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Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 128-122
38-35 24-27 34-27 32-33
Position#13
Record34-27
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game113.4
vs
Position#9
Record40-25
FormLWWLW
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game114.6
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Cleveland Cavaliers
07 Jan 2027
ORL v CLE
upcoming
16 Dec 2026
ORL v CLE
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
ORL128
CLE122
24 Jan 2026
ORL105
CLE119
25 Feb 2025
ORL82
CLE122
03 May 2024
ORL103
CLE96
27 Apr 2024
ORL112
CLE89
25 Apr 2024
ORL121
CLE83
22 Jan 2024
ORL99
CLE126
11 Dec 2023
ORL104
CLE94
06 Apr 2023
ORL94
CLE118
04 Apr 2023
ORL113
CLE117
05 Apr 2022
ORL120
CLE115
06 Jan 2021
ORL105
CLE94
04 Jan 2021
ORL103
CLE83
19 Mar 2020
ORL v CLE
upcoming
23 Oct 2019
ORL94
CLE85
14 Mar 2019
ORL120
CLE91
05 Nov 2018
ORL102
CLE100
06 Feb 2018
ORL116
CLE98
06 Jan 2018
ORL127
CLE131
11 Mar 2017
ORL104
CLE116
18 Mar 2016
ORL103
CLE109
11 Dec 2015
ORL76
CLE111
15 Mar 2015
ORL108
CLE123
26 Dec 2014
ORL89
CLE98
02 Apr 2014
ORL98
CLE119
13 Dec 2013
ORL100
CLE109
23 Feb 2013
ORL94
CLE118
23 Nov 2012
ORL108
CLE104
23 Mar 2012
ORL93
CLE80
03 Feb 2012
ORL102
CLE94
30 Jan 2011
ORL103
CLE87
26 Nov 2010
ORL111
CLE100
21 Feb 2010
ORL101
CLE95
11 Nov 2009
ORL93
CLE102
30 May 2009
ORL103
CLE90
26 May 2009
ORL116
CLE114
24 May 2009
ORL99
CLE89
03 Apr 2009
ORL116
CLE87
29 Jan 2009
ORL99
CLE88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
131-94
131
94
+37
125avg 104
A20/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
100avg 104
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
111-109
111
109
+2
105avg 104
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
110-109
110
109
+1
101avg 104
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
108-113
108
113
-5
97avg 104
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
92-106
92
106
-14
82avg 104
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
126-109
126
109
+17
130avg 104
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
115-114
115
114
+1
109avg 104
H06/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
119-92
119
92
+27
119avg 104
A07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
130-91
130
91
+39
135avg 104
A09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
46-27
38-29
29-10
25-21
26-22
22-34
23-19
29-25
28-28
31-36
23-20
25-33
28-23
26-24
31-29
29-22
24-21
27-38
28-32
26-23
31-27
18-31
17-25
27-24
30-30
40-27
29-28
26-33
34-29
31-26
24-26
27-30
33-20
30-28
29-14
25-15
42-40
33-15
30-21
220.2Avg total
115.2Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)115.0113.4228.4+1.656%
Season at home (30)114.9112.9227.8+2.063%
Season away (31)115.0113.9228.9+1.148%
Last 10 (10)115.2105.0220.2+10.270%
Last 5 (5)116.4102.4218.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)98.8114.8213.5-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)110.4112.7223.1-2.350%
vs Weaker (16)118.6110.9229.5+7.875%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
112-84
112
84
+28
113avg 110
H20/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
118-113
118
113
+5
116avg 110
A21/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
113-121
113
121
-8
108avg 110
A22/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
109-94
109
94
+15
98avg 110
H25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
116-118
116
118
-2
111avg 110
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
119-122 OT
119
122
-3
110avg 110
A28/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 110
A01/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
113-109
113
109
+4
104avg 110
H04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
98-109
98
109
-11
86avg 110
H08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
115-101
115
101
+14
111avg 110
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-16
36-32
32-19
10-17
30-20
29-33
31-36
28-24
25-40
30-24
31-25
27-32
35-26
25-28
23-11
26-29
33-33
30-29
31-31
22-25
35-27
19-23
30-35
30-29
29-24
17-28
28-23
32-27
25-27
29-21
35-32
24-29
26-35
10-21
33-30
29-23
26-20
30-24
31-22
28-35
219.2Avg total
111.9Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)118.7114.6233.3+4.262%
Season at home (34)117.9113.2231.1+4.765%
Season away (31)119.6116.1235.7+3.658%
Last 10 (10)111.9107.3219.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)110.2108.6218.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)109.4115.0224.4-5.629%
vs Similar ◀ (12)120.1110.0230.1+10.183%
vs Weaker (11)120.4111.2231.5+9.282%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
Orlando MagicCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A20/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H06/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A09/03
NBA
110.0Avg total
57.9Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.556.7112.2-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.555.4109.9-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)56.558.1114.5-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)57.952.1110.0+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)60.254.2114.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.055.2108.2-2.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)52.955.8108.7-2.940%-
vs Weaker (16)57.757.7115.4+0.044%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H20/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A21/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A22/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A28/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A01/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H09/03
NBA
108.4Avg total
55.3Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.755.1112.8+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.457.4116.8+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)56.253.1109.3+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)55.353.1108.4+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)49.250.099.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)52.357.7110.0-5.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)58.352.7111.0+5.775%-
vs Weaker (11)60.556.0116.5+4.564%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.928.9
54.6%
54.8%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.512.3
35.7%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws26.020.5
78.8%
78.1%20.5
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.826.3
55.0%
54.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.2
36.0%
35.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws26.019.7
75.8%
78.1%19.7
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WWWWLLWWLW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWWLLWLWW
#13
League position
#9
+10.0
Net rating
+4.7
113.2
Offensive rating
114.8
103.2
Defensive rating
110.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.6%
Turnover %
12.5%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
36.0%
65.8%
Assist %
67.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 114.8Defence103.2 · 110.1Shooting54.2% · 54.6%3-point %35.7% · 36.0%Ball care12.6% · 12.5%Off. rebounds25.4% · 27.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks130-91
07/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-92
06/03/26HDallas Mavericks115-114
04/03/26HWashington Wizards126-109
01/03/26HDetroit Pistons92-106
27/02/26HHouston Rockets108-113
25/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers110-109
23/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers111-109
21/02/26APhoenix Suns110-113 OT
20/02/26ASacramento Kings131-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers115-101
08/03/26HBoston Celtics98-109
04/03/26HDetroit Pistons113-109
01/03/26ABrooklyn Nets106-102
28/02/26ADetroit Pistons119-122 OT
26/02/26AMilwaukee Bucks116-118
25/02/26HNew York Knicks109-94
22/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder113-121
21/02/26ACharlotte Hornets118-113
20/02/26HBrooklyn Nets112-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLLLWW63%
AwayLWWWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613031
Win %56%63%48%
Points / game115.0114.9115.0
Allowed / game113.4112.9113.9
Point differential+1.6+2.0+1.1
Avg total228.4227.8228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (21)64% (11)70% (10)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWWLW65%
AwayWLLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653431
Win %62%65%58%
Points / game118.7117.9119.6
Allowed / game114.6113.2116.1
Point differential+4.2+4.7+3.6
Avg total233.3231.1235.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%41%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)57% (7)60% (10)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder64501478%118.6108.1+10.5
2 San Antonio Spurs63461773%118.6111.5+7.1
3 Detroit Pistons64461872%117.0109.6+7.4
4 Boston Celtics65432266%114.5107.2+7.3
5 Houston Rockets64402462%114.6109.7+4.9
6 Los Angeles Lakers64402462%115.9114.6+1.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers65402562%118.7114.6+4.2
8 Minnesota Timberwolves65402562%118.4114.5+3.9
9 New York Knicks64392561%116.7110.9+5.8
10 Denver Nuggets65392660%120.3116.6+3.6
11 Phoenix Suns64382659%112.7110.6+2.1
12 Toronto Raptors63362757%113.7111.7+2.0
13 Miami Heat65372857%120.8116.7+4.1
14 Orlando Magic61342756%115.0113.4+1.6
15 Philadelphia 76ers65353054%115.9116.3-0.3
16 Atlanta Hawks65343152%117.8117.2+0.6
17 Charlotte Hornets66333350%115.7112.3+3.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers64323250%112.8112.3+0.5
19 Golden State Warriors65323349%115.2114.2+1.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers66313547%115.1117.8-2.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks64273742%111.1116.0-4.9
22 Chicago Bulls65273842%115.6119.9-4.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies64234136%115.9118.3-2.4
24 Dallas Mavericks65214432%113.0117.8-4.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans66214532%115.5120.2-4.7
26 Utah Jazz65204531%117.4124.9-7.5
27 Brooklyn Nets65174826%107.0115.9-8.9
28 Washington Wizards64164825%112.6123.7-11.1
29 Sacramento Kings66165024%110.7120.9-10.3
30 Indiana Pacers65155023%111.4119.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic38243432128
Cleveland Cavaliers35272733122
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