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Ovarense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-90
29-26 17-23 21-17 24-24
Position#5
Record6-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#7
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.1
PortugalLPBRound 12· Arena de Ovar
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ovarense v Vitoria
09 Jan 2027
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
OVAR75
VITO91
15 Mar 2025
OVAR81
VITO76
06 Jan 2024
OVAR91
VITO90
05 Oct 2022
OVAR97
VITO88
16 Apr 2022
OVAR101
VITO93
02 Feb 2022
OVAR81
VITO63
17 Apr 2021
OVAR108
VITO118
29 Mar 2020
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
16 Feb 2019
OVAR82
VITO60
26 Jan 2018
OVAR85
VITO84
17 Feb 2017
OVAR95
VITO102
21 Feb 2016
OVAR73
VITO62
24 Jan 2015
OVAR72
VITO70
27 Apr 2014
OVAR79
VITO85
26 Apr 2014
OVAR83
VITO82
07 Dec 2013
OVAR81
VITO74
01 May 2013
OVAR73
VITO71
21 Apr 2013
OVAR62
VITO75
20 Apr 2013
OVAR77
VITO68
02 Mar 2013
OVAR77
VITO84
24 Mar 2012
OVAR82
VITO74
26 Feb 2011
OVAR72
VITO54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
96avg 68
H21/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
58-62
58
62
-4
46avg 68
A28/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
74avg 68
H04/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
60-111
60
111
-51
44avg 68
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
52-84
52
84
-32
42avg 68
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
77avg 68
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 68
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
79avg 68
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 68
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 68
H30/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
20-19
22-24
22-27
22-9
13-24
11-8
12-21
24-22
22-12
14-25
19-19
22-32
14-16
10-22
14-41
17-23
9-19
3-29
23-13
15-20
28-15
18-19
14-17
22-23
20-19
14-20
16-17
27-32
12-19
18-24
22-16
19-10
17-19
24-21
19-14
26-21
17-21
22-16
15-20
154.0Avg total
72.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.677.7153.4-2.155%
Season at home (5)82.081.0163.0+1.080%
Season away (6)70.375.0145.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)72.981.1154.0-8.250%
Last 5 (5)77.076.6153.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.187.4157.5-17.316%
vs Similar ◀ (4)74.872.5147.2+2.275%
vs Weaker (6)78.775.0153.7+3.783%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
96-66
96
66
+30
93avg 71
A21/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
66avg 71
H28/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-94
72
94
-22
60avg 71
A04/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
76avg 71
A12/11
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
L
74-83 OT
74
83
-9
no box
H18/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 71
A25/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 71
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
50avg 71
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
82-56
82
56
+26
79avg 71
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 71
A23/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
23-13
30-22
26-14
17-18
20-24
15-12
23-16
13-28
15-25
23-24
21-17
19-20
27-15
24-22
12-22
17-24
11-19
17-6
16-12
26-18
15-20
16-20
17-24
25-11
14-15
18-24
15-14
29-23
7-22
16-13
14-20
17-9
19-13
24-22
22-12
24-13
22-26
19-18
35-23
154.5Avg total
79.3Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.979.1159.0+0.855%
Season at home (6)78.573.5152.0+5.067%
Season away (5)81.685.8167.4-4.240%
Last 10 (10)79.375.2154.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)78.872.0150.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.7104.0185.7-22.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)91.488.8180.2+2.562%
vs Weaker (10)86.075.1161.1+10.990%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
OvarenseVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H21/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A28/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/12
LPB
79.5Avg total
39.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.941.577.4-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.442.078.4-5.643%-
Last 30 away (16)35.441.176.6-5.725%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.879.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.880.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.943.477.3-9.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.236.874.0+0.575%-
vs Weaker (6)40.737.378.0+3.383%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A21/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A04/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/11
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H18/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A25/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/12
LPB
75.0Avg total
37.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.184.8+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.386.7+4.073%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.982.9-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.375.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.073.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.052.591.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.841.985.8+1.962%-
vs Weaker (10)43.935.979.8+8.090%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.116.8
46.5%
51.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.614.1
65.3%
69.3%14.1
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.5
50.8%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.9
33.2%
33.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.613.9
67.5%
69.3%13.9
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WWLLWLLWLW
Vitoria
WWLWLLWLWW
#5
League position
#7
-12.3
Net rating
+8.1
97.6
Offensive rating
104.1
109.9
Defensive rating
96.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
22.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.6%
3-point %
33.2%
73.1%
Assist %
54.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 104.1Defence109.9 · 96.0Shooting48.7% · 50.4%3-point %34.6% · 33.2%Ball care22.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 33.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Ovarense   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ovarense wins
6
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
23/09/23Vitoria v Ovarense79-76
22/12/22Vitoria v Ovarense97-76
05/10/22Ovarense v Vitoria97-88
16/04/22Ovarense v Vitoria101-93
02/04/22Vitoria v Ovarense95-91
02/02/22Ovarense v Vitoria81-63
24/10/21Vitoria v Ovarense81-82
17/04/21Ovarense v Vitoria108-118 OT
09/01/21Vitoria v Ovarense71-70
14/12/19Vitoria v Ovarense75-71
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HImortal80-78
22/12/23AGalomar79-64
09/12/23HSporting CP79-91
01/12/23AFC Porto72-79
25/11/23HEsgueira75-71
18/11/23ABenfica52-84
11/11/23AOliveirense60-111
04/11/23HOliveirense79-78
28/10/23APortimonense58-62
21/10/23HCD Povoa95-93
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AOliveirense100-80
16/12/23HGalomar82-56
09/12/23AEsgueira66-78
01/12/23HPortimonense72-64
25/11/23AImortal74-82
18/11/23HCD Povoa74-83 OT
12/11/23APortimonense82-79
04/11/23AFC Porto72-94
28/10/23HLusitania75-70
21/10/23AEsgueira96-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game75.682.070.3
Allowed / game77.781.075.0
Point differential-2.1+1.0-4.7
Avg total153.4163.0145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game79.978.581.6
Allowed / game79.173.585.8
Point differential+0.8+5.0-4.2
Avg total159.0152.0167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1110191%88.573.7+14.7
2 Sporting CP1210283%93.982.2+11.8
3 Oliveirense97278%80.474.9+5.6
4 Benfica118373%89.366.9+22.4
5 Vitoria116555%79.979.1+0.8
6 Ovarense116555%75.677.7-2.1
7 Portimonense115645%72.177.6-5.5
8 CD Povoa125742%80.885.8-5.0
9 Imortal125742%76.982.1-5.2
10 Galomar123925%73.680.0-6.4
11 Lusitania111109%73.688.3-14.6
12 Esgueira111109%72.687.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2917212491
Vitoria2623172490
← all games of the day
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