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Olympiacos vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 56-63
15-14 11-21 12-12 18-16
Position#4
Record7-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#14
Record7-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game75.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2023
Meetings · Olympiacos v Valencia
16 Dec 2025
OLY92
VAL99
15 Dec 2023
OLY56
VAL63
04 Nov 2022
OLY82
VAL83
16 Dec 2020
OLY85
VAL96
22 Feb 2018
OLY80
VAL70
20 Nov 2014
OLY77
VAL76
02 Feb 2011
OLY77
VAL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
76avg 82
A14/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
90avg 82
H16/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
111-83
111
83
+28
112avg 82
A19/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 82
H24/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 82
H27/11
Basket League
Monaco
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
71avg 82
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
96-54
96
54
+42
107avg 82
A02/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
57avg 82
H05/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
77-69
77
69
+8
71avg 82
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
83-54
83
54
+29
83avg 82
A11/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
24-17
13-19
15-19
20-23
25-21
19-9
24-30
24-21
29-20
28-21
30-21
19-19
24-12
26-21
20-20
27-14
16-19
20-19
24-22
17-22
22-16
20-20
18-27
26-19
24-6
25-11
21-18
19-23
17-14
21-24
14-16
24-8
17-21
13-15
23-25
22-13
22-15
21-13
18-13
158.3Avg total
85.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.075.8153.8+2.254%
Season at home (8)80.075.5155.5+4.562%
Season away (5)74.876.2151.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)85.872.5158.3+13.380%
Last 5 (5)80.867.8148.6+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)73.173.0146.1+0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.866.0148.7+16.890%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 73
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 73
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 73
A19/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
71avg 73
A23/11
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 73
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
84-98
84
98
-14
71avg 73
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 73
H03/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 73
H06/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
78-55
78
55
+23
75avg 73
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
85-77 OT
85
77
+8
no box
A10/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
23-19
13-20
11-13
16-25
17-12
19-17
18-20
19-15
18-21
20-26
17-21
18-27
17-22
18-23
20-18
25-20
31-27
26-17
19-13
21-20
31-24
18-23
14-31
17-19
22-24
20-17
20-25
25-19
31-21
16-25
13-16
18-23
17-10
18-8
25-14
23-7
18-19
12-20
17-24
159.8Avg total
80.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.175.5150.6-0.554%
Season at home (7)77.675.9153.4+1.771%
Season away (6)72.275.2147.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)80.279.6159.8+0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.279.2161.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.176.9150.0-3.844%
vs Similar (12)78.778.2156.9+0.458%
vs Weaker (9)81.776.0157.7+5.767%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
OlympiacosValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A14/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H16/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A19/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H24/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H27/11
Basket League
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A02/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H05/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A11/12
Basket League
78.7Avg total
44.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.833.974.7+6.880%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.433.673.0+5.881%-
Last 30 away (14)42.434.376.6+8.179%-
Last 10 (10)44.534.278.7+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)42.031.473.4+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)36.835.572.3+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.833.175.9+9.690%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/11
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H03/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H06/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A10/12
ACB
83.1Avg total
43.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.577.5+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.779.1+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)39.536.475.9+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.883.1+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.281.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.438.975.3-2.444%-
vs Similar (12)42.636.378.9+6.283%-
vs Weaker (9)40.137.877.9+2.356%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.8
54.7%
53.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.0
40.9%
36.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.514.4
70.2%
77.4%14.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.8
51.2%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.3
31.9%
36.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.314.8
76.7%
77.4%14.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWLWLWWWWW
Valencia
WWWLLWLLLL
#4
League position
#14
+19.2
Net rating
+0.1
123.0
Offensive rating
107.9
103.7
Defensive rating
107.8
57.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.9%
3-point %
31.9%
70.8%
Assist %
59.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence123.0 · 107.9Defence103.7 · 107.8Shooting57.6% · 50.0%3-point %40.9% · 31.9%Ball care15.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds35.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olympiacos wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
24/02/23Valencia v Olympiacos85-92
04/11/22Olympiacos v Valencia82-83
31/03/21Valencia v Olympiacos79-88
16/12/20Olympiacos v Valencia85-96
22/02/18Olympiacos v Valencia80-70
30/11/17Valencia v Olympiacos64-72
20/11/14Olympiacos v Valencia77-76
16/10/14Valencia v Olympiacos68-71
17/02/11Valencia v Olympiacos79-85
02/02/11Olympiacos v Valencia77-62
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23AAS Karditsas83-54
08/12/23HBayern77-69
05/12/23HReal Madrid71-77
02/12/23ALavrio96-54
30/11/23AMonaco77-85
27/11/23HPeristeri87-74
24/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas89-72
19/11/23AMaroussi111-83
16/11/23HCrvena zvezda88-83
14/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AMurcia85-77 OT
08/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne78-55
06/12/23HCrvena zvezda85-81
03/12/23HBilbao79-85
01/12/23HBaskonia84-98
25/11/23APalencia101-77
23/11/23APanathinaikos73-90
19/11/23ABaskonia74-83
17/11/23ABarcelona70-74
14/11/23HReal Madrid73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %54%62%40%
Points / game78.080.074.8
Allowed / game75.875.576.2
Point differential+2.2+4.5-1.4
Avg total153.8155.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %15%12%20%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game75.177.672.2
Allowed / game75.575.975.2
Point differential-0.5+1.7-3.0
Avg total150.6153.4147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1413193%89.175.6+13.5
2 Barcelona1310377%83.877.6+6.2
3 Virtus Bologna1410471%84.681.8+2.8
4 Partizan148657%87.685.4+2.1
5 Monaco148657%79.378.9+0.4
6 Baskonia148657%82.982.9+0.1
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv148657%86.587.5-1.0
8 Olympiacos137654%78.075.8+2.2
9 Valencia137654%75.175.5-0.5
10 Panathinaikos147750%81.980.6+1.4
11 Fenerbahce147750%81.181.2-0.1
12 Anadolu Efes147750%81.987.0-5.1
13 Bayern146843%78.781.4-2.6
14 Crvena zvezda145936%82.480.3+2.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%79.181.2-2.1
16 Olimpia Milano134931%78.978.6+0.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1421214%80.289.0-8.8
18 Alba Berlin1421214%76.386.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1511121856
Valencia1421121663
← all games of the day
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