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Ovarense vs Sporting CP Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game74.6
PortugalLPBRound 15· Arena de Ovar
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ovarense v Sporting CP
30 Jan 2027
OVAR v SCP
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
OVAR82
SCP85
10 Nov 2024
OVAR77
SCP86
13 May 2024
OVAR93
SCP91
09 Dec 2023
OVAR79
SCP91
30 Sep 2023
OVAR81
SCP85
25 Mar 2023
OVAR70
SCP78
15 Jan 2023
OVAR71
SCP79
29 Oct 2022
OVAR72
SCP94
02 Oct 2021
OVAR69
SCP88
03 Apr 2021
OVAR92
SCP97
19 Oct 2019
OVAR70
SCP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
90avg 72
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
56avg 72
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
48avg 72
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
96-83
96
83
+13
47avg 72
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
81avg 72
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
63avg 72
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 72
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
56avg 72
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
21-19
18-15
29-27
23-27
24-25
13-19
12-19
16-10
18-17
18-18
13-24
26-19
26-9
23-20
21-35
17-21
20-17
30-9
20-24
17-12
20-17
25-23
16-17
24-16
12-22
16-14
18-19
23-12
15-24
17-20
23-20
16-26
34-31
26-19
17-11
14-20
23-24
24-26
28-11
159.7Avg total
82.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.476.9161.3+7.686%
Season at home (4)85.277.2162.5+8.0100%
Season away (3)83.376.3159.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)82.177.6159.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)81.676.8158.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.880.3152.2-8.517%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.279.0161.2+3.262%
vs Weaker (16)85.377.4162.8+7.981%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
97-77
97
77
+20
99avg 76
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 76
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
66avg 76
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 76
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 76
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 76
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
70-106
70
106
-36
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
91-48
91
48
+43
no box
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
25-23
25-14
24-20
22-23
20-26
20-25
22-19
15-21
22-20
15-10
14-15
16-24
22-12
14-16
19-18
18-20
15-18
14-16
20-15
23-24
19-22
21-20
23-32
17-19
18-32
16-29
19-26
21-10
34-11
22-12
14-15
18-23
16-25
23-23
19-15
25-19
17-15
29-13
23-22
159.2Avg total
80.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.674.6158.1+9.057%
Season at home (4)86.061.8147.8+24.2100%
Season away (3)80.391.7172.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)80.778.5159.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)83.481.4164.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.890.0159.8-20.225%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.682.1162.8-1.538%
vs Weaker (18)86.374.1160.4+12.272%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
OvarenseSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/11
LPB
80.0Avg total
41.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.7+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.377.9+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.842.785.5+0.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.680.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.541.577.0-6.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.439.082.4+4.462%-
vs Weaker (16)42.340.983.2+1.438%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H14/11
LPB
81.3Avg total
40.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.8+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.380.5+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.644.485.0-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.781.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.546.080.5-11.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.645.189.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker (18)43.237.080.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.3
48.9%
51.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.8
27.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.0
73.2%
71.1%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.5
49.2%
51.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
31.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.515.4
68.4%
71.1%15.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WWWLWWWLLW
Sporting CP
WLWLLLWWLW
#3
League position
#5
-5.3
Net rating
+2.1
83.9
Offensive rating
89.3
89.2
Defensive rating
87.2
46.0%
Effective FG%
47.7%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.5%
3-point %
30.4%
64.0%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence83.9 · 89.3Defence89.2 · 87.2Shooting46.0% · 47.7%3-point %27.5% · 30.4%Ball care14.8% · 15.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ovarense   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ovarense wins
7
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Sporting CP v Ovarense71-70
14/02/26Ovarense v Sporting CP82-85
01/11/25Sporting CP v Ovarense78-64
08/03/25Sporting CP v Ovarense100-91
10/11/24Ovarense v Sporting CP77-86
13/05/24Ovarense v Sporting CP93-91 OT
10/05/24Sporting CP v Ovarense81-87
20/01/24Sporting CP v Ovarense86-91
09/12/23Ovarense v Sporting CP79-91
30/09/23Ovarense v Sporting CP81-85
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCA Queluz89-81
07/11/26AOliveirense93-87
31/10/26HFC Porto78-76
24/10/26ASporting CP70-71
17/10/26HCD Povoa78-69
10/10/26AVitoria87-71
03/10/26HBraga96-83
16/05/26HOliveirense65-69
13/05/26AOliveirense72-90
09/05/26HOliveirense93-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCD Povoa94-69
11/11/26ARilski Sportist76-86
07/11/26HVitoria91-48
04/11/26AEsenler Erokspor70-106
01/11/26ABraga86-98
29/10/26AGence67-69
24/10/26HOvarense71-70
21/10/26HKolossos Rhodes71-69 OT
17/10/26ACAB Madeira84-93
14/10/26ASCM Craiova97-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game84.485.283.3
Allowed / game76.977.276.3
Point differential+7.6+8.0+7.0
Avg total161.3162.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game83.686.080.3
Allowed / game74.661.891.7
Point differential+9.0+24.2-11.3
Avg total158.1147.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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