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Ovarense vs Galomar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-76
21-18 14-24 23-24 22-10
Position#6
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game100.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game87.7
PortugalTaca da Liga· Arena de Ovar
Other2024
Meetings · Ovarense v Galomar
30 Nov 2024
OVAR87
GALO78
27 Apr 2024
OVAR89
GALO76
17 Feb 2024
OVAR80
GALO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galomar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
77avg 73
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 73
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
79avg 73
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 73
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 73
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
96avg 73
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
96avg 73
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
62avg 73
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
104avg 73
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 73
A10/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
28-15
18-19
14-17
22-23
20-19
14-20
16-17
27-32
12-19
18-24
22-16
19-10
17-19
24-21
19-14
26-21
17-21
22-16
15-20
29-26
17-23
21-17
24-24
23-18
13-26
27-18
28-24
13-25
19-19
22-26
20-28
31-8
13-18
32-23
23-21
18-16
23-19
16-29
19-23
163.0Avg total
81.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.3100.0175.3-24.733%
Season at home (2)83.094.5177.5-11.550%
Season away (1)60.0111.0171.0-51.00%
Last 10 (10)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)86.286.2172.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.988.6159.5-17.624%
vs Similar (4)79.578.5158.0+1.075%
vs Weaker (8)80.975.9156.8+5.075%
This opponent (Galomar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalomarPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalomar
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
88avg 64
A02/12
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
82avg 64
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
L
56-82
56
82
-26
36avg 64
A16/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
64-79
64
79
-15
47avg 64
H22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
61avg 64
H06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
74-95
74
95
-21
65avg 64
H10/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
93-70
93
70
+23
84avg 64
A20/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
63avg 64
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
H04/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 64
A10/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
25-7
16-17
21-19
25-20
20-24
19-23
25-31
9-17
13-19
22-24
12-22
10-19
19-17
21-24
14-19
14-30
27-22
17-15
13-22
18-22
23-31
17-19
16-23
13-20
24-17
26-14
30-19
22-23
21-13
22-22
16-30
27-20
29-23
20-21
31-17
19-15
17-17
14-14
24-23
160.7Avg total
79.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.087.7172.7-2.733%
Season at home (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
Season away (1)74.087.0161.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)79.181.6160.7-2.540%
Last 5 (5)85.880.6166.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.283.6154.8-12.410%
vs Similar (6)81.277.3158.5+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.276.2162.4+10.185%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
OvarenseGalomar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A10/02
LPB
79.9Avg total
40.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.478.3-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.480.5-4.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.640.576.1-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.779.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.679.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.244.178.3-9.812%-
vs Similar (4)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (8)41.135.676.8+5.588%-
This opponent (Galomar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalomarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A02/12
LPB
Imortal
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A16/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H10/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H04/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A10/02
LPB
79.3Avg total
39.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.077.9-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.339.777.0-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.378.8-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.879.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.282.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.042.976.9-8.920%-
vs Similar (6)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.537.076.5+2.546%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.0
53.3%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.9
39.3%
32.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.7
76.2%
69.0%14.7
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galomartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galomar: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.320.7
48.9%
51.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.0
32.3%
32.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.115.7
78.1%
69.0%15.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
LWLWWWWLLW
Galomar
WWLWLLLLLW
#6
League position
#8
+0.8
Net rating
-3.6
108.1
Offensive rating
103.7
107.3
Defensive rating
107.3
55.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
23.8%
Turnover %
18.4%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.3%
3-point %
32.3%
71.3%
Assist %
50.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 103.7Defence107.3 · 107.3Shooting55.7% · 48.8%3-point %39.3% · 32.3%Ball care23.8% · 18.4%Off. rebounds34.8% · 31.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Ovarense   ■ Galomar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ovarense wins
0
Galomar wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Galomar v Ovarense64-79
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ACD Povoa76-87
03/02/24HLusitania99-70
27/01/24HBenfica74-98
20/01/24ASporting CP91-86
06/01/24HVitoria91-90
30/12/23HImortal80-78
22/12/23AGalomar79-64
09/12/23HSporting CP79-91
01/12/23AFC Porto72-79
25/11/23HEsgueira75-71
Galomarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24APortimonense74-69
04/02/24HCD Povoa107-81
03/02/24HCD Povoa81-88
20/01/24ALusitania93-70
10/01/24HBenfica74-95
06/01/24HSporting CP71-89
22/12/23HOvarense64-79
16/12/23AVitoria56-82
10/12/23AImortal89-98
02/12/23AImortal82-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.383.060.0
Allowed / game100.094.5111.0
Point differential-24.7-11.5-51.0
Avg total175.3177.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
Galomar
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game85.090.574.0
Allowed / game87.788.087.0
Point differential-2.7+2.5-13.0
Avg total172.7178.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oliveirense440100%88.270.8+17.5
2 Sporting CP440100%90.575.2+15.2
3 FC Porto43175%85.866.8+19.0
4 Benfica43175%85.269.8+15.5
5 Imortal42250%78.579.5-1.0
6 Vitoria42250%81.082.2-1.2
7 Galomar31233%85.087.7-2.7
8 Ovarense31233%75.3100.0-24.7
9 CD Povoa41325%83.589.0-5.5
10 Esgueira41325%70.077.0-7.0
11 Portimonense41325%72.085.2-13.2
12 Lusitania4040%73.292.0-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2114232280
Galomar1824241076
← all games of the day
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