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Osasco vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-68
14-19 21-20 23-14 19-15
Position#18
Record5-31
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game88.8
Osasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Pato
Brazil
Position#17
Record7-28
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game80.4
BrazilNBB· Ginásio Geodésico
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A22/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A05/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H07/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A12/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A14/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A20/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H22/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
A07/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-15
19-26
9-25
23-27
17-23
24-25
17-23
17-17
17-23
26-24
24-28
21-27
28-17
19-21
11-20
18-23
25-28
24-12
19-25
18-16
17-16
19-23
22-21
13-18
20-26
19-30
19-27
20-31
19-12
18-18
9-17
16-29
15-26
18-23
16-23
19-32
18-22
26-28
33-29
171.0Avg total
78.4Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)76.088.8164.8-12.814%
Season at home (18)73.286.0159.2-12.822%
Season away (18)78.991.6170.4-12.76%
Last 10 (10)78.492.6171.0-14.210%
Last 5 (5)77.696.0173.6-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)75.590.7166.2-15.34%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.980.4159.3-1.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
A09/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
22-13
18-20
26-15
16-21
24-14
8-10
11-19
14-21
18-21
23-24
12-16
19-21
18-17
19-26
23-25
13-26
22-19
17-19
20-16
15-13
19-17
24-28
14-23
16-20
18-21
21-29
15-24
13-16
13-14
20-20
12-17
17-13
21-16
20-20
12-29
16-30
12-23
11-23
25-24
150.6Avg total
70.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)72.580.4152.9-7.920%
Season at home (19)73.576.6150.1-3.126%
Season away (16)71.484.9156.2-13.512%
Last 10 (10)70.480.2150.6-9.810%
Last 5 (5)66.884.0150.8-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.982.3151.2-13.410%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.779.0159.7+1.744%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -3.8-3.8
OsascoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A22/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A12/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A14/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H22/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/04
NBB
82.4Avg total
37.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.482.0-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.242.179.3-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.784.7-4.827%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.582.4-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.045.680.6-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.544.983.4-6.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.738.677.3+0.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A24/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H02/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/04
NBB
72.8Avg total
35.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.775.9-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.536.674.2+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)34.343.878.1-9.523%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.572.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.668.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.040.674.6-6.624%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.137.778.8+3.478%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.2
48.1%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.3
29.9%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.114.1
70.1%
72.8%14.1
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.315.8
48.9%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.09.8
28.0%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.29.4
61.8%
72.8%9.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osasco
LLLLWLLLLL
Pato
LLLLLLLLLW
#18
League position
#17
-15.5
Net rating
-10.9
85.3
Offensive rating
78.5
100.8
Defensive rating
89.4
46.7%
Effective FG%
45.3%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.9%
3-point %
28.0%
60.4%
Assist %
60.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence85.3 · 78.5Defence100.8 · 89.4Shooting46.7% · 45.3%3-point %29.9% · 28.0%Ball care16.5% · 18.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Osasco   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Osasco wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Pato v Osasco82-67
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26ACorinthians Paulista96-111
03/04/26HUnifacisa65-101
22/03/26HMinas66-78
20/03/26AFlamengo71-101
17/03/26HCearense90-89 OT
14/03/26AVasco86-88
12/03/26ABotafogo79-85
07/03/26HCruzeiro84-92
05/03/26ASao Jose81-98
22/02/26ACaxias do Sul66-83
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26AFranca64-100
06/04/26HRio Claro70-78
02/04/26HBrasilia58-67
24/03/26ABauru70-94
18/03/26HSao Jose72-81
13/03/26HMogi72-80
07/03/26HCorinthians Paulista79-89
21/02/26AUnifacisa67-82
18/02/26ACearense59-64
12/02/26HBotafogo93-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLLWLL22%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %14%22%6%
Points / game76.073.278.9
Allowed / game88.886.091.6
Point differential-12.8-12.8-12.7
Avg total164.8159.2170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL26%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %20%26%12%
Points / game72.573.571.4
Allowed / game80.476.684.9
Point differential-7.9-3.1-13.5
Avg total152.9150.1156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%16%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3630683%91.076.7+14.3
2 Pinheiros3729878%85.274.6+10.6
3 Minas3628878%88.381.9+6.4
4 Brasilia3627975%81.471.9+9.5
5 Flamengo36261072%86.978.8+8.0
6 Corinthians Paulista36251169%84.879.2+5.6
7 Paulistano36231364%83.478.2+5.2
8 Bauru36211558%81.979.0+2.9
9 Sao Jose36211558%82.380.5+1.8
10 Mogi36201656%76.471.2+5.2
11 Unifacisa36181850%81.180.2+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians36181850%79.581.4-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul36171947%74.176.6-2.5
14 Cruzeiro36122433%79.885.2-5.4
15 Rio Claro36112531%78.185.8-7.7
16 Botafogo36102628%72.782.7-10.0
17 Pato3572820%72.580.4-7.9
18 Cearense3672919%76.789.1-12.3
19 Vasco3653114%70.580.9-10.4
20 Osasco3653114%76.088.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osasco1421231977
Pato1920141568
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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