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Osasco vs Minas Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Projected 76-92
Projected total 167.4
Scheduled
Position#16
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game86.8
Osasco
Brazil
Vs
91%
■ OSAS 9%■ MINA 91%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Minas
Brazil
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game65.4
BrazilNBB· Ginásio Geodésico
Other2026-27
Meetings · Osasco v Minas
19 Nov 2026
OSAS v MINA
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
OSAS66
MINA78
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Osasco will host Minas on 19 November 2026 in the NBB, and the model rates Minas the clear favourite, with a 91% chance of victory, reflecting their undefeated 8-0 record, 85.1 points per game and only 65.4 allowed, while Osasco struggles at 1-5, 77.8 points per game and 86.8 allowed. Minas has won every one of its eight games, including four road wins, and has never lost on the road, scoring 82.5 per game and conceding 69.2, whereas Osasco has lost all three home contests, averaging 76.7 points and allowing 90.7. Osasco's last five games have yielded only one win, with recent defeats to Corinthians Paulista 74-84, Mogi 75-93 and São José 81-90, while Minas has won all five of its most recent matches, including a 77-63 win over Cearense, an 88-57 victory over Unifacisa and a 77-64 win against Bauru. The teams have met twice before, with Minas winning both times, most recently 78-66 on 22 March 2026. Pythia projects a 76-92 score and a total of 167.4 points, with a 9% chance that Osasco will win and a 91% chance that Minas will win, and a 2% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osasco win
8.7%fair 11.56
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minas win
91.3%fair 1.09
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-101
65
101
-36
57avg 66
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
87avg 66
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
56avg 66
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 66
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
70-96
70
96
-26
41avg 66
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
93-69
93
69
+24
72avg 66
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
45avg 66
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
15-26
18-23
16-23
19-32
18-22
26-28
33-29
14-19
21-20
23-14
19-15
12-23
26-23
17-17
21-10
20-21
21-20
17-26
12-29
32-17
22-23
18-13
21-16
21-25
18-24
19-26
16-14
16-31
17-19
13-28
35-12
25-27
12-20
16-27
22-19
16-21
25-26
12-17
21-20
165.5Avg total
78.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.886.8164.7-9.017%
Season at home (3)76.790.7167.3-14.00%
Season away (3)79.083.0162.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)78.187.4165.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)79.485.0164.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.090.7165.7-15.74%
vs Similar (6)80.283.5163.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (1)93.069.0162.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 84
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 84
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
69avg 84
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 84
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 84
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
100-61
100
61
+39
100avg 84
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
26-12
17-21
24-19
33-9
19-25
25-15
24-21
19-15
18-16
21-20
17-12
21-16
24-17
20-11
23-11
21-18
17-18
23-11
14-16
23-18
157.7Avg total
85.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.165.4150.5+19.8100%
Season at home (4)87.861.5149.2+26.2100%
Season away (4)82.569.2151.8+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.971.8157.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)85.864.2150.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.0100.7197.7-3.733%
vs Similar (7)89.495.3184.7-5.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.874.3164.1+15.590%
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
83.3%
Under 152
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
74.2%
Under 157
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162
Over 162
63.0%
Under 162
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Osasco total 76
Over 76
48.7%
Under 76
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasco total 80
Over 80
32.9%
Under 80
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasco total 84
Over 84
19.9%
Under 84
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minas total 73
Over 73
97.1%
Under 73
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minas total 77
Over 77
93.4%
Under 77
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minas total 81
Over 81
86.5%
Under 81
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Osasco -3
OSAS -3
5.7%
MINA +3
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
OSAS
No market prices yet.
MINA
No market prices yet.
Spread Osasco 0
OSAS 0
8.7%
MINA 0
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
OSAS
No market prices yet.
MINA
No market prices yet.
Spread Osasco +3
OSAS +3
12.0%
MINA -3
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
OSAS
No market prices yet.
MINA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
OsascoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
NBB
85.4Avg total
38.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.482.8-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.145.181.2-9.015%-
Last 30 away (17)40.143.984.0-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.885.4-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.687.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.445.482.8-8.013%-
vs Similar (6)39.341.380.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/11
NBB
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.087.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.439.985.3+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.889.6+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.275.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.751.394.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (7)45.349.795.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.237.984.1+8.480%-
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.6
49.3%
49.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.48.9
28.3%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.9
69.4%
71.3%12.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
49.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
31.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
71.3%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osasco
LLLLWLWWLL
Minas
WWWWWWWWLL
#16
League position
#1
-15.4
Net rating
+13.2
83.1
Offensive rating
100.9
98.5
Defensive rating
87.7
46.0%
Effective FG%
55.9%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.3%
3-point %
34.6%
61.6%
Assist %
71.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence83.1 · 100.9Defence98.5 · 87.7Shooting46.0% · 55.9%3-point %28.3% · 34.6%Ball care15.6% · 16.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Osasco   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Osasco wins
2
Minas wins
DateGameScore
22/03/26Osasco v Minas66-78
15/11/25Minas v Osasco86-81
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACorinthians Paulista74-84
12/11/26HMogi75-93
05/11/26HSao Jose81-90
29/10/26HPinheiros74-89
20/10/26ACearense93-69
17/10/26AUnifacisa70-96
17/04/26AMogi76-73
11/04/26HPato77-68
07/04/26ACorinthians Paulista96-111
03/04/26HUnifacisa65-101
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCearense77-63
11/11/26HUnifacisa88-57
05/11/26ABauru77-64
03/11/26AFranca87-76
29/10/26HBrasilia100-61
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osasco
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game77.876.779.0
Allowed / game86.890.783.0
Point differential-9.0-14.0-4.0
Avg total164.7167.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.187.882.5
Allowed / game65.461.569.2
Point differential+19.8+26.2+13.2
Avg total150.5149.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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