
A22/04
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 87
H26/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 87
H28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
72-71
72
71
+1
67avg 87
A03/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
58avg 87
A05/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 87
H09/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
83-65
83
65
+18
90avg 87
H13/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
80avg 87
H19/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 87
H21/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
25-24
20-18
24-19
18-9
24-18
18-14
22-17
19-21
18-14
26-16
16-17
24-10
13-24
19-17
22-31
15-21
23-14
7-16
27-20
17-18
16-14
16-16
20-25
20-15
24-18
21-19
19-20
17-19
25-26
21-7
20-13
14-20
15-21
27-2
20-19
24-17
21-28
18-14
15-20
150.1Avg total
79.8Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)91.670.5162.2+21.1100%
Season at home (13)94.268.5162.6+25.7100%
Season away (12)88.972.8161.7+16.2100%
Last 10 (10)79.870.3150.1+9.570%
Last 5 (5)78.070.2148.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.172.5155.6+10.681%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
PAOKOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A04/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H19/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A26/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A09/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H30/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A13/05
Basket League
79.3Avg total
39.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.777.7+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.737.881.5+5.969%-
Last 30 away (17)35.539.474.9-3.935%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.579.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.279.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.942.077.9-6.127%-
vs Similar (12)38.738.877.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker (6)47.232.779.8+14.5100%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H20/04
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A22/04
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A05/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H09/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H13/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H19/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/05
Euroleague
76.3Avg total
40.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.235.675.8+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.534.575.1+6.071%-
Last 30 away (13)39.837.076.8+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.376.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.277.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)40.536.076.5+4.570%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.9
48.8%
53.1%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.5
35.1%
33.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.611.7
75.0%
71.9%11.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.319.3
59.8%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
33.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.215.7
74.1%
71.9%15.7
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWLWWWLWWL
Olympiacos
LWWWLWLWWW
#6
League position
#1
-4.6
Net rating
+15.0
101.3
Offensive rating
114.6
105.9
Defensive rating
99.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.1%
3-point %
32.3%
72.3%
Assist %
74.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 114.6Defence105.9 · 99.6Shooting50.6% · 54.7%3-point %35.1% · 32.3%Ball care19.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds26.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ PAOK   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
9
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
13/05/23Olympiacos v PAOK83-65
26/03/23Olympiacos v PAOK100-70
11/12/22PAOK v Olympiacos68-88
04/04/22PAOK v Olympiacos73-84
14/11/21Olympiacos v PAOK86-68
13/04/19Olympiacos v PAOK80-59
30/12/18PAOK v Olympiacos68-78
05/05/18Olympiacos v PAOK96-77
07/01/18PAOK v Olympiacos78-71
02/04/17Olympiacos v PAOK84-59
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23AOlympiacos65-83
30/04/23HPromitheas81-78
26/04/23APromitheas63-77
23/04/23HPromitheas78-75
09/04/23AApollon Patras88-65
01/04/23HAEK Athens78-72
26/03/23AOlympiacos70-100
19/03/23HAS Karditsas87-79
13/03/23HPanathinaikos81-73
04/03/23APromitheas69-90
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/23HReal Madrid78-79
19/05/23HMonaco76-62
13/05/23HPAOK83-65
09/05/23HFenerbahce84-72
05/05/23AFenerbahce69-73
03/05/23AFenerbahce72-71
28/04/23HFenerbahce78-82
26/04/23HFenerbahce79-68
22/04/23AAris82-58
20/04/23HAris97-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL58%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%85%31%
Points / game78.983.874.0
Allowed / game77.576.378.6
Point differential+1.4+7.5-4.6
Avg total156.3160.1152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%23%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.694.288.9
Allowed / game70.568.572.8
Point differential+21.1+25.7+16.2
Avg total162.2162.6161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%92%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos25250100%91.670.5+21.1
2 Panathinaikos2720774%84.670.5+14.1
3 Peristeri27171063%83.879.7+4.1
4 PAOK26151158%78.977.5+1.4
5 Promitheas25131252%76.777.2-0.5
6 AEK Athens24121250%76.778.6-1.9
7 Aris24111346%77.877.4+0.3
8 Kolossos Rhodes24111346%76.779.5-2.8
9 Lavrio2271532%76.282.6-6.4
10 Apollon Patras2251723%69.579.3-9.8
11 AS Karditsas2251723%72.081.8-9.8
12 Ionikos2241818%73.890.4-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2120201677
Olympiacos2432231897
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