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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-119
30-27 20-33 28-30 14-29
Position#10
Record40-23
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game114.4
Minnesota Timberwolves
USA
vs
Orlando Magic 🏆
USA
Position#13
Record32-27
FormWLLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Orlando Magic
26 Mar 2027
MIN v ORL
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
MIN92
ORL119
14 Mar 2025
MIN118
ORL111
02 Feb 2024
MIN106
ORL108
03 Feb 2023
MIN120
ORL127
01 Nov 2021
MIN97
ORL115
20 Jan 2021
MIN96
ORL97
06 Mar 2020
MIN118
ORL132
04 Jan 2019
MIN120
ORL103
22 Nov 2017
MIN124
ORL118
30 Jan 2017
MIN111
ORL105
01 Dec 2015
MIN93
ORL96
03 Apr 2015
MIN84
ORL97
30 Oct 2013
MIN120
ORL115
07 Nov 2012
MIN90
ORL75
15 Jan 2011
MIN99
ORL108
01 Jan 2010
MIN94
ORL106
27 Dec 2008
MIN94
ORL118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
96-115
96
115
-19
82avg 111
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
138-116
138
116
+22
138avg 111
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
133-109
133
109
+24
127avg 111
H12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
122-111
122
111
+11
115avg 111
H21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
108-135
108
135
-27
104avg 111
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
124-121
124
121
+3
118avg 111
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 111
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
117-108
117
108
+9
116avg 111
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-110
117
110
+7
111avg 111
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
115-107
115
107
+8
110avg 111
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
23-31
17-26
37-35
41-34
40-22
25-31
32-29
32-26
29-25
35-31
37-27
40-25
29-32
27-31
26-23
26-35
32-33
20-26
30-41
33-27
29-32
34-35
28-27
29-27
15-11
19-30
31-20
22-31
36-19
32-32
27-26
23-32
34-30
32-20
28-28
31-27
24-27
35-22
25-31
228.4Avg total
116.4Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)119.0114.4233.4+4.763%
Season at home (33)115.5110.5226.0+4.967%
Season away (30)123.0118.6241.6+4.460%
Last 10 (10)116.4112.0228.4+4.480%
Last 5 (5)113.4106.8220.2+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)116.7113.3230.0+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (17)115.6113.6229.2+1.965%
vs Weaker (10)124.8116.4241.2+8.460%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
118-99
118
99
+19
114avg 103
H10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
108-116
108
116
-8
100avg 103
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
131-94
131
94
+37
125avg 103
A20/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
100avg 103
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
111-109
111
109
+2
105avg 103
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
110-109
110
109
+1
101avg 103
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
108-113
108
113
-5
97avg 103
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
92-106
92
106
-14
82avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
126-109
126
109
+17
130avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
115-114
115
114
+1
109avg 103
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
24-32
36-20
31-25
24-20
27-32
32-36
25-28
18-28
46-27
38-29
29-10
25-21
26-22
22-34
23-19
29-25
28-28
31-36
23-20
25-33
28-23
26-24
31-29
29-22
24-21
27-38
28-32
26-23
31-27
18-31
17-25
27-24
30-30
40-27
29-28
26-33
34-29
31-26
24-26
221.1Avg total
112.9Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)114.6114.2228.8+0.554%
Season at home (30)114.9112.9227.8+2.063%
Season away (29)114.4115.4229.8-1.145%
Last 10 (10)112.9108.2221.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)110.2110.2220.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)104.4117.0221.4-12.620%
vs Similar ◀ (10)109.1114.2223.3-5.140%
vs Weaker (15)117.9112.2230.1+5.773%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H06/03
NBA
113.6Avg total
58.7Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.9114.4+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.855.3114.1+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)58.256.6114.8+1.667%-
Last 10 (10)58.754.9113.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.6107.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.758.0107.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.955.5112.5+1.465%-
vs Weaker (10)63.856.0119.8+7.870%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A20/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H06/03
NBA
107.6Avg total
55.4Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.057.1112.1-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.155.8109.9-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)56.158.6114.6-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)55.452.2107.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.0109.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.056.6108.6-4.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)53.456.2109.6-2.840%-
vs Weaker (15)57.157.9114.9-0.840%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.830.3
59.6%
54.8%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.612.6
36.4%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws24.718.0
72.9%
78.1%18.0
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.426.6
52.8%
54.8%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.4
36.5%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws24.219.5
80.6%
78.1%19.5
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWWLWWWL
Orlando Magic
WWLLWWLWLW
#10
League position
#13
+4.3
Net rating
+4.7
113.8
Offensive rating
111.7
109.5
Defensive rating
107.1
57.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
11.8%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.4%
3-point %
36.5%
59.2%
Assist %
67.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 111.7Defence109.5 · 107.1Shooting57.6% · 53.6%3-point %36.4% · 36.5%Ball care15.3% · 11.8%Off. rebounds24.2% · 23.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
5
Orlando Magic wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Minnesota Timberwolves v Orlando Magic118-111
10/01/25Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves89-104
03/02/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Orlando Magic106-108
10/01/24Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves92-113
04/02/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Orlando Magic120-127
17/11/22Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves108-126
12/03/22Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves118-110
02/11/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Orlando Magic97-115
09/05/21Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves96-128
21/01/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Orlando Magic96-97
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HToronto Raptors115-107
04/03/26HMemphis Grizzlies117-110
01/03/26ADenver Nuggets117-108
27/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers94-88
25/02/26APortland Trail Blazers124-121
23/02/26HPhiladelphia 76ers108-135
21/02/26HDallas Mavericks122-111
12/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers133-109
10/02/26HAtlanta Hawks138-116
08/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers96-115
Orlando Magiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HDallas Mavericks115-114
04/03/26HWashington Wizards126-109
01/03/26HDetroit Pistons92-106
27/02/26HHouston Rockets108-113
25/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers110-109
23/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers111-109
21/02/26APhoenix Suns110-113 OT
20/02/26ASacramento Kings131-94
12/02/26HMilwaukee Bucks108-116
10/02/26HMilwaukee Bucks118-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633330
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game119.0115.5123.0
Allowed / game114.4110.5118.6
Point differential+4.7+4.9+4.4
Avg total233.4226.0241.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%39%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)60% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeLLLWW63%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %54%63%45%
Points / game114.6114.9114.4
Allowed / game114.2112.9115.4
Point differential+0.5+2.0-1.1
Avg total228.8227.8229.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (21)64% (11)70% (10)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder62481477%118.7108.0+10.7
2 Detroit Pistons61451674%117.0109.6+7.3
3 San Antonio Spurs61441772%118.1111.3+6.8
4 Boston Celtics63422167%114.5107.0+7.5
5 Minnesota Timberwolves63402363%119.0114.4+4.7
6 New York Knicks62392363%117.0110.6+6.4
7 Houston Rockets62392363%114.5109.3+5.2
8 Cleveland Cavaliers63392462%119.1114.9+4.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers62382461%115.9115.0+0.9
10 Denver Nuggets64392561%120.2116.5+3.7
11 Phoenix Suns62362658%112.5110.8+1.7
12 Toronto Raptors61352657%113.8112.0+1.8
13 Miami Heat63352856%120.3116.6+3.7
14 Philadelphia 76ers62342855%115.8115.9-0.1
15 Orlando Magic59322754%114.6114.2+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors62323052%115.3114.1+1.3
17 Atlanta Hawks63323151%117.6117.3+0.3
18 Charlotte Hornets64323250%116.2112.5+3.6
19 Los Angeles Clippers62303248%112.4112.1+0.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers64303447%115.1118.1-3.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks61263543%111.4115.8-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls63263741%115.5119.7-4.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies61233838%115.6117.7-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks63214233%113.3117.7-4.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans65204531%115.2120.2-5.0
26 Utah Jazz63194430%117.7125.2-7.6
27 Washington Wizards62164626%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Brooklyn Nets62154724%106.9115.7-8.9
29 Indiana Pacers63154824%111.4119.9-8.4
30 Sacramento Kings64145022%110.4121.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves3020281492
Orlando Magic27333029119
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