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Olympiacos vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-96
16-25 23-27 26-24 20-20
Position#12
Record7-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#8
Record8-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2020
Meetings · Olympiacos v Valencia
16 Dec 2025
OLY92
VAL99
15 Dec 2023
OLY56
VAL63
04 Nov 2022
OLY82
VAL83
16 Dec 2020
OLY85
VAL96
22 Feb 2018
OLY80
VAL70
20 Nov 2014
OLY77
VAL76
02 Feb 2011
OLY77
VAL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H14/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H16/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A23/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H30/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A05/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H26/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A03/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A08/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A10/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-21
27-16
23-17
15-22
29-18
25-26
16-16
18-22
16-17
19-22
15-13
26-29
12-15
19-19
22-21
19-20
22-7
17-16
17-23
10-22
14-13
27-9
24-27
15-23
16-24
27-20
18-23
19-20
10-19
9-17
23-24
26-17
25-30
21-16
24-25
16-30
21-15
25-16
19-18
157.1Avg total
78.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.277.3154.6-0.158%
Season at home (6)78.078.3156.3-0.350%
Season away (6)76.576.3152.8+0.267%
Last 10 (10)78.278.9157.1-0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.881.6159.4-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.867.0126.8-7.238%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.371.7145.0+1.650%
vs Weaker (11)84.970.4155.3+14.582%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H17/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H20/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
100-90
100
90
+10
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
92-100
92
100
-8
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A13/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
23-20
25-25
25-17
19-17
24-20
15-22
24-21
16-22
22-20
30-18
21-35
16-17
17-26
26-21
31-22
32-22
19-29
19-19
30-20
21-27
29-24
15-32
27-17
21-16
9-15
22-6
16-24
12-16
27-17
21-32
12-20
19-23
21-15
14-22
22-14
15-27
19-13
21-21
31-20
168.5Avg total
85.0Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.981.2163.2+0.762%
Season at home (8)79.279.6158.9-0.462%
Season away (5)86.283.8170.0+2.460%
Last 10 (10)85.083.5168.5+1.570%
Last 5 (5)78.880.2159.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.381.1158.4-3.943%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.985.1169.0-1.250%
vs Weaker (12)82.678.9161.5+3.775%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
OlympiacosValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H14/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A23/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A05/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H26/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A03/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A08/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/12
Euroleague
77.0Avg total
36.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.336.875.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.537.576.1+1.062%-
Last 30 away (15)38.136.274.3+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.577.0-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.677.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.741.879.5-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.233.669.8+2.660%-
vs Weaker (11)40.636.777.4+3.973%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H22/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/12
ACB
81.0Avg total
40.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.478.8-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.980.7-1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)37.239.877.0-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.781.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.677.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.740.173.9-6.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.941.780.6-2.840%-
vs Weaker (12)40.739.680.2+1.158%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.7
56.2%
52.7%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.7
37.5%
38.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.713.7
77.4%
79.3%13.7
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.1
54.7%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.5
41.8%
38.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.514.5
82.9%
79.3%14.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWLLWWLLWW
Valencia
WWLWLWWLWW
#12
League position
#8
-1.0
Net rating
+2.6
108.4
Offensive rating
116.9
109.4
Defensive rating
114.3
56.2%
Effective FG%
58.1%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
20.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.5%
3-point %
41.8%
62.8%
Assist %
72.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 116.9Defence109.4 · 114.3Shooting56.2% · 58.1%3-point %37.5% · 41.8%Ball care20.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds26.7% · 27.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olympiacos wins
0
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
22/02/18Olympiacos v Valencia80-70
30/11/17Valencia v Olympiacos64-72
20/11/14Olympiacos v Valencia77-76
16/10/14Valencia v Olympiacos68-71
17/02/11Valencia v Olympiacos79-85
02/02/11Olympiacos v Valencia77-62
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/20ACrvena zvezda81-79
08/12/20ABarcelona96-88
03/12/20ACSKA Moscow61-80
26/11/20HBaskonia76-90
12/11/20HAlba Berlin75-71
05/11/20AZenit Petersburg75-66
30/10/20HAnadolu Efes79-84
23/10/20ABayern68-74
16/10/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-82
14/10/20HOlimpia Milano86-75
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20AEstudiantes86-81
10/12/20HAnadolu Efes76-74
08/12/20HZenit Petersburg72-85
05/12/20AFuenlabrada68-61
03/12/20HAlba Berlin92-100
01/12/20ABarcelona100-90
27/11/20AFenerbahce90-86
22/11/20HTenerife89-95
20/11/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv82-80
17/11/20HPanathinaikos95-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game77.278.076.5
Allowed / game77.378.376.3
Point differential-0.1-0.3+0.2
Avg total154.6156.3152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%62%60%
Points / game81.979.286.2
Allowed / game81.279.683.8
Point differential+0.7-0.4+2.4
Avg total163.2158.9170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%12%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1411379%81.772.0+9.7
2 CSKA Moscow1411379%84.378.1+6.2
3 Zenit Petersburg128467%74.772.1+2.6
4 Real Madrid149564%82.579.3+3.2
5 Bayern149564%79.476.6+2.7
6 Olimpia Milano138562%82.280.3+1.9
7 Valencia138562%81.981.2+0.7
8 Olympiacos127558%77.277.3-0.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%79.179.1+0.0
10 Anadolu Efes147750%77.378.2-0.9
11 Baskonia136746%78.574.8+3.7
12 Alba Berlin136746%78.882.4-3.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv135838%78.578.1+0.4
14 Fenerbahce145936%72.978.9-6.0
15 Panathinaikos134931%79.584.9-5.5
16 Crvena zvezda1441029%75.477.8-2.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne123925%73.877.7-3.9
18 Khimki M.1421214%79.188.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1623262085
Valencia2527242096
← all games of the day
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