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Olympiacos vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-71
10-22 14-13 27-9 24-27
Position#12
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#15
Record1-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game90.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8
European cup2020
Meetings · Olympiacos v Alba Berlin
20 Dec 2024
OLY90
ABE85
30 Jan 2024
OLY101
ABE87
24 Nov 2022
OLY86
ABE76
26 Oct 2021
OLY87
ABE83
12 Nov 2020
OLY75
ABE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Pagrati
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
A20/09
Greek Cup
Amyntas
#4
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
A23/09
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
H26/09
Greek Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
67-68
67
68
-1
62avg 73
H01/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
78-71
78
71
+7
65avg 73
A09/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 73
H14/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 73
H16/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
A23/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
77avg 73
H30/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
72avg 73
A05/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
20-16
20-16
20-19
24-19
17-13
27-24
12-23
10-18
17-20
24-20
20-20
18-23
19-11
21-13
9-21
22-12
22-23
18-22
16-14
18-21
18-21
27-16
23-17
15-22
29-18
25-26
16-16
18-22
16-17
19-22
15-13
26-29
12-15
19-19
22-21
19-20
22-7
17-16
17-23
151.5Avg total
77.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.974.3151.1+2.657%
Season at home (4)79.277.2156.5+2.050%
Season away (3)73.770.3144.0+3.367%
Last 10 (10)77.074.5151.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)78.676.2154.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)55.964.3120.1-8.429%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.171.8144.9+1.344%
vs Weaker (13)84.570.3154.8+14.285%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H24/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
88-65
88
65
+23
no box
H26/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A28/06
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 68
A01/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
63avg 68
H09/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
64avg 68
H13/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
93-88
93
88
+5
83avg 68
A16/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
67-103
67
103
-36
51avg 68
H05/11
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
82avg 68
H08/11
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
A10/11
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
24-19
24-11
16-14
19-13
27-16
23-13
19-23
21-11
21-24
25-19
8-20
29-19
12-30
17-18
15-13
27-21
9-31
18-19
18-19
14-29
21-24
20-17
17-23
17-19
30-32
21-14
25-23
18-30
18-26
15-23
16-24
22-9
27-13
15-15
15-29
21-27
18-13
24-18
27-24
159.0Avg total
79.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.490.8166.2-15.420%
Season at home (3)70.395.3165.7-25.00%
Season away (2)83.084.0167.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.080.0159.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)80.286.4166.6-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.093.5169.5-17.525%
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.080.0153.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (25)90.979.1170.0+11.884%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.6-3.6
OlympiacosAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pagrati
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A20/09
Greek Cup
Amyntas
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A23/09
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#5
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H26/09
Greek Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H01/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A09/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H14/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A23/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A05/11
Euroleague
74.7Avg total
38.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.236.476.6+3.861%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.837.979.8+3.969%-
Last 30 away (15)38.735.173.8+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.474.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.477.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.041.081.0-1.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.633.471.0+4.167%-
vs Weaker (13)42.236.478.6+5.877%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H24/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H26/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A28/06
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A01/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H09/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H13/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H05/11
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H08/11
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A10/11
German Cup
83.3Avg total
41.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.041.987.9+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.843.690.4+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.240.485.7+4.856%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.183.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.485.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.553.091.5-14.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)41.049.090.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (25)47.439.987.2+7.568%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.0
54.2%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.9
32.5%
38.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
79.3%15.7
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.9
51.5%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.9
36.7%
38.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws11.810.0
84.7%
79.3%10.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLLWWWLLWW
Alba Berlin
WWLWLLLWWW
#12
League position
#15
+2.8
Net rating
-12.3
107.7
Offensive rating
105.0
104.9
Defensive rating
117.3
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.5%
3-point %
36.7%
59.9%
Assist %
62.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 105.0Defence104.9 · 117.3Shooting52.2% · 53.0%3-point %32.5% · 36.7%Ball care18.2% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Olympiacos wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
No previous meetings.
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/20AZenit Petersburg75-66
30/10/20HAnadolu Efes79-84
23/10/20ABayern68-74
16/10/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-82
14/10/20HOlimpia Milano86-75
09/10/20APanathinaikos78-71
01/10/20HZalgiris Kaunas67-68
26/09/20HKolossos Rhodes71-78
23/09/20AAmyntas80-79
20/09/20APagrati81-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/20ABonn90-82
08/11/20HFrankfurt79-66
05/11/20HBarcelona67-103
16/10/20ACSKA Moscow93-88
13/10/20HAnadolu Efes72-93
09/10/20HBayern72-90
01/10/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv73-80
28/06/20ALudwigsburg75-74
26/06/20HLudwigsburg88-65
24/06/20HOldenburg81-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game76.979.273.7
Allowed / game74.377.270.3
Point differential+2.6+2.0+3.3
Avg total151.1156.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game75.470.383.0
Allowed / game90.895.384.0
Point differential-15.4-25.0-1.0
Avg total166.2165.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona76186%81.172.1+9.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas75271%81.677.1+4.4
3 Bayern75271%79.976.1+3.7
4 Valencia64267%79.876.3+3.5
5 Zenit Petersburg32167%71.071.3-0.3
6 CSKA Moscow85362%81.881.0+0.8
7 Olimpia Milano53260%80.478.8+1.6
8 Fenerbahce74357%75.972.1+3.7
9 Olympiacos74357%76.974.3+2.6
10 Anadolu Efes63350%80.280.3-0.2
11 Crvena zvezda73443%76.176.3-0.1
12 Real Madrid73443%81.383.3-2.0
13 Panathinaikos52340%80.681.6-1.0
14 Baskonia62433%78.277.0+1.2
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv72529%79.981.7-1.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne51420%73.282.0-8.8
17 Alba Berlin51420%75.490.8-15.4
18 Khimki M.71614%76.083.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1014272475
Alba Berlin221392771
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