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Ovarense vs Vitoria Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 14:00
Postponed
Position#9
Record9-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#5
Record14-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.5
PortugalLPBRound 25
Other2019-20
Meetings · Ovarense v Vitoria
09 Jan 2027
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
OVAR75
VITO91
15 Mar 2025
OVAR81
VITO76
06 Jan 2024
OVAR91
VITO90
05 Oct 2022
OVAR97
VITO88
16 Apr 2022
OVAR101
VITO93
02 Feb 2022
OVAR81
VITO63
17 Apr 2021
OVAR108
VITO118
29 Mar 2020
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
16 Feb 2019
OVAR82
VITO60
26 Jan 2018
OVAR85
VITO84
17 Feb 2017
OVAR95
VITO102
21 Feb 2016
OVAR73
VITO62
24 Jan 2015
OVAR72
VITO70
27 Apr 2014
OVAR79
VITO85
26 Apr 2014
OVAR83
VITO82
07 Dec 2013
OVAR81
VITO74
01 May 2013
OVAR73
VITO71
21 Apr 2013
OVAR62
VITO75
20 Apr 2013
OVAR77
VITO68
02 Mar 2013
OVAR77
VITO84
24 Mar 2012
OVAR82
VITO74
26 Feb 2011
OVAR72
VITO54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A29/12
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
H05/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
56-108
56
108
-52
A11/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H25/01
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
111-79
111
79
+32
A01/02
LPB
Galitos
#6
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H08/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
50-75
50
75
-25
A12/02
Taca de Portugal
CAB Madeira
#7
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H15/02
LPB
Maia
#13
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A29/02
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
14-22
18-23
21-24
15-22
14-19
25-21
25-17
7-26
14-27
19-31
16-24
23-13
16-26
14-21
20-13
31-22
31-19
23-12
26-26
13-10
13-15
18-14
30-34
18-24
16-14
7-21
9-16
19-26
27-8
24-22
21-17
22-18
24-17
13-18
31-16
21-26
32-27
18-26
10-11
162.6Avg total
80.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.281.2158.4-4.041%
Season at home (10)79.077.8156.8+1.270%
Season away (12)75.884.0159.8-8.217%
Last 10 (10)80.182.5162.6-2.460%
Last 5 (5)77.276.0153.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.188.0158.1-17.914%
vs Similar (5)80.277.4157.6+2.860%
vs Weaker (10)87.173.1160.2+14.080%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A04/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H11/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A25/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A01/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H08/02
LPB
Maia
#15
W
100-69
100
69
+31
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A15/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H29/02
LPB
Esgueira
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H04/03
Taca de Portugal
Illiabum
#12
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
24-26
30-20
20-15
21-18
30-25
15-16
19-13
15-21
28-20
27-17
24-24
16-19
20-15
18-21
19-17
18-22
22-16
25-22
20-19
16-22
31-15
21-11
32-21
27-18
22-24
20-34
17-23
18-33
28-21
20-26
23-22
15-23
20-18
26-24
28-16
22-12
18-26
19-14
18-12
166.9Avg total
87.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.678.5160.1+3.264%
Season at home (13)83.678.2161.8+5.569%
Season away (9)78.878.9157.7-0.156%
Last 10 (10)87.079.9166.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)88.283.0171.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.387.8169.1-6.422%
vs Similar (8)78.176.9155.0+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.373.8156.2+8.583%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
OvarenseVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A29/12
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H05/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
21-53
21
53
-32
A11/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/01
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A01/02
LPB
Galitos
#6
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H08/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/02
Taca de Portugal
CAB Madeira
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H15/02
LPB
Maia
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A29/02
LPB
Benfica
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H07/03
LPB
78.5Avg total
38.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.677.2-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.737.175.9+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)36.741.878.4-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.978.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.078.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.543.976.4-11.414%-
vs Similar (5)42.034.876.8+7.260%-
vs Weaker (10)43.036.279.2+6.880%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/02
LPB
Maia
#15
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H29/02
LPB
Esgueira
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H04/03
Taca de Portugal
Illiabum
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A07/03
LPB
84.1Avg total
42.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.980.9+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)40.438.678.9+1.871%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.284.1+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.642.982.4-3.333%-
vs Similar (8)42.237.179.4+5.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.938.278.2+1.767%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ovarense wins
3
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
14/12/19Vitoria v Ovarense75-71
16/02/19Ovarense v Vitoria82-60
17/11/18Vitoria v Ovarense67-77
26/01/18Ovarense v Vitoria85-84
15/11/17Vitoria v Ovarense113-101
17/02/17Ovarense v Vitoria95-102 OT
03/12/16Vitoria v Ovarense97-103
21/02/16Ovarense v Vitoria73-62
04/12/15Vitoria v Ovarense75-87
24/01/15Ovarense v Vitoria72-70
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HBenfica81-90
29/02/20AMaia90-69
15/02/20HCAB Madeira91-73
12/02/20ASporting CP50-75
08/02/20HGalitos74-73
01/02/20ATerceira111-79
25/01/20HIlliabum91-87 OT
11/01/20ASporting CP56-108
05/01/20HFC Porto88-84 OT
29/12/19AOliveirense69-87
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AIlliabum77-64
04/03/20HEsgueira89-81
29/02/20HSporting CP89-102
15/02/20AFC Porto86-99
09/02/20AMaia100-69
08/02/20HOliveirense85-79
01/02/20ABarreirense73-72
25/01/20ACAB Madeira94-82
11/01/20HEsgueira85-72
04/01/20ALusitania92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL41%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLLLWW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %41%70%17%
Points / game77.279.075.8
Allowed / game81.277.884.0
Point differential-4.0+1.2-8.2
Avg total158.4156.8159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWLWWL69%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %64%69%56%
Points / game81.683.678.8
Allowed / game78.578.278.9
Point differential+3.2+5.5-0.1
Avg total160.1161.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%31%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP2221195%93.470.2+23.2
2 Benfica2220291%89.871.0+18.8
3 FC Porto2218482%86.675.0+11.7
4 Oliveirense2214864%83.975.6+8.3
5 Vitoria2214864%81.678.5+3.2
6 Galitos22111150%82.882.0+0.8
7 CAB Madeira22101245%79.283.1-4.0
8 Esgueira2291341%79.276.7+2.5
9 Ovarense2291341%77.281.2-4.0
10 Lusitania2291341%78.684.0-5.4
11 Barreirense2271532%75.585.5-10.0
12 Illiabum2261627%75.779.9-4.2
13 Maia2261627%77.487.1-9.7
14 Terceira220220%71.4102.7-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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