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Ovarense vs Galomar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-78
21-9 18-20 25-20 23-29
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game84.0
PortugalLPBRound 2· Arena de Ovar
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ovarense v Galomar
30 Nov 2024
OVAR87
GALO78
27 Apr 2024
OVAR89
GALO76
17 Feb 2024
OVAR80
GALO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galomar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
91avg 77
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
73avg 77
A21/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
47avg 77
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 77
H26/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
72avg 77
H28/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
72-59
72
59
+13
65avg 77
H19/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
87-86
87
86
+1
76avg 77
A26/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 77
A02/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 77
H10/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
67-62
67
62
+5
55avg 77
A16/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
22-19
19-27
13-9
16-27
23-17
15-10
19-16
15-20
13-14
16-21
16-22
16-10
18-29
23-25
26-22
17-14
24-21
11-17
22-25
12-12
17-9
20-22
23-16
24-19
17-21
26-20
20-26
24-23
18-16
23-22
10-8
22-19
26-22
7-26
22-19
11-25
20-14
23-12
13-11
152.4Avg total
76.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.672.4148.0+3.280%
Season at home (2)74.572.5147.0+2.050%
Season away (3)76.372.3148.7+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.176.3152.4-0.260%
Last 5 (5)75.672.4148.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.782.7161.4-4.147%
vs Similar (4)76.571.0147.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.776.3162.0+9.480%
This opponent (Galomar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalomarPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalomar
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
L
68-80
68
80
-12
52avg 62
H23/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
78avg 62
A07/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
82avg 62
H13/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
70-95
70
95
-25
52avg 62
H20/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
76-89
76
89
-13
65avg 62
A27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
61-95
61
95
-34
56avg 62
H19/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 62
H26/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
62avg 62
A02/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
63avg 62
H09/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
53avg 62
A16/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
10-14
10-25
25-21
20-24
27-19
23-22
15-26
26-17
22-19
15-16
25-28
19-20
16-24
18-26
17-25
23-21
21-18
17-25
15-25
15-23
20-23
12-25
14-24
27-14
19-18
13-35
24-20
27-27
23-17
14-28
18-13
29-23
13-12
19-11
14-26
16-26
23-15
16-19
17-21
161.5Avg total
76.0Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.684.0158.6-9.420%
Season at home (3)73.084.7157.7-11.733%
Season away (2)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)76.085.5161.5-9.520%
Last 5 (5)74.684.0158.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.085.5155.5-15.50%
vs Similar (10)79.077.7156.7+1.350%
vs Weaker (2)84.575.0159.5+9.550%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
OvarenseGalomar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A21/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H26/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H28/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H19/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H10/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/11
LPB
75.3Avg total
37.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.279.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.480.9+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.078.7+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.475.3+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.074.2+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.740.380.1-0.633%-
vs Similar (4)36.835.272.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.737.981.6+5.890%-
This opponent (Galomar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalomarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A07/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H13/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H20/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H19/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A02/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H09/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/11
LPB
81.3Avg total
41.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.878.3-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.240.877.0-4.631%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.979.7-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.481.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.142.277.4-7.129%-
vs Similar (10)40.239.179.3+1.150%-
vs Weaker (2)39.536.075.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.6
46.4%
51.2%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.2
33.9%
32.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.8
80.0%
69.2%14.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galomartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galomar: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.020.9
47.5%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.7
28.5%
32.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.7
77.8%
69.2%13.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WLWWWLLLWW
Galomar
LWLLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#12
+0.1
Net rating
-11.5
99.4
Offensive rating
100.1
99.3
Defensive rating
111.6
48.3%
Effective FG%
45.9%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
28.5%
64.0%
Assist %
42.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 100.1Defence99.3 · 111.6Shooting48.3% · 45.9%3-point %33.9% · 28.5%Ball care19.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds25.7% · 34.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Ovarense   ■ Galomar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ovarense wins
0
Galomar wins
DateGameScore
27/04/24Ovarense v Galomar89-76
17/02/24Ovarense v Galomar80-76
22/12/23Galomar v Ovarense64-79
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AVitoria67-62
10/11/24HSporting CP77-86
02/11/24ACD Povoa75-69
26/10/24ACA Queluz87-86
19/10/24HGalitos Barreiro72-59
28/05/24HFC Porto74-77
26/05/24HFC Porto83-86
23/05/24AFC Porto60-77
21/05/24AFC Porto73-70
13/05/24HSporting CP93-91 OT
Galomarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24ACD Povoa72-81
09/11/24HImortal75-72
02/11/24AGalitos Barreiro82-85
26/10/24HBenfica83-87
19/10/24HOliveirense61-95
27/04/24AOvarense76-89
20/04/24HVitoria70-95
13/04/24HImortal88-80
07/04/24AFC Porto85-91
23/03/24HEsgueira68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game75.674.576.3
Allowed / game72.472.572.3
Point differential+3.2+2.0+4.0
Avg total148.0147.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galomar
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game74.673.077.0
Allowed / game84.084.783.0
Point differential-9.4-11.7-6.0
Avg total158.6157.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica550100%93.277.6+15.6
2 Oliveirense54180%93.274.4+18.8
3 Sporting CP54180%88.674.2+14.4
4 FC Porto54180%86.480.0+6.4
5 Ovarense54180%75.672.4+3.2
6 Galitos Barreiro52340%74.476.2-1.8
7 CD Povoa52340%72.474.8-2.4
8 Esgueira52340%80.085.4-5.4
9 Vitoria62433%78.280.3-2.2
10 Galomar51420%74.684.0-9.4
11 CA Queluz51420%80.891.2-10.4
12 Imortal6060%67.389.3-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2118252387
Galomar920202978
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