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Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 115-114
26-33 34-29 31-26 24-26
Position#13
Record31-27
FormWWLLW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game114.2
vs
Position#24
Record21-40
FormWLLLL
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game117.7
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Dallas Mavericks
17 Feb 2027
ORL v DAL
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
ORL115
DAL114
27 Mar 2025
ORL92
DAL101
06 Nov 2023
ORL102
DAL117
09 Nov 2022
ORL94
DAL87
30 Jan 2022
ORL110
DAL108
01 Mar 2021
ORL124
DAL130
21 Feb 2020
ORL106
DAL122
08 Mar 2019
ORL111
DAL106
04 Apr 2018
ORL105
DAL100
19 Nov 2016
ORL95
DAL87
19 Feb 2016
ORL110
DAL104
31 Jan 2015
ORL93
DAL108
16 Nov 2013
ORL100
DAL108
20 Jan 2013
ORL105
DAL111
30 Mar 2012
ORL98
DAL100
21 Dec 2010
ORL99
DAL105
19 Feb 2010
ORL85
DAL95
02 Feb 2009
ORL95
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
120-117
120
117
+3
110avg 103
H08/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
118-99
118
99
+19
114avg 103
H10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
108-116
108
116
-8
100avg 103
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
131-94
131
94
+37
125avg 103
A20/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
100avg 103
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
111-109
111
109
+2
105avg 103
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
110-109
110
109
+1
101avg 103
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
108-113
108
113
-5
97avg 103
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
92-106
92
106
-14
82avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
126-109
126
109
+17
130avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-30
21-35
33-29
33-23
27-22
24-32
36-20
31-25
24-20
27-32
32-36
25-28
18-28
46-27
38-29
29-10
25-21
26-22
22-34
23-19
29-25
28-28
31-36
23-20
25-33
28-23
26-24
31-29
29-22
24-21
27-38
28-32
26-23
31-27
18-31
17-25
27-24
30-30
40-27
29-28
221.9Avg total
113.4Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)114.6114.2228.8+0.553%
Season at home (29)114.9112.9227.8+2.062%
Season away (29)114.4115.4229.8-1.145%
Last 10 (10)113.4108.5221.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)109.4109.2218.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)104.4117.0221.4-12.620%
vs Similar (11)108.7114.7223.5-6.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)118.1112.1230.1+6.071%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
125-138
125
138
-13
112avg 103
A07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
111-120
111
120
-9
101avg 103
A11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 103
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-122
111
122
-11
95avg 103
A21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
134-130
134
130
+4
127avg 103
A22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
123-114
123
114
+9
123avg 103
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
121-130
121
130
-9
114avg 103
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
105-124
105
124
-19
94avg 103
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 103
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
90-117
90
117
-27
77avg 103
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-39
35-42
24-33
34-24
16-36
32-29
27-31
36-24
31-36
32-28
19-32
22-28
25-40
32-29
31-27
23-26
36-33
35-33
32-29
31-35
36-29
40-35
23-27
24-23
28-42
28-26
32-32
33-30
20-34
24-30
26-37
35-23
25-36
24-22
20-25
18-17
23-31
25-26
24-35
18-25
233.0Avg total
111.1Scored
121.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)113.5117.7231.2-4.134%
Season at home (33)114.5116.6231.1-2.142%
Season away (28)112.3118.9231.2-6.625%
Last 10 (10)111.1121.9233.0-10.820%
Last 5 (5)105.2117.0222.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)110.3118.0228.3-7.716%
vs Similar (6)123.7122.8246.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (5)112.8112.0224.8+0.860%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
Orlando MagicDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H08/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A20/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H04/03
NBA
107.3Avg total
54.8Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.656.9111.5-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.355.5108.8-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)56.158.6114.6-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)54.852.5107.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)55.451.2106.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.056.6108.6-4.660%-
vs Similar (11)52.956.3109.2-3.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)56.957.6114.4-0.743%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A04/03
NBA
123.5Avg total
57.9Scored
65.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.861.4118.2-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.158.9113.9-3.833%-
Last 30 away (15)58.563.9122.4-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)57.965.6123.5-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)54.662.2116.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)55.762.4118.1-6.616%-
vs Similar (6)61.060.5121.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)55.658.8114.4-3.240%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.925.8
52.8%
54.8%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.913.4
36.3%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws26.921.6
80.3%
78.1%21.6
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.231.5
53.2%
54.8%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.6
31.7%
35.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws29.121.2
72.9%
78.1%21.2
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WLLWWLWLWW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLWWLLLL
#13
League position
#24
+4.8
Net rating
-11.9
110.8
Offensive rating
106.0
106.0
Defensive rating
117.9
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
11.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.3%
3-point %
31.7%
67.6%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 106.0Defence106.0 · 117.9Shooting53.5% · 51.4%3-point %36.3% · 31.7%Ball care11.9% · 13.6%Off. rebounds20.8% · 22.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Orlando Magic wins
8
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HWashington Wizards126-109
01/03/26HDetroit Pistons92-106
27/02/26HHouston Rockets108-113
25/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers110-109
23/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers111-109
21/02/26APhoenix Suns110-113 OT
20/02/26ASacramento Kings131-94
12/02/26HMilwaukee Bucks108-116
10/02/26HMilwaukee Bucks118-99
08/02/26HUtah Jazz120-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26ACharlotte Hornets90-117
02/03/26HOklahoma City Thunder87-100
28/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-124
27/02/26HSacramento Kings121-130
25/02/26ABrooklyn Nets123-114
22/02/26AIndiana Pacers134-130
21/02/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-122
13/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers104-124
11/02/26APhoenix Suns111-120
07/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs125-138

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %53%62%45%
Points / game114.6114.9114.4
Allowed / game114.2112.9115.4
Point differential+0.5+2.0-1.1
Avg total228.8227.8229.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%28%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won65% (20)60% (10)70% (10)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL34%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613328
Win %34%42%25%
Points / game113.5114.5112.3
Allowed / game117.7116.6118.9
Point differential-4.1-2.1-6.6
Avg total231.2231.1231.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)56% (9)43% (7)
Overtime %7%9%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder62481477%118.7108.0+10.7
2 Detroit Pistons60451575%117.2109.5+7.7
3 San Antonio Spurs59421771%118.1111.4+6.7
4 Boston Celtics62412166%114.5107.1+7.3
5 Houston Rockets60382263%114.7109.4+5.3
6 Minnesota Timberwolves62392363%119.1114.5+4.6
7 New York Knicks61382362%116.6110.8+5.8
8 Cleveland Cavaliers63392462%119.1114.9+4.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers60372362%115.8114.9+0.8
10 Denver Nuggets62382461%120.5116.1+4.4
11 Toronto Raptors60352558%113.9111.9+2.0
12 Phoenix Suns60352558%112.5110.8+1.8
13 Philadelphia 76ers62342855%115.8115.9-0.1
14 Miami Heat61332854%120.1116.7+3.4
15 Orlando Magic58312753%114.6114.2+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors61313051%115.3114.1+1.3
17 Charlotte Hornets63323151%116.1112.3+3.8
18 Atlanta Hawks63323151%117.6117.3+0.3
19 Los Angeles Clippers61303149%112.4112.0+0.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers63303348%115.3118.3-2.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks61263543%111.4115.8-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls62253740%115.7120.0-4.3
23 Memphis Grizzlies61233838%115.6117.7-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks61214034%113.5117.7-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans63194430%114.9120.2-5.3
26 Utah Jazz62184429%117.6125.5-7.8
27 Washington Wizards61164526%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Brooklyn Nets61154625%106.8115.6-8.8
29 Indiana Pacers62154724%111.3119.7-8.4
30 Sacramento Kings63144922%110.2121.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic26343124115
Dallas Mavericks33292626114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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