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Olympiacos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-79
24-17 21-28 18-14 15-20
Position#1
Record28-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game75.2
Olympiacos
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#2
Record27-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2022
Meetings · Olympiacos v Real Madrid
20 Nov 2026
OLY v MAD
upcoming
24 May 2026
OLY92
MAD85
07 Apr 2026
OLY102
MAD88
25 Apr 2025
OLY77
MAD71
23 Apr 2025
OLY84
MAD72
29 Oct 2024
OLY79
MAD69
05 Dec 2023
OLY71
MAD77
21 May 2023
OLY78
MAD79
20 Jan 2023
OLY73
MAD60
08 Oct 2021
OLY74
MAD68
18 Dec 2020
OLY82
MAD86
22 Nov 2018
OLY88
MAD83
08 Dec 2017
OLY92
MAD83
24 Mar 2017
OLY73
MAD79
25 Mar 2016
OLY99
MAD84
23 Apr 2014
OLY71
MAD62
21 Apr 2014
OLY78
MAD76
12 May 2013
OLY100
MAD88
18 Oct 2010
OLY82
MAD66
26 Mar 2009
OLY79
MAD73
24 Mar 2009
OLY88
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
86-78
86
78
+8
89avg 87
H13/04
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
97-73
97
73
+24
105avg 87
H20/04
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
no box
A22/04
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 87
H26/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 87
H28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
72-71
72
71
+1
67avg 87
A03/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
58avg 87
A05/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 87
H09/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
83-65
83
65
+18
90avg 87
H13/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
80avg 87
H19/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
26-22
21-22
20-23
28-12
25-24
20-18
24-19
18-9
24-18
18-14
22-17
19-21
18-14
26-16
16-17
24-10
13-24
19-17
22-31
15-21
23-14
7-16
27-20
17-18
16-14
16-16
20-25
20-15
24-18
21-19
19-20
17-19
25-26
21-7
20-13
14-20
15-21
27-2
20-19
150.8Avg total
80.6Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)82.975.2158.0+7.770%
Season at home (21)85.172.6157.8+12.581%
Season away (19)80.477.9158.3+2.458%
Last 10 (10)80.670.2150.8+10.480%
Last 5 (5)76.868.6145.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)77.070.0147.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (28)83.772.3156.0+11.482%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
77avg 72
H25/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 72
H27/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
93-86
93
86
+7
80avg 72
H30/04
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
80avg 72
A02/05
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
85-78
85
78
+7
84avg 72
A04/05
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
102-90
102
90
+12
93avg 72
H07/05
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
98-94
98
94
+4
93avg 72
H10/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
78avg 72
A12/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
95-67
95
67
+28
99avg 72
A14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
73avg 72
A19/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
22-26
20-15
23-26
21-31
16-20
25-24
18-20
18-13
17-27
31-26
27-20
19-32
26-16
21-15
16-17
27-15
18-27
16-13
24-23
24-24
25-22
30-28
23-16
22-23
17-32
30-21
29-18
20-15
19-20
21-18
19-15
23-21
31-22
17-16
24-8
18-18
18-24
22-13
20-11
169.2Avg total
87.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)85.580.0165.6+5.568%
Season at home (20)89.781.7171.4+8.070%
Season away (20)81.378.5159.8+2.965%
Last 10 (10)87.981.3169.2+6.680%
Last 5 (5)90.477.0167.4+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.788.4176.1-0.743%
vs Weaker (16)89.176.4165.6+12.794%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.9+4.9
OlympiacosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H13/04
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H20/04
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A22/04
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A05/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H09/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H13/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H19/05
Euroleague
75.1Avg total
40.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.875.1+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.733.173.8+7.676%-
Last 30 away (13)39.837.076.8+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.175.1+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.274.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)29.027.056.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)40.835.476.2+5.471%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H25/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H27/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H30/04
ACB
Partizan
#6
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A02/05
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A04/05
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H07/05
ACB
Partizan
#6
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H10/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A12/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A19/05
Euroleague
87.3Avg total
42.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.184.1+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.440.985.3+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)43.639.282.8+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)42.345.087.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.287.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.645.087.6-2.443%-
vs Weaker (16)45.235.880.9+9.488%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.219.3
59.9%
53.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.4
33.1%
36.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.216.5
74.3%
78.5%16.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.5
55.6%
53.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.7
38.0%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.116.8
79.6%
78.5%16.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWLWLWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLL
#1
League position
#2
+16.1
Net rating
+9.1
114.3
Offensive rating
119.3
98.2
Defensive rating
110.3
55.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.1%
3-point %
38.0%
74.0%
Assist %
57.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 119.3Defence98.2 · 110.3Shooting55.4% · 56.2%3-point %33.1% · 38.0%Ball care18.6% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.5% · 28.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olympiacos wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
20/01/23Olympiacos v Real Madrid73-60
19/10/22Real Madrid v Olympiacos87-89
02/02/22Real Madrid v Olympiacos75-67
08/10/21Olympiacos v Real Madrid74-68
02/04/21Real Madrid v Olympiacos72-63
18/12/20Olympiacos v Real Madrid82-86 OT
10/01/19Real Madrid v Olympiacos94-78
22/11/18Olympiacos v Real Madrid88-83
09/02/18Real Madrid v Olympiacos79-80
08/12/17Olympiacos v Real Madrid92-83 OT
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/23HMonaco76-62
13/05/23HPAOK83-65
09/05/23HFenerbahce84-72
05/05/23AFenerbahce69-73
03/05/23AFenerbahce72-71
28/04/23HFenerbahce78-82
26/04/23HFenerbahce79-68
22/04/23AAris82-58
20/04/23HAris97-73
13/04/23HBaskonia86-78
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/23ABarcelona78-66
14/05/23AGran Canaria95-67
12/05/23AValencia79-68
10/05/23HPartizan98-94
07/05/23HUnicaja102-90
04/05/23APartizan85-78
02/05/23APartizan82-80
30/04/23HBasket Zaragoza93-86
27/04/23HPartizan80-95
25/04/23HPartizan87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW70%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayWLLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %70%81%58%
Points / game82.985.180.4
Allowed / game75.272.677.9
Point differential+7.7+12.5+2.4
Avg total158.0157.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)0% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayLLWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %68%70%65%
Points / game85.589.781.3
Allowed / game80.081.778.5
Point differential+5.5+8.1+2.9
Avg total165.6171.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)44% (9)62% (8)
Overtime %8%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos40281270%82.975.2+7.7
2 Real Madrid40271368%85.580.0+5.5
3 Barcelona39261367%80.576.4+4.1
4 Monaco41251661%82.381.5+0.8
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv39221756%83.680.9+2.7
6 Partizan39221756%85.483.2+2.3
7 Fenerbahce39211854%82.881.0+1.8
8 Baskonia34181653%86.784.0+2.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas37191851%75.977.9-2.1
10 Anadolu Efes34171750%83.081.3+1.7
11 Crvena zvezda34171750%77.277.9-0.6
12 Olimpia Milano34151944%74.877.6-2.8
13 Valencia34151944%81.885.6-3.8
14 Virtus Bologna34142041%78.082.7-4.7
15 Panathinaikos34112332%79.382.7-3.4
16 Bayern34112332%76.680.6-3.9
17 Alba Berlin34112332%80.184.4-4.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3482624%74.382.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2421181578
Real Madrid1728142079
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