Minas vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Minas host Cearense on 14 November 2026 in the NBB, and the Pythia model names Minas the clear favourite, rating them 99% to win because they are undefeated 7-0 with an average 86.3 points scored and only 65.7 allowed, placing them first in the league, while Cearense sits 17th with a 1-5 record, 66.0 points per game and 84.8 allowed. Minas have never lost at home, going 3-0 with 91.3 points per game and 61.0 allowed, and their last five games were all wins, including a 88-57 home victory over Unifacisa, a 77-64 away win over Bauru and a 87-76 away win over Franca. Cearense's road record is 0-2, scoring 65.5 and conceding 92.5, and their last five games include a single win over Paulistano 65-58 at home, with losses to Corinthians Paulista 68-75, Mogi 78-89 and another at home. In their 10 previous meetings Minas have won nine times, most recently 87-56 on 14 April 2026. Pythia projects a 96-68 score, 164.8 total points, a 60% chance of the over on the 161.0 line, and a 0% overtime probability, confirming Minas' dominance.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon

98.8%fair 1.01

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cearense winLost

1.2%fair 85.98

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 22:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMinas

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

97-91

100avg 85

A07/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

97-103

103

-6

95avg 85

A09/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

81-92

-11

76avg 85

H12/05

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

78-66

+12

69avg 85

A20/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

88-71

+17

88avg 85

A22/10

NBB

Pato

#15

86-65

+21

85avg 85

H27/10

NBB

Brasilia

100-61

100

+39

100avg 85

H29/10

NBB

Franca

87-76

+11

no box

A03/11

NBB

Bauru

#11

77-64

+13

no box

A05/11

NBB

Unifacisa

88-57

+31

no box

H11/11

NBB

28-19

14-23

32-22

23-27

31-31

20-21

27-27

19-24

22-20

22-25

12-24

25-23

25-20

18-13

18-10

17-23

15-15

20-21

36-13

17-22

24-14

24-18

23-16

15-17

26-12

17-21

24-19

33-9

19-25

25-15

24-21

19-15

18-16

21-20

17-12

21-16

24-17

20-11

23-11

21-18

162.5Avg total

87.9Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	86.3	65.7	152.0	+20.6	100%
Season at home (3)	91.3	61.0	152.3	+30.3	100%
Season away (4)	82.5	69.2	151.8	+13.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	74.6	162.5	+13.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	64.6	152.2	+23.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	97.0	100.7	197.7	-3.7	33%
vs Similar (7)	89.4	95.3	184.7	-5.9	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	90.8	76.0	166.8	+14.9	90%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCearense

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#12

94-93

84avg 64

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

83-107

107

-24

76avg 64

H06/04

NBB

Minas

56-87

-31

45avg 64

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

77-86

-9

64avg 64

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#16

69-93

-24

55avg 64

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

63-98

-35

40avg 64

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

53-96

-43

no box

A02/11

NBB

Mogi

78-89

-11

no box

A04/11

NBB

Paulistano

#13

65-58

no box

H07/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

68-75

-7

no box

H09/11

NBB

19-20

26-21

30-29

19-23

20-23

18-36

22-25

23-23

9-25

21-24

15-24

11-14

23-20

19-23

23-18

12-25

17-32

23-22

13-18

16-21

15-24

17-22

18-26

13-26

11-27

12-31

15-24

15-14

21-11

21-22

19-26

17-30

18-15

10-14

25-16

12-13

16-19

17-15

17-23

18-18

158.8Avg total

70.6Scored

88.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	66.0	84.8	150.8	-18.8	17%
Season at home (4)	66.2	81.0	147.2	-14.8	25%
Season away (2)	65.5	92.5	158.0	-27.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.6	88.2	158.8	-17.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.4	83.2	148.6	-17.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	70.7	90.3	161.0	-19.7	8%
vs Similar (4)	78.0	77.2	155.2	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 152.75Actual: Under 152.75

Over 152.75

no forecast

@ 1.79

Under 152.75

no forecast

@ 1.83

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.79

Under

1xBet

1.83

Over/Under 157.75 · main lineActual: Under 157.75

Over 157.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under 157.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.78

Under

1xBet

1.78

Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5

Over 162.5

55.7%

@ 2.65+11.2pp

Under 162.5

44.3%

@ 1.80-11.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.65

Pinnacle

2.10

WilliamHill

1.91

1xBet

1.83

Under

WilliamHill

1.80

1xBet

1.75

Pinnacle

1.68

Bet365

1.43

📊 3. Team Totals

Minas total 87.5Actual: Minas under 87.5

Over 87.5

81.7%

@ 1.52+20.4pp

Under 87.5

18.3%

@ 2.40-20.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.49

Under

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.08

Minas total 91.5 · main lineActual: Minas under 91.5

Over 91.5

69.1%

@ 1.94+21.1pp

Under 91.5

30.9%

@ 1.83-21.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.94

Betano

1.93

Marathon Be

1.88

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.76

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.56

Minas total 95.5Actual: Minas under 95.5

Over 95.5

no forecast

@ 2.82

Under 95.5

no forecast

@ 1.43

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.82

Bet365

2.65

Under

Bet365

1.43

1xBet

1.29

Cearense total 61.5Actual: Cearense over 61.5

Over 61.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

Under 61.5

no forecast

@ 2.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.57

Betano

1.57

Bet365

1.38

Under

Bet365

2.80

Betano

2.22

1xBet

1.93

Cearense total 65.5 · main lineActual: Cearense under 65.5

Over 65.5

61.3%

@ 2.14+18.0pp

Under 65.5

38.7%

@ 1.83-18.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.14

Betano

2.12

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.62

1xBet

1.46

Cearense total 69.5Actual: Cearense under 69.5

Over 69.5

45.4%

@ 2.98+12.4pp

Under 69.5

54.6%

@ 1.47-12.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.98

Bet365

2.55

Under

Bet365

1.47

1xBet

1.24

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Minas -29.5Actual: Cearense +29.5

MINA -29.5

no forecast

@ 2.35

CEAR +29.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

MINA

Bet365

2.35

Pinnacle

2.34

1xBet

2.17

Betano

2.15

Betfair

1.91

CEAR

Betfair

1.80

SBO

1.75

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.57

Bet365

1.54

Spread Minas -26.5 · main lineActual: Cearense +26.5

MINA -26.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

CEAR +26.5

no forecast

@ 1.97

Best 5 market prices

MINA

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.83

Betfair

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

CEAR

SBO

1.97

Betfair

1.91

BetVictor

1.91

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.89

Spread Minas -23.5Actual: Cearense +23.5

MINA -23.5

65.7%

@ 1.66+5.2pp

CEAR +23.5

34.3%

@ 2.32-5.2pp

Best 5 market prices

MINA

Bet365

1.66

Betano

1.52

Marathon Be

1.49

1xBet

1.43

CEAR

1xBet

2.32

Betano

2.32

Bet365

2.10

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MinasCearense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.1	44.0	+1.7	50%	70%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.3	64%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	23.1	46.6	+0.3	38%	81%
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.8	39.0	+5.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	24.3	44.0	-4.7	0%	67%
vs Similar (7)	23.7	25.6	49.3	-1.9	29%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.0	19.1	42.1	+3.9	65%	60%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	18.3	23.0	41.3	-4.7	30%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	21.8	39.8	-3.7	31%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	24.4	43.1	-5.8	29%	64%
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.6	38.5	-4.7	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.2	35.4	-3.0	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	23%	58%
vs Similar (4)	20.8	16.5	37.2	+4.2	75%	25%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.2	44.1	+1.7	50%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	21.8	45.3	+1.7	57%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.7	44%	75%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	27.0	50.0	-4.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (7)	21.6	24.1	45.7	-2.6	29%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.4	19.3	42.7	+4.1	65%	70%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	17.3	21.7	38.9	-4.4	30%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.2	38%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	21.6	38.7	-4.6	21%	57%
Last 10 (10)	18.4	23.0	41.4	-4.6	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	15.4	20.8	36.2	-5.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.2	21.7	38.8	-4.5	31%	58%
vs Similar (4)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	25%	50%
vs Weaker	no games

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

42-42

A07/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

51-52

-1

A09/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

44-45

-1

H12/05

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

43-33

+10

A20/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

35-36

-1

A22/10

NBB

Pato

#15

48-32

+16

H27/10

NBB

Brasilia

43-33

+10

H29/10

NBB

Franca

44-40

A03/11

NBB

Bauru

#11

39-36

A05/11

NBB

Unifacisa

44-28

+16

H11/11

NBB

81.0Avg total

43.3Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.75
Last 30 (30)	45.7	42.3	88.1	+3.4	53%	80%
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	40.6	86.3	+5.0	57%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	45.8	43.8	89.6	+2.0	50%	81%
Last 10 (10)	43.3	37.7	81.0	+5.6	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	33.8	77.4	+9.8	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.7	51.3	94.0	-8.7	0%	100%
vs Similar (7)	45.3	49.7	95.0	-4.4	0%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.4	38.4	84.8	+8.0	80%	70%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#12

45-41

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

38-59

-21

H06/04

NBB

Minas

30-49

-19

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

42-43

-1

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#16

40-54

-14

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

32-46

-14

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

23-58

-35

A02/11

NBB

Mogi

42-33

A04/11

NBB

Paulistano

#13

28-29

-1

H07/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

33-34

-1

H09/11

NBB

79.9Avg total

35.3Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.75
Last 30 (30)	35.6	44.7	80.3	-9.1	23%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	35.5	43.4	78.9	-7.9	25%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	46.1	81.8	-10.4	21%	71%
Last 10 (10)	35.3	44.6	79.9	-9.3	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	31.6	40.0	71.6	-8.4	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	35.1	45.7	80.8	-10.5	19%	58%
vs Similar (4)	38.8	38.2	77.0	+0.5	50%	25%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Minas win

MINA win

no forecast

@ 1.06

CEAR win

no forecast

@ 11.00

1st half Spread Minas -14 · main lineActual: Cearense +14

MINA -14

no forecast

@ 1.86

CEAR +14

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 78.75 · main lineActual: Under 78.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.81

Minas 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: Minas under 46.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Cearense 1st half total 31.5 · main lineActual: Cearense under 31.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 2.40

1st half: MINA + total 79.5

MINA & over

no forecast

@ 2.00

MINA & under

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half: Draw + total 79.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 41.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 41.00

1st half: CEAR + total 79.5

CEAR & over

no forecast

@ 16.00

CEAR & under

no forecast

@ 16.00

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Over/Under 80Actual: Under 80

Over

no forecast

@ 2.07

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Minas -15Actual: Cearense +15

MINA -15

no forecast

@ 2.03

CEAR +15

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Minas -12.5Actual: Cearense +12.5

MINA -12.5

no forecast

@ 1.67

CEAR +12.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 76.25Actual: Under 76.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.96

1st half Spread Minas -16Actual: Cearense +16

MINA -16

no forecast

@ 2.00

CEAR +16

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Minas (regulation)

MINA

no forecast

@ 1.08

Draw

no forecast

@ 40.00

CEAR

no forecast

@ 11.00

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	63%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.1	41.1	+2.8	64%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	24.0	20.2	44.2	+3.8	62%	75%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	17.5	41.1	+6.1	80%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	15.8	38.0	+6.4	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.0	23.7	48.7	+1.3	67%	100%
vs Similar (7)	20.7	24.0	44.7	-3.3	29%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	17.6	41.2	+5.9	75%	75%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.8	37%	83%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.8	40.9	-0.6	56%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	23.1	40.9	-5.3	14%	93%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.2	30%	90%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.2	22.8	42.1	-3.6	31%	88%
vs Similar (4)	18.0	15.2	33.2	+2.8	75%	50%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.4	60%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.6	43.1	+1.8	64%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	56%	69%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	15.0	36.8	+6.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	29.3	25.7	55.0	+3.7	100%	100%
vs Similar (7)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.9	57%	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.3	19.4	39.8	+0.9	55%	55%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	16.5	21.6	38.2	-5.1	13%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	16.4	21.4	37.8	-5.0	12%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	21.9	38.6	-5.2	14%	57%
Last 10 (10)	15.6	20.7	36.3	-5.1	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	15.0	20.2	35.2	-5.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.3	21.8	38.2	-5.5	8%	54%
vs Similar (4)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	50%	75%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.75
Last 30 (30)	45.0	40.3	85.2	+4.7	67%	70%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	39.8	84.1	+4.6	64%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	45.5	40.7	86.2	+4.8	69%	69%
Last 10 (10)	44.6	36.9	81.5	+7.7	80%	60%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	30.8	74.8	+13.2	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	54.3	49.3	103.7	+5.0	67%	100%
vs Similar (7)	44.1	45.6	89.7	-1.4	29%	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.9	37.0	80.9	+6.8	80%	60%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.75
Last 30 (30)	35.6	43.5	79.1	-7.9	17%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	42.1	78.7	-5.6	19%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	34.5	45.0	79.5	-10.5	14%	64%
Last 10 (10)	35.3	43.6	78.9	-8.3	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	33.8	43.2	77.0	-9.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	35.5	44.7	80.2	-9.2	12%	62%
vs Similar (4)	36.0	35.5	71.5	+0.5	50%	50%
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

MINA win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

CEAR win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MINA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CEAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (MINA:CEAR): split

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (MINA:CEAR): MINA wins more

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (MINA:CEAR): CEAR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 155	73.4%	1.90	Pinnacle 2.12	Marathon Bet 1.99	SBO 1.83	1xBet 1.81	Bet365 1.74	+29.3pp	Lost
Over 155.5	71.9%	1.94	Pinnacle 2.18	Marathon Bet 2.03	1xBet 1.96	Betano 1.93	SBO 1.88	+29.1pp	Lost
Over 154	75.4%	1.83	Pinnacle 2.01	Marathon Bet 1.92	1xBet 1.83	SBO 1.75	Bet365 1.66	+28.9pp	Lost
Over 154.5	73.9%	1.86	Pinnacle 2.07	Marathon Bet 1.95	1xBet 1.87	WilliamHill 1.85	BetVictor 1.85	+28.9pp	Lost
Over 153	77.4%	1.79	Pinnacle 1.89	Marathon Bet 1.83	1xBet 1.82	Bet365 1.60	-	+28.1pp	Lost
Over 153.5	75.9%	1.80	Pinnacle 1.95	Marathon Bet 1.88	WilliamHill 1.85	1xBet 1.78	Betano 1.75	+28.1pp	Lost
Over 152	79.3%	1.69	Pinnacle 1.79	Marathon Bet 1.74	Bet365 1.55	-	-	+27.1pp	Lost
Over 152.5	77.8%	1.72	Pinnacle 1.84	Marathon Bet 1.79	1xBet 1.71	Betano 1.67	Bet365 1.57	+27.0pp	Lost
Over 151	81.0%	1.63	Pinnacle 1.71	Marathon Bet 1.67	Bet365 1.50	-	-	+26.4pp	Lost
Over 151.5	79.6%	1.65	Pinnacle 1.75	Marathon Bet 1.71	1xBet 1.64	Betano 1.62	Bet365 1.52	+26.2pp	Lost
Over 150.5	81.4%	1.58	Pinnacle 1.67	Marathon Bet 1.64	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.45	-	+25.5pp	Lost
Minas over 90	75.0%	1.79	Marathon Bet 1.83	1xBet 1.74	-	-	-	+25.3pp	Lost
Minas over 89	78.2%	1.63	1xBet 1.63	-	-	-	-	+25.2pp	Lost
Minas over 89.5	75.8%	1.71	Marathon Bet 1.77	1xBet 1.68	Betano 1.67	-	-	+24.4pp	Lost
Over 156	71.3%	1.86	Pinnacle 1.99	Marathon Bet 1.87	SBO 1.86	Bet365 1.80	1xBet 1.79	+24.3pp	Lost
Minas over 91	71.6%	1.82	Marathon Bet 1.83	1xBet 1.81	-	-	-	+22.8pp	Lost
Cearense over 63	71.3%	1.79	Marathon Bet 1.85	1xBet 1.74	-	-	-	+21.8pp	Push
Minas over 90.5	72.5%	1.82	Marathon Bet 1.88	1xBet 1.80	Betano 1.80	Bet365 1.80	BetVictor 1.80	+21.7pp	Lost
Cearense over 62	74.7%	1.62	1xBet 1.62	-	-	-	-	+21.5pp	Won
Minas over 85.5	86.5%	1.36	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+20.5pp	Lost
Minas over 88.5	78.9%	1.57	1xBet 1.58	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.55	-	-	+20.5pp	Lost
Minas over 87.5	81.7%	1.50	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.49	-	-	+20.4pp	Lost
Over 149.5	83.0%	1.49	Marathon Bet 1.58	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.40	-	-	+19.4pp	Lost
Minas over 86.5	84.2%	1.41	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.41	Bet365 1.40	-	-	+19.4pp	Lost
Cearense over 62.5	72.3%	1.66	Marathon Bet 1.78	1xBet 1.67	Betano 1.67	Bet365 1.52	-	+19.1pp	Won
Minas over 84.5	88.6%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+18.8pp	Lost
Over 148.5	84.5%	1.40	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	+18.7pp	Lost
Over 150	82.7%	1.52	Marathon Bet 1.60	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	+17.8pp	Lost
Minas over 83.5	90.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+17.6pp	Lost
Over 149	84.3%	1.46	Marathon Bet 1.54	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Lost
Over 147.5	86.0%	1.33	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+16.6pp	Lost
Minas over 82.5	92.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+15.8pp	Lost
Minas over 81.5	93.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+15.6pp	Lost
Minas over 80.5	94.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Lost
Over 146.5	87.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Lost
Minas over 79.5	95.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Lost
Over 141.5	92.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Lost
Minas over 77.5	97.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Lost
Minas -21	74.0%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Minas over 78.5	96.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Lost
Minas -19	79.4%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
Minas -22	71.0%	1.55	Bet365 1.55	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
Minas -20	76.8%	1.41	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Lost
Minas -18.5	79.9%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+11.0pp	Lost
Minas -18	81.8%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Lost
Minas -17.5	82.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Lost
Over 142.5	91.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Lost
Minas over 76.5	97.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Minas -15.5	86.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Lost
Minas over 75.5	98.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Minas over 73.5	98.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Minas over 74.5	98.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Over 136.5	96.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Minas -19.5	77.4%	1.34	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Minas over 72.5	99.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Minas -20.5	74.7%	1.40	Bet365 1.47	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Minas over 71.5	99.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Over 137.5	95.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Minas over 70.5	99.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Over 131.5	98.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Minas over 69.5	99.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Over 132.5	97.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Minas -10.5	93.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Minas -6.5	96.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Minas -21.5	71.9%	1.40	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.30	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Cearense under 85.5	95.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Cearense under 83.5	93.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Cearense under 84.5	94.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Cearense under 82.5	92.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Cearense under 81.5	90.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Cearense under 80.5	88.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Cearense under 79.5	86.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Cearense under 78.5	84.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Under 182.5	86.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-3.9pp	Won
Cearense under 77.5	82.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
Under 181.5	85.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-5.6pp	Won
Cearense under 76.5	79.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-6.1pp	Won
Cearense under 75.5	76.4%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-6.7pp	Won
Cearense under 74.5	73.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-7.3pp	Won
Under 177.5	78.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-8.9pp	Won
Under 176.5	76.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-10.8pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	20.9	59.2%	49.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	10.1	34.6%	31.6%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.4	74.7%	71.3%	17.4

They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	18.7	44.8%	49.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.0	29.2%	31.6%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	24.3	16.1	66.3%	71.3%	16.1

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.3	48.4%	49.8%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	9.5	30.7%	31.6%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.7	71.8%	71.3%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	22.2	59.8%	49.8%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	11.0	37.8%	31.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.3	73.8%	71.3%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	21.3	57.3%	49.8%	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.2	35.2%	31.6%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	24.0	17.3	72.1%	71.3%	17.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	18.7	46.3%	49.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.0	28.1%	31.6%	20.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.0	70.4%	71.3%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	19.7	54.0%	49.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	10.2	33.2%	31.6%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.2	72.8%	71.3%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	21.7	60.3%	49.8%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.6	34.9%	31.6%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.3	71.9%	71.3%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Minas

WWWWWWWLLW

Cearense

LWLLLLLLLW

League position

#17

+13.2

Net rating

-21.2

100.9

Offensive rating

82.4

87.7

Defensive rating

103.6

55.9%

Effective FG%

44.4%

47.4%

Opp. effective FG%

58.5%

16.7%

Turnover %

16.2%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.37

34.6%

3-point %

29.2%

71.6%

Assist %

54.1%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Minas ■ Cearense

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minas wins

Cearense wins

Date	Game	Score
14/04/26	Minas v Cearense	87-56
27/12/25	Cearense v Minas	81-99
28/02/25	Cearense v Minas	86-92
07/11/24	Minas v Cearense	86-64
20/03/24	Cearense v Minas	79-69
27/01/24	Minas v Cearense	73-69
01/12/23	Minas v Cearense	93-88 OT
08/04/23	Cearense v Minas	85-94
29/11/22	Minas v Cearense	79-71
27/03/22	Cearense v Minas	75-85

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	Unifacisa	88-57
05/11/26	A	Bauru	77-64
03/11/26	A	Franca	87-76
29/10/26	H	Brasilia	100-61
27/10/26	H	Pato	86-65
22/10/26	A	Uniao Corinthians	88-71
20/10/26	A	Caxias do Sul	78-66
12/05/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	81-92
09/05/26	A	Corinthians Paulista	97-103
07/05/26	A	Corinthians Paulista	97-91

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	68-75
07/11/26	H	Paulistano	65-58
04/11/26	A	Mogi	78-89
02/11/26	A	Sao Jose	53-96
22/10/26	H	Pinheiros	63-98
20/10/26	H	Osasco	69-93
16/04/26	A	Cruzeiro	77-86
14/04/26	A	Minas	56-87
06/04/26	H	Caxias do Sul	83-107
04/04/26	H	Uniao Corinthians	94-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	86.3	91.3	82.5
Allowed / game	65.7	61.0	69.2
Point differential	+20.6	+30.3	+13.2
Avg total	152.0	152.3	151.8
Over 157.75	43%	33%	50%
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cearense

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	17%
Home	LLWL	25%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	17%	25%	0%
Points / game	66.0	66.2	65.5
Allowed / game	84.8	81.0	92.5
Point differential	-18.8	-14.8	-27.0
Avg total	150.8	147.2	158.0
Over 157.75	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	7	7	0	100%	86.3	65.7	+20.6
2	Mogi	7	6	1	86%	83.1	73.9	+9.3
3	Pinheiros	8	6	2	75%	85.2	73.1	+12.1
4	Flamengo	7	5	2	71%	80.9	73.4	+7.4
5	Unifacisa	7	5	2	71%	79.4	75.1	+4.3
6	Franca	8	5	3	62%	78.9	71.6	+7.2
7	Brasilia	8	4	4	50%	80.6	79.8	+0.9
8	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
9	Uniao Corinthians	6	3	3	50%	73.2	76.8	-3.7
10	Corinthians Paulista	7	3	4	43%	80.0	79.0	+1.0
11	Bauru	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
12	Sao Jose	7	3	4	43%	80.3	81.7	-1.4
13	Paulistano	7	3	4	43%	69.6	73.9	-4.3
14	Botafogo	6	2	4	33%	76.7	83.0	-6.3
15	Pato	7	2	5	29%	74.1	83.6	-9.4
16	Osasco	6	1	5	17%	77.8	86.8	-9.0
17	Cearense	6	1	5	17%	66.0	84.8	-18.8
18	Caxias do Sul	7	0	7	0%	64.7	79.6	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minas	17	23	14	23	77
Cearense	18	11	16	18	63

← all games of the day

Minas vs Cearense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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