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Vitoria vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 62-67
25-11 14-20 12-23 11-13
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game75.0
PortugalLPBRound 6· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vitoria v Ovarense
10 Oct 2026
VITO71
OVAR87
15 Nov 2025
VITO77
OVAR94
16 Nov 2024
VITO62
OVAR67
23 Sep 2023
VITO79
OVAR76
22 Dec 2022
VITO97
OVAR76
02 Apr 2022
VITO95
OVAR91
24 Oct 2021
VITO81
OVAR82
09 Jan 2021
VITO71
OVAR70
14 Dec 2019
VITO75
OVAR71
17 Nov 2018
VITO67
OVAR77
15 Nov 2017
VITO113
OVAR101
03 Dec 2016
VITO97
OVAR103
04 Dec 2015
VITO75
OVAR87
02 Nov 2014
VITO71
OVAR65
19 Apr 2014
VITO89
OVAR84
18 Apr 2014
VITO86
OVAR72
08 Mar 2014
VITO84
OVAR71
28 Apr 2013
VITO79
OVAR67
27 Apr 2013
VITO83
OVAR84
25 Nov 2012
VITO85
OVAR93
11 Dec 2011
VITO69
OVAR75
27 Nov 2010
VITO81
OVAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
78avg 69
H07/04
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 69
A13/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
90avg 69
A20/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
64avg 69
H27/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
33avg 69
A11/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
62avg 69
H14/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
63avg 69
A19/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
66avg 69
A25/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 69
H02/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
75avg 69
A13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
26-24
15-24
17-9
22-21
27-16
18-20
14-15
20-19
24-16
26-18
25-17
14-30
17-21
18-26
28-17
9-18
19-20
13-27
12-16
15-30
17-24
23-16
16-23
17-24
19-18
16-23
28-23
22-27
18-21
24-22
12-23
12-18
23-20
21-24
23-20
29-29
18-14
19-19
20-17
160.4Avg total
77.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.285.5165.8-5.225%
Season at home (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Season away (3)80.786.7167.3-6.033%
Last 10 (10)77.882.6160.4-4.840%
Last 5 (5)78.487.0165.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.888.5164.3-12.710%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.783.6164.3-2.914%
vs Weaker (12)82.171.5153.6+10.683%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
W
87-81
87
81
+6
88avg 76
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
91avg 76
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
73avg 76
A21/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
47avg 76
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 76
H26/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
72avg 76
H28/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
72-59
72
59
+13
65avg 76
H19/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
87-86
87
86
+1
76avg 76
A26/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 76
A02/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 76
H10/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
26-9
16-20
20-31
24-23
22-19
19-27
13-9
16-27
23-17
15-10
19-16
15-20
13-14
16-21
16-22
16-10
18-29
23-25
26-22
17-14
24-21
11-17
22-25
12-12
17-9
20-22
23-16
24-19
17-21
26-20
20-26
24-23
18-16
23-22
10-8
22-19
26-22
7-26
22-19
156.3Avg total
78.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.875.0152.8+2.875%
Season at home (2)74.572.5147.0+2.050%
Season away (2)81.077.5158.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.178.2156.3-0.160%
Last 5 (5)77.075.4152.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.782.7161.4-4.147%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.774.0153.7+5.7100%
vs Weaker (11)84.775.8160.5+8.982%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
VitoriaOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/04
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H27/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A11/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H14/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A19/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/11
LPB
81.7Avg total
39.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.878.0-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.939.073.9-4.131%-
Last 30 away (17)40.740.481.1+0.459%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.781.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.083.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.344.280.5-7.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.141.476.6-6.329%-
vs Weaker (12)41.834.776.4+7.183%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A21/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H26/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H28/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H19/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H10/11
LPB
76.4Avg total
39.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.180.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.740.180.8+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)41.437.979.4+3.564%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.576.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.275.4+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.740.380.1-0.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.734.072.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (11)43.637.681.3+6.091%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.416.9
46.4%
51.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.1
31.0%
32.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
69.2%12.7
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.4
46.1%
51.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.6
36.4%
32.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
69.2%16.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
WLLLLLLWWW
Ovarense
LWWWLLLWWW
#9
League position
#5
-6.4
Net rating
+0.3
97.8
Offensive rating
101.4
104.1
Defensive rating
101.2
46.4%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
21.2%
Turnover %
20.0%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.0%
3-point %
36.4%
58.9%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 101.4Defence104.1 · 101.2Shooting46.4% · 49.7%3-point %31.0% · 36.4%Ball care21.2% · 20.0%Off. rebounds34.6% · 26.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Vitoria   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vitoria wins
5
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Ovarense v Vitoria91-90
23/09/23Vitoria v Ovarense79-76
22/12/22Vitoria v Ovarense97-76
05/10/22Ovarense v Vitoria97-88
16/04/22Ovarense v Vitoria101-93
02/04/22Vitoria v Ovarense95-91
02/02/22Ovarense v Vitoria81-63
24/10/21Vitoria v Ovarense81-82
17/04/21Ovarense v Vitoria108-118 OT
09/01/21Vitoria v Ovarense71-70
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24ACA Queluz86-79
02/11/24HEsgueira79-82
25/10/24AOliveirense76-93
19/10/24AFC Porto80-88
14/05/24HBenfica71-93
11/05/24ABenfica53-81
27/04/24HOliveirense77-94
20/04/24AGalomar95-70
13/04/24APortimonense81-72
07/04/24HImortal80-74
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HSporting CP77-86
02/11/24ACD Povoa75-69
26/10/24ACA Queluz87-86
19/10/24HGalitos Barreiro72-59
28/05/24HFC Porto74-77
26/05/24HFC Porto83-86
23/05/24AFC Porto60-77
21/05/24AFC Porto73-70
13/05/24HSporting CP93-91 OT
10/05/24ASporting CP87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game80.279.080.7
Allowed / game85.582.086.7
Point differential-5.2-3.0-6.0
Avg total165.8161.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game77.874.581.0
Allowed / game75.072.577.5
Point differential+2.8+2.0+3.5
Avg total152.8147.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica550100%93.277.6+15.6
2 Sporting CP54180%88.674.2+14.4
3 FC Porto54180%86.480.0+6.4
4 Oliveirense43175%93.273.8+19.5
5 Ovarense43175%77.875.0+2.8
6 Esgueira42250%80.883.5-2.8
7 Galitos Barreiro52340%74.476.2-1.8
8 CD Povoa52340%72.474.8-2.4
9 Vitoria41325%80.285.5-5.2
10 Galomar51420%74.684.0-9.4
11 CA Queluz51420%80.891.2-10.4
12 Imortal5050%66.290.0-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria2514121162
Ovarense1120231367
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