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Ovarense vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-91
27-32 12-19 18-24 22-16
Position#12
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca de Portugal· Arena de Ovar
Other2024
Meetings · Ovarense v Sporting CP
30 Jan 2027
OVAR v SCP
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
OVAR82
SCP85
10 Nov 2024
OVAR77
SCP86
13 May 2024
OVAR93
SCP91
09 Dec 2023
OVAR79
SCP91
30 Sep 2023
OVAR81
SCP85
25 Mar 2023
OVAR70
SCP78
15 Jan 2023
OVAR71
SCP79
29 Oct 2022
OVAR72
SCP94
02 Oct 2021
OVAR69
SCP88
03 Apr 2021
OVAR92
SCP97
19 Oct 2019
OVAR70
SCP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 65
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
74avg 65
A07/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
no box
H14/10
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
96avg 65
H21/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
58-62
58
62
-4
46avg 65
A28/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
74avg 65
H04/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
60-111
60
111
-51
44avg 65
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
52-84
52
84
-32
42avg 65
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
77avg 65
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 65
A01/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
17-23
20-28
29-22
18-22
18-21
28-12
21-27
17-21
18-23
27-17
19-20
31-23
20-19
22-24
22-27
22-9
13-24
11-8
12-21
24-22
22-12
14-25
19-19
22-32
14-16
10-22
14-41
17-23
9-19
3-29
23-13
15-20
28-15
18-19
14-17
22-23
20-19
14-20
16-17
158.5Avg total
74.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.983.6158.5-8.750%
Last 5 (5)67.684.6152.2-17.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)69.385.5154.8-16.219%
vs Similar (4)74.872.5147.2+2.275%
vs Weaker (5)77.878.8156.6-1.060%
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
104-80
104
80
+24
110avg 87
A28/10
LPB
Balkan
#35
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 87
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
94-73
94
73
+21
86avg 87
H05/11
LPB
Alba Fehervar
#36
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
91avg 87
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
92-83
92
83
+9
95avg 87
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
72avg 87
A18/11
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
90-72
90
72
+18
88avg 87
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
H25/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
105-68
105
68
+37
108avg 87
A02/12
LPB
Jonava
#33
W
91-81
91
81
+10
77avg 87
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
28-9
16-19
30-33
22-20
11-31
21-12
16-18
26-15
21-15
24-15
23-28
18-28
31-18
15-26
29-21
32-19
14-15
24-26
22-23
25-21
23-29
13-16
24-24
23-16
24-10
21-29
22-17
14-16
22-21
30-17
14-26
24-18
33-9
27-21
21-20
16-15
23-16
28-15
24-35
174.6Avg total
92.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.482.2174.6+10.270%
Last 5 (5)92.479.8172.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.092.4174.4-10.440%
vs Similar (6)94.388.7183.0+5.767%
vs Weaker (19)92.577.7170.3+14.884%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
OvarenseSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/10
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H21/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A28/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/12
LPB
78.0Avg total
38.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.141.076.1-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.440.375.6-4.943%-
Last 30 away (16)34.941.776.6-6.819%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.878.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.278.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.042.576.4-8.514%-
vs Similar (4)37.236.874.0+0.575%-
vs Weaker (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
58-28
58
28
+30
A28/10
LPB
Balkan
#35
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H05/11
LPB
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A18/11
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H25/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A02/12
LPB
Jonava
#33
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
82.0Avg total
46.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.284.2+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.639.183.7+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)45.339.484.7+5.973%-
Last 10 (10)46.036.082.0+10.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.434.279.6+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.445.686.0-5.220%-
vs Similar (6)46.538.885.3+7.783%-
vs Weaker (19)45.737.783.4+8.079%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.517.4
43.0%
53.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.8
33.9%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.714.3
65.9%
69.5%14.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.727.4
54.0%
53.3%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.3
36.4%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
69.5%13.3
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
LWLLWLWWWL
Sporting CP
WWWWLWLWLW
#12
League position
#5
-13.6
Net rating
+14.4
95.9
Offensive rating
112.6
109.5
Defensive rating
98.2
45.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
36.4%
69.0%
Assist %
67.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 112.6Defence109.5 · 98.2Shooting45.8% · 54.2%3-point %33.9% · 36.4%Ball care19.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Ovarense   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ovarense wins
10
Sporting CP wins
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23AFC Porto72-79
25/11/23HEsgueira75-71
18/11/23ABenfica52-84
11/11/23AOliveirense60-111
04/11/23HOliveirense79-78
28/10/23APortimonense58-62
21/10/23HCD Povoa95-93
14/10/23HCD Povoa92-91 OT
07/10/23ALusitania85-82
30/09/23HSporting CP81-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AJonava91-81
02/12/23AEsgueira105-68
25/11/23HBenfica91-88 OT
22/11/23HBalkan90-72
18/11/23AOliveirense85-90
11/11/23AImortal92-83
08/11/23AAlba Fehervar102-106 OT
05/11/23HPortimonense94-73
01/11/23ABalkan70-81
28/10/23ACD Povoa104-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sporting CP
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%71.047.0+24.0
2 Oliveirense1010%47.071.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2712182279
Sporting CP3219241691
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