Ovarense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 77-84

14-24 17-24 22-17 24-19

Position#4

Record10-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game71.9

Allowed / game67.4

Ovarense

Vitoria 🏆

Position#5

Record8-7

FormWLLWW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game78.7

LPBRound 17

Other2012-13

Meetings · Ovarense v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sampaense

85-68

+17

H17/11

LPB

Vitoria

93-85

A25/11

LPB

Torres Vedras

59-48

+11

H01/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

66-52

+14

A09/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

58-92

-34

A16/12

LPB

Benfica

80-91

-11

A05/01

LPB

Alges

#10

70-69

A12/01

LPB

Academica

66-63

H19/01

LPB

Lusitania

55-45

+10

A02/02

LPB

Sampaense

80-85

-5

A16/02

LPB

–

27-20

20-14

26-30

20-21

14-9

14-10

19-17

12-12

21-13

19-14

8-12

18-13

18-18

11-26

15-25

14-23

16-23

16-17

28-29

20-22

21-13

12-20

20-13

17-23

14-17

17-13

20-21

15-12

9-17

10-10

18-9

20-21

19-17

28-19

13-28

141.0Avg total

71.2Scored

69.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	71.9	67.4	139.3	+4.4	71%
Season at home (5)	75.2	59.8	135.0	+15.4	100%
Season away (9)	70.0	71.7	141.7	-1.7	56%
Last 10 (10)	71.2	69.8	141.0	+1.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	70.6	140.8	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.5	75.5	145.0	-6.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	74.5	73.3	147.8	+1.2	83%
vs Weaker (18)	74.5	65.1	139.6	+9.4	72%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

85-92

-7

A01/12

LPB

Benfica

74-87

-13

H09/12

LPB

Alges

#10

80-68

+12

A15/12

LPB

Academica

70-82

-12

H22/12

LPB

Lusitania

64-71

-7

A05/01

LPB

Barcelos

90-87

A12/01

LPB

Sampaense

87-93

-6

H20/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

77-78

-1

H03/02

LPB

Torres Vedras

75-68

A09/02

LPB

Barreirense

#11

87-66

+21

H17/02

LPB

16-22

27-22

14-20

28-28

16-30

15-14

21-18

22-25

27-17

17-23

22-13

14-15

17-18

20-24

25-20

8-20

18-18

16-12

13-21

17-20

26-22

31-20

13-19

20-26

26-28

23-19

10-18

28-28

16-24

23-18

18-17

20-19

13-19

21-14

16-14

25-21

20-25

29-13

23-15

15-13

158.1Avg total

78.9Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	80.4	78.7	159.1	+1.7	53%
Season at home (8)	81.1	79.5	160.6	+1.6	38%
Season away (7)	79.6	77.9	157.4	+1.7	71%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	79.2	158.1	-0.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	78.4	161.6	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	71.0	79.4	150.4	-8.4	0%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	83.7	77.3	161.0	+6.3	67%
vs Weaker (13)	81.9	73.1	155.0	+8.8	85%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OvarenseVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.1	16.2	35.3	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.2	15.6	33.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.1	58%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.0	18.0	31.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.5	15.5	35.0	+4.0	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.7	19.2	38.0	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.3	41.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.3	19.9	36.2	-3.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	16.6	16.2	32.8	+0.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	16.6	14.6	31.2	+2.0	70%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.6	17.6	34.2	-1.0	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.3	15.7	31.0	-0.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	15.4	30.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	16.8	32.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.8	17.5	37.2	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (14)	16.0	15.7	31.7	+0.3	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	65%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	19.6	40.5	+1.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	18.2	38.5	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	17.9	40.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	16.8	42.2	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.9	17.3	39.2	+4.6	83%	-

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

47-34

+13

A25/11

LPB

Torres Vedras

28-19

H01/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

40-27

+13

A09/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

29-44

-15

A16/12

LPB

Benfica

32-40

-8

A05/01

LPB

Alges

#10

33-33

A12/01

LPB

Academica

31-30

H19/01

LPB

Lusitania

19-27

-8

A02/02

LPB

Sampaense

39-38

A16/02

LPB

65.6Avg total

33.1Scored

32.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	35.7	32.5	68.1	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	34.8	30.2	65.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.4	34.3	70.8	+2.1	58%	-
Last 10 (9)	33.1	32.4	65.6	+0.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	33.6	64.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	28.5	34.8	63.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	43.5	34.5	78.0	+9.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (14)	35.5	31.2	66.7	+4.3	71%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

43-44

-1

A01/12

LPB

Benfica

31-44

-13

H09/12

LPB

Alges

#10

44-40

A15/12

LPB

Academica

37-42

-5

H22/12

LPB

Lusitania

34-30

A05/01

LPB

Barcelos

57-42

+15

A12/01

LPB

Sampaense

49-47

H20/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

39-42

-3

H03/02

LPB

Torres Vedras

34-33

A09/02

LPB

Barreirense

#11

49-38

+11

H17/02

LPB

81.9Avg total

41.7Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	39.3	38.1	77.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	39.8	80.4	+0.7	46%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	36.4	74.5	+1.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	40.2	81.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	40.4	86.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.9	38.9	74.8	-3.0	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	37.0	42.2	79.2	-5.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.9	35.8	78.8	+7.1	83%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.8	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	19.4	39.7	+0.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	22.2	40.8	-3.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	16.1	36.8	+4.5	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.6	32.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.3	18.8	35.1	-2.4	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	26.8	21.2	48.0	+5.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.3	16.6	35.9	+2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.3	18.1	34.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	18.8	36.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.6	17.7	36.3	+0.9	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	18.5	38.5	+1.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	23.0	43.1	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.4	15.8	35.2	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	38.1	35.8	74.0	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	39.3	34.6	73.9	+4.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.2	36.8	74.0	+0.3	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.6	37.6	74.1	-1.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.0	76.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	36.5	37.5	74.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.2	33.9	73.1	+5.4	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	39.9	39.2	79.1	+0.7	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.2	37.7	77.8	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.6	40.7	80.3	-1.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	39.0	76.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.4	41.8	78.2	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	46.2	37.0	83.2	+9.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.8	38.2	78.0	+1.7	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ovarense wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/12	Vitoria v Ovarense	85-93
24/03/12	Ovarense v Vitoria	82-74
11/12/11	Vitoria v Ovarense	69-75
26/02/11	Ovarense v Vitoria	72-54
27/11/10	Vitoria v Ovarense	81-80

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/13	A	Sampaense	80-85
02/02/13	A	Lusitania	55-45
19/01/13	H	Academica	66-63
12/01/13	A	Alges	70-69
05/01/13	A	Benfica	80-91
16/12/12	A	CAB Madeira	58-92
09/12/12	A	Barreirense	66-52
01/12/12	H	Torres Vedras	59-48
25/11/12	A	Vitoria	93-85
17/11/12	H	Sampaense	85-68

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/13	H	Barreirense	87-66
09/02/13	A	Torres Vedras	75-68
03/02/13	H	CAB Madeira	77-78
20/01/13	H	Sampaense	87-93
12/01/13	A	Barcelos	90-87
05/01/13	A	Lusitania	64-71
22/12/12	H	Academica	70-82
15/12/12	A	Alges	80-68
09/12/12	H	Benfica	74-87
01/12/12	A	CAB Madeira	85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense

LPB 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	71%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWWL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	5	9
Win %	71%	100%	56%
Points / game	71.9	75.2	70.0
Allowed / game	67.4	59.8	71.7
Point differential	+4.4	+15.4	-1.7
Avg total	139.3	135.0	141.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	80%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vitoria

LPB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	53%
Home	LLLLW	38%
Away	LWLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	53%	38%	71%
Points / game	80.4	81.1	79.6
Allowed / game	78.7	79.5	77.9
Point differential	+1.7	+1.6	+1.7
Avg total	159.1	160.6	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	25%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	0% (1)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	14	13	1	93%	83.1	68.4	+14.6
2	CAB Madeira	15	12	3	80%	82.0	69.9	+12.1
3	Ovarense	14	10	4	71%	71.9	67.4	+4.4
4	Academica	15	10	5	67%	71.4	68.1	+3.3
5	Vitoria	15	8	7	53%	80.4	78.7	+1.7
6	Sampaense	15	8	7	53%	73.6	80.3	-6.7
7	Barcelos	13	6	7	46%	80.3	80.7	-0.4
8	Lusitania	14	4	10	29%	66.1	72.6	-6.5
9	Torres Vedras	14	4	10	29%	64.1	71.2	-7.1
10	Alges	14	2	12	14%	71.1	79.4	-8.2
11	Barreirense	15	2	13	13%	70.3	77.9	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ovarense	14	17	22	24	77
Vitoria	24	24	17	19	84

← all games of the day

Ovarense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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