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Ourense vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-84
25-23 25-16 22-18 23-27
Position#10
Record13-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.5
Ourense 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#16
Record11-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game85.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 33
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ourense v Real Valladolid
03 May 2025
OURE95
REAL84
12 Jan 2024
OURE99
REAL77
25 Mar 2023
OURE82
REAL72
23 Dec 2020
OURE78
REAL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Valladolid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 73
H08/03
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
59-89
59
89
-30
52avg 73
A11/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 73
H15/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
81avg 73
A21/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
46avg 73
H29/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
72avg 73
A06/04
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
96-77
96
77
+19
89avg 73
H12/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
71-90
71
90
-19
63avg 73
A18/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
94-84
94
84
+10
91avg 73
H23/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
77-86
77
86
-9
63avg 73
A26/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-13
20-24
15-19
12-19
10-25
20-30
17-15
19-17
10-19
27-24
21-25
24-22
22-21
19-18
12-16
18-19
12-14
14-23
16-18
18-13
14-19
16-23
26-26
25-17
24-21
26-24
21-15
15-31
24-30
18-20
14-9
30-17
20-30
24-22
20-15
18-15
12-24
19-25
28-22
160.9Avg total
77.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.083.5165.5-1.541%
Season at home (16)84.879.9164.7+4.950%
Season away (16)79.187.1166.2-8.031%
Last 10 (10)77.083.9160.9-6.920%
Last 5 (5)82.483.6166.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.387.4167.8-7.125%
vs Similar (10)80.483.0163.4-2.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.182.1167.2+3.050%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Palencia
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 66
H08/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
69-90
69
90
-21
56avg 66
A12/03
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
78-91
78
91
-13
60avg 66
H15/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
54avg 66
A22/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
90-88
90
88
+2
85avg 66
H29/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
102-83
102
83
+19
100avg 66
A04/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
81-88
81
88
-7
66avg 66
H11/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
91-86
91
86
+5
77avg 66
H19/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
69-105
69
105
-36
58avg 66
A23/04
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 66
H26/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
22-29
20-19
24-13
20-30
15-29
23-20
11-11
21-17
20-29
17-16
20-29
11-19
14-24
18-23
18-22
14-19
38-10
13-24
25-35
24-21
30-19
26-28
22-15
20-17
15-23
18-18
28-30
23-26
28-26
15-24
25-10
19-28
14-20
15-24
21-33
25-16
21-23
22-18
18-18
169.6Avg total
81.9Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.485.5163.9-7.134%
Season at home (16)81.487.0168.4-5.631%
Season away (16)75.484.1159.5-8.638%
Last 10 (10)81.987.7169.6-5.850%
Last 5 (5)85.887.4173.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.090.2166.2-14.210%
vs Similar (10)84.878.0162.8+6.880%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
OurenseReal Valladolid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/03
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A11/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H15/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A21/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H29/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A06/04
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H12/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A18/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H23/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/04
Primera FEB
77.4Avg total
36.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.382.0-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.980.5+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)38.944.783.6-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.977.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.483.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.241.780.8-2.550%-
vs Similar (10)38.843.682.4-4.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.641.883.4-0.150%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A12/03
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A22/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H29/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A04/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H11/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H19/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A23/04
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H26/04
Primera FEB
86.7Avg total
42.0Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.882.7-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.143.884.9-2.631%-
Last 30 away (14)36.343.980.2-7.621%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.786.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.446.382.7-9.915%-
vs Similar (10)43.838.982.7+4.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ourense wins
4
Real Valladolid wins
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25AEstela77-86
23/04/25HPalencia94-84
18/04/25AAlicante71-90
12/04/25HCastello96-77
06/04/25AFuenlabrada74-81
29/03/25HSan Pablo Burgos60-74
21/03/25AReal Betis89-94 OT
15/03/25HObradoiro CAB77-85
11/03/25AMoron59-89
08/03/25HEstudiantes73-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HCartagena86-75
23/04/25AOviedo69-105
19/04/25HZamora91-86
11/04/25HEstela81-88
04/04/25ACastello102-83
29/03/25HAlicante90-88
22/03/25ASan Pablo Burgos61-88
15/03/25HMoron78-91
12/03/25AGipuzkoa69-90
08/03/25HPalencia92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game82.084.879.1
Allowed / game83.579.987.1
Point differential-1.5+4.9-8.0
Avg total165.5164.7166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW34%
HomeLWLWW31%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %34%31%38%
Points / game78.481.475.4
Allowed / game85.587.084.1
Point differential-7.1-5.6-8.6
Avg total163.9168.4159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)40% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos3230294%88.374.6+13.7
2 Real Betis3326779%83.974.0+9.9
3 Fuenlabrada3326779%84.576.7+7.8
4 Estudiantes3225778%86.878.8+8.0
5 Obradoiro CAB33221167%81.473.5+7.8
6 Palencia33211264%87.080.9+6.2
7 Tizona Burgos32151747%87.589.3-1.8
8 Cartagena32151747%77.783.9-6.2
9 Gipuzkoa33151845%78.278.9-0.8
10 Ourense32131941%82.083.5-1.5
11 Oviedo32131941%79.180.7-1.7
12 Alicante33132039%79.079.2-0.2
13 Zamora33132039%79.182.4-3.3
14 Estela33122136%76.283.1-6.9
15 Real Valladolid32112134%78.485.5-7.1
16 Hestia Menorca32102231%74.578.4-4.0
17 Castello3392427%79.989.0-9.1
18 Moron3342912%71.782.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ourense2525222395
Real Valladolid2316182784
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