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Ourense vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-65
28-18 13-21 26-14 26-12
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game68.0
Ourense 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game86.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 3
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ourense v Estela
10 Oct 2026
OURE86
ESTE101
11 Apr 2026
OURE67
ESTE72
12 Oct 2024
OURE93
ESTE65
14 Apr 2024
OURE65
ESTE72
29 Oct 2022
OURE66
ESTE79
06 Apr 2022
OURE70
ESTE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
66-76
66
76
-10
60avg 65
A29/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 65
H06/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
81avg 65
A10/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
65-72
65
72
-7
55avg 65
H14/04
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
77-71
77
71
+6
69avg 65
A19/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
64-91
64
91
-27
50avg 65
H27/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
82-78
82
78
+4
76avg 65
A05/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 65
H10/05
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
101-73
101
73
+28
100avg 65
H28/09
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 65
A05/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
13-30
22-19
13-9
13-26
20-17
25-22
26-22
23-18
22-24
28-26
9-23
8-15
18-19
15-19
24-19
13-20
26-21
13-14
25-16
14-23
11-23
19-20
20-25
23-17
18-19
24-24
17-18
21-21
16-24
18-23
21-19
21-12
25-14
24-19
31-28
15-16
20-14
23-20
15-13
155.9Avg total
77.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.068.0155.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)101.073.0174.0+28.0100%
Season away (1)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.078.9155.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)79.278.4157.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)70.986.3157.2-15.418%
vs Similar (10)75.270.2145.4+5.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.774.0160.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#13
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
77avg 68
H29/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
84avg 68
H06/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
84-99
84
99
-15
69avg 68
A10/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 68
A14/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
58avg 68
H20/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 68
A26/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
67-94
67
94
-27
52avg 68
H04/05
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
L
89-92
89
92
-3
78avg 68
A10/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
55avg 68
A28/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
82avg 68
H06/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
15-32
18-15
17-15
20-24
23-27
28-21
12-11
22-23
16-27
24-29
22-20
15-8
19-18
19-15
19-24
22-23
18-12
8-26
19-20
33-14
6-26
10-24
28-24
17-24
19-20
17-25
14-25
19-27
23-16
22-28
25-21
11-23
20-21
19-19
17-23
18-12
18-19
15-24
24-20
167.0Avg total
78.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.586.5163.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)86.087.0173.0-1.00%
Season away (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)78.988.1167.0-9.220%
Last 5 (5)77.289.4166.6-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.886.4159.2-13.67%
vs Similar (12)82.180.0162.1+2.150%
vs Weaker (4)80.880.0160.8+0.850%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
OurenseEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H14/04
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H27/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A05/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H10/05
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H28/09
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A05/10
Primera FEB
74.9Avg total
35.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.376.3-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.977.0-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)34.241.575.8-7.238%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.174.9-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.673.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.943.878.7-8.829%-
vs Similar (10)36.236.172.3+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.034.376.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H06/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A10/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A14/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/05
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A28/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/10
Primera FEB
79.2Avg total
38.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.578.8-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.479.9+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.141.677.7-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.179.2-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.477.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.143.478.4-8.314%-
vs Similar (12)42.037.779.7+4.367%-
vs Weaker (4)38.239.077.2-0.825%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ourense wins
5
Estela wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Ourense v Estela65-72
14/10/23Estela v Ourense76-80 OT
05/03/23Estela v Ourense75-69
29/10/22Ourense v Estela66-79
06/04/22Ourense v Estela70-76
12/01/22Estela v Ourense69-56
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AOviedo73-63
28/09/24HCartagena101-73
10/05/24HGipuzkoa76-87
05/05/24AClavijo82-78
27/04/24HSan Pablo Burgos64-91
19/04/24ACaceres77-71
14/04/24HEstela65-72
10/04/24AAlicante82-91
06/04/24HLeyma Coruna84-87
29/03/24AFuenlabrada66-76
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24HHestia Menorca86-87 OT
28/09/24ASan Pablo Burgos67-86
10/05/24ACastello89-92
04/05/24HTizona Burgos67-94
26/04/24AForca Lleida77-88
20/04/24HEstudiantes67-81
14/04/24AOurense72-65
10/04/24AClavijo84-99
06/04/24HGipuzkoa96-106 OT
29/03/24HOviedo84-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.0101.073.0
Allowed / game68.073.063.0
Point differential+19.0+28.0+10.0
Avg total155.0174.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.586.067.0
Allowed / game86.587.086.0
Point differential-10.0-1.0-19.0
Avg total163.0173.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ourense220100%87.068.0+19.0
2 Real Betis220100%86.069.0+17.0
3 San Pablo Burgos220100%82.568.5+14.0
4 Palencia220100%84.577.0+7.5
5 Hestia Menorca220100%81.577.5+4.0
6 Estudiantes32167%93.782.7+11.0
7 Zamora32167%80.772.0+8.7
8 Cartagena32167%72.779.3-6.7
9 Fuenlabrada21150%74.570.0+4.5
10 Real Valladolid21150%70.576.5-6.0
11 Obradoiro CAB31233%71.773.3-1.7
12 Castello31233%82.386.7-4.3
13 Tizona Burgos31233%85.092.3-7.3
14 Oviedo31233%73.382.3-9.0
15 Alicante2020%66.572.5-6.0
16 Estela2020%76.586.5-10.0
17 Gipuzkoa2020%65.577.5-12.0
18 Moron3030%70.082.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ourense2813262693
Estela1821141265
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