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Pato vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-89
19-21 18-17 19-26 23-25
Position#17
Record7-21
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#6
Record20-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game78.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Corinthians Paulista
19 Nov 2026
PATO v CORI
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
PATO79
CORI89
29 Dec 2024
PATO76
CORI85
28 Mar 2024
PATO100
CORI87
18 Nov 2022
PATO68
CORI96
28 Oct 2021
PATO73
CORI80
22 Apr 2021
PATO61
CORI90
04 Jan 2021
PATO75
CORI80
29 Nov 2019
PATO68
CORI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
64avg 66
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
78avg 66
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 66
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 66
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
54avg 66
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 66
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
84-53
84
53
+31
81avg 66
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
89avg 66
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
50avg 66
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-82
67
82
-15
56avg 66
A21/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
15-25
16-21
18-21
15-26
24-17
15-14
16-13
19-22
17-19
19-22
17-17
20-27
19-26
25-17
17-19
27-17
18-23
4-17
18-18
24-19
21-13
20-23
10-29
17-22
25-14
25-7
17-10
27-19
22-13
18-20
26-15
16-21
24-14
8-10
11-19
14-21
18-21
23-24
12-16
152.9Avg total
75.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.379.4152.8-6.125%
Season at home (14)74.675.7150.4-1.136%
Season away (14)72.083.1155.1-11.114%
Last 10 (10)75.077.9152.9-2.920%
Last 5 (5)75.670.0145.6+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.282.0152.2-11.810%
vs Similar (10)79.576.9156.4+2.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
88avg 81
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 81
H08/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
95-83
95
83
+12
91avg 81
H10/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
A15/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
75-67
75
67
+8
no box
A17/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
74-73
74
73
+1
72avg 81
A19/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 81
H07/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-75
81
75
+6
79avg 81
H09/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
80avg 81
H18/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
103-95
103
95
+8
104avg 81
A20/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
23-17
26-23
17-19
29-18
17-23
18-36
10-15
23-17
17-21
19-27
36-18
22-31
23-22
21-28
22-13
21-12
18-24
17-12
19-19
21-14
15-21
22-16
16-22
26-19
16-18
28-18
26-21
24-28
12-21
23-11
22-15
21-15
20-16
21-20
20-24
28-6
27-31
18-31
30-27
166.2Avg total
85.6Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.878.0161.8+5.871%
Season at home (14)83.973.9157.8+10.186%
Season away (14)83.782.1165.9+1.657%
Last 10 (10)85.680.6166.2+5.080%
Last 5 (5)87.278.8166.0+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.888.5166.2-10.80%
vs Similar (13)83.382.2165.5+1.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.671.2156.8+14.4100%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
PatoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/02
NBB
80.6Avg total
40.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.978.3-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.637.976.6+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)36.243.579.8-7.225%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.680.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.141.677.8-5.530%-
vs Similar (10)39.939.479.3+0.560%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A15/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A17/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H09/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H18/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A20/02
NBB
81.6Avg total
42.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.337.280.5+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.335.376.6+5.980%-
Last 30 away (15)45.439.084.4+6.473%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.181.6+3.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.879.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (13)43.839.883.6+4.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.632.675.2+10.092%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.9
51.3%
52.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.2
30.8%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.611.9
64.0%
72.8%11.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.5
59.9%
52.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.3
33.7%
32.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.713.2
74.6%
72.8%13.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLWWLLLLLL
Corinthians Paulista
WWWWWWLWLW
#17
League position
#6
-2.4
Net rating
+15.9
85.5
Offensive rating
105.7
87.9
Defensive rating
89.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
55.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.8%
3-point %
33.7%
58.3%
Assist %
73.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 105.7Defence87.9 · 89.8Shooting48.9% · 55.6%3-point %30.8% · 33.7%Ball care19.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds37.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Pato   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pato wins
7
Corinthians Paulista wins
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AUnifacisa67-82
18/02/26ACearense59-64
12/02/26HBotafogo93-67
05/02/26HFlamengo84-53
02/02/26HVasco75-84
21/01/26AMinas67-75
19/01/26ACruzeiro81-89
12/01/26HUniao Corinthians72-80
09/01/26HCaxias do Sul85-91 OT
29/12/25HPinheiros67-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26ASao Jose103-95
18/02/26HMogi82-75
09/02/26HUnifacisa81-75
07/02/26HCearense96-76
19/01/26ABotafogo74-73
17/01/26AVasco75-67
15/01/26AFlamengo88-94
10/01/26HCruzeiro95-83
08/01/26HMinas74-92
29/12/25HUniao Corinthians88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%36%14%
Points / game73.374.672.0
Allowed / game79.475.783.1
Point differential-6.1-1.1-11.1
Avg total152.8150.4155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game83.883.983.7
Allowed / game78.073.982.1
Point differential+5.8+10.1+1.6
Avg total161.8157.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%71%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2823582%85.874.4+11.4
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia2921872%82.172.7+9.4
6 Corinthians Paulista2820871%83.878.0+5.8
7 Paulistano29181162%82.077.8+4.2
8 Sao Jose30181260%82.879.9+2.9
9 Bauru30181260%80.577.9+2.6
10 Uniao Corinthians28151354%79.581.4-1.9
11 Mogi29151452%75.870.1+5.6
12 Unifacisa28141450%80.980.2+0.6
13 Caxias do Sul28121643%72.877.3-4.5
14 Cruzeiro28101836%79.785.1-5.5
15 Rio Claro2992031%77.686.8-9.2
16 Pato2872125%73.379.4-6.1
17 Cearense2862221%76.887.6-10.8
18 Botafogo2962321%72.582.9-10.4
19 Vasco2942514%69.879.5-9.7
20 Osasco2942514%75.387.7-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1918192379
Corinthians Paulista2117262589
← all games of the day
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