Ovarense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 82-60

22-19 23-12 18-14 19-15

Position#4

Record11-7

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game77.6

Ovarense 🏆

Vitoria

Position#10

Record7-10

FormWLLLW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game83.7

LPBRound 18

Other2018-19

Meetings · Ovarense v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

78-101

101

-23

A15/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

103-76

103

+27

H21/12

LPB

Lusitania

84-78

H29/12

LPB

FC Porto

84-104

104

-20

A05/01

LPB

Oliveirense

64-80

-16

H13/01

LPB

Galitos

87-74

+13

A19/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-71

A24/01

Taca de Portugal

Illiabum

85-92

-7

H27/01

LPB

Esgueira

86-75

+11

A02/02

LPB

Imortal

#12

72-67

H03/02

LPB

21-32

22-22

20-26

15-21

32-18

13-12

27-24

31-22

18-19

23-10

22-30

21-19

27-23

19-29

19-30

19-22

9-26

25-20

17-19

13-15

26-12

16-25

20-27

25-10

–

24-24

13-14

27-21

21-33

13-24

24-17

22-13

27-21

17-8

14-11

17-24

24-24

163.7Avg total

81.9Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.1	77.6	157.7	+2.5	61%
Season at home (9)	80.9	78.2	159.1	+2.7	56%
Season away (9)	79.3	77.0	156.3	+2.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	81.8	163.7	+0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	75.8	157.0	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.6	88.8	163.4	-14.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	73.2	78.2	151.3	-5.0	33%
vs Weaker (18)	81.8	72.6	154.4	+9.3	83%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

96-100

100

-4

H08/12

LPB

FC Porto

86-94

-8

A15/12

LPB

Oliveirense

86-91

-5

H22/12

LPB

Galitos

88-87

H29/12

LPB

Illiabum

69-88

-19

A06/01

LPB

Esgueira

99-88 OT

+11

H12/01

LPB

FC Porto

81-88

-7

H16/01

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

81-83

-2

A19/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

58-80

-22

A26/01

LPB

Imortal

#12

87-82

H02/02

LPB

24-15

23-28

22-20

27-37

21-25

22-27

23-23

20-19

24-26

24-19

16-22

22-24

25-18

21-22

21-30

21-17

16-29

17-17

15-18

21-24

18-16

22-26

22-22

20-18

21-23

18-20

21-23

21-22

26-23

9-20

21-26

25-14

18-19

14-20

11-14

15-27

20-25

27-17

18-22

22-18

171.2Avg total

83.1Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	81.5	83.7	165.2	-2.2	41%
Season at home (9)	86.6	84.6	171.1	+2.0	56%
Season away (8)	75.8	82.8	158.5	-7.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	88.1	171.2	-5.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	84.2	165.4	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	79.0	88.9	167.9	-9.9	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	85.5	85.9	171.5	-0.4	53%
vs Weaker (4)	81.0	75.5	156.5	+5.5	75%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OvarenseVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	18.1	38.6	+2.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	16.9	38.4	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.3	38.7	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.8	20.7	41.4	+0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	15.5	18.0	33.5	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.2	16.6	38.8	+5.6	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.1	41.3	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	23.9	44.9	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.7	23.5	46.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.9	19.4	37.2	-1.5	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	17.4	35.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.8	20.3	37.2	-3.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (18)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.5	43.7	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	20.4	36.9	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	50%	-

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

43-54

-11

A15/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

45-30

+15

H21/12

LPB

Lusitania

41-29

+12

H29/12

LPB

FC Porto

46-52

-6

A05/01

LPB

Oliveirense

34-46

-12

H13/01

LPB

Galitos

42-37

A19/01

LPB

Illiabum

37-38

-1

H27/01

LPB

Esgueira

37-41

-4

A02/02

LPB

Imortal

#12

31-19

+12

H03/02

LPB

78.0Avg total

39.6Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	37.5	75.8	+0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	34.2	73.6	+5.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	40.5	77.8	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.6	38.4	78.0	+1.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.2	72.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.0	46.0	84.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	32.3	38.3	70.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	40.4	34.8	75.2	+5.6	67%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

47-43

H08/12

LPB

FC Porto

43-52

-9

A15/12

LPB

Oliveirense

48-45

H22/12

LPB

Galitos

46-40

H29/12

LPB

Illiabum

33-46

-13

A06/01

LPB

Esgueira

40-42

-2

H12/01

LPB

FC Porto

39-43

-4

H16/01

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

35-43

-8

A19/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-39

-7

A26/01

LPB

Imortal

#12

47-42

H02/02

LPB

84.5Avg total

41.0Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	41.9	83.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	39.6	85.0	+5.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	44.3	81.8	-6.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	43.5	84.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.8	80.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.7	44.0	84.7	-3.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.6	41.5	84.1	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	38.0	77.8	+1.8	50%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.4	40.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.1	38.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.6	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	22.2	40.8	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.2	18.9	39.2	+1.3	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	21.7	40.3	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	25.9	43.9	-7.9	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.7	38.3	+2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	21.0	44.7	+2.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.6	23.4	46.0	-0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.5	39.0	79.5	+1.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	41.4	82.0	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.6	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.0	44.6	87.6	-1.6	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.6	42.8	79.4	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.8	39.8	80.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.4	37.7	79.2	+3.7	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.9	83.0	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	43.3	81.3	-5.3	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	42.5	84.8	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	44.0	84.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.2	80.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.3	44.9	83.2	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.9	42.9	83.8	-1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	37.5	78.8	+3.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ovarense wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
17/11/18	Vitoria v Ovarense	67-77
26/01/18	Ovarense v Vitoria	85-84
15/11/17	Vitoria v Ovarense	113-101
17/02/17	Ovarense v Vitoria	95-102 OT
03/12/16	Vitoria v Ovarense	97-103
21/02/16	Ovarense v Vitoria	73-62
04/12/15	Vitoria v Ovarense	75-87
24/01/15	Ovarense v Vitoria	72-70
02/11/14	Vitoria v Ovarense	71-65
27/04/14	Ovarense v Vitoria	79-85

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/19	H	Imortal	72-67
02/02/19	A	Esgueira	86-75
27/01/19	H	Illiabum	85-92
24/01/19	A	CAB Madeira	76-71
19/01/19	A	Galitos	87-74
13/01/19	H	Oliveirense	64-80
05/01/19	A	FC Porto	84-104
29/12/18	H	Lusitania	84-78
21/12/18	H	Terceira	103-76
15/12/18	A	Benfica	78-101

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/19	H	Imortal	87-82
26/01/19	A	CAB Madeira	58-80
19/01/19	A	Benfica	81-83
16/01/19	H	FC Porto	81-88
12/01/19	H	Esgueira	99-88 OT
06/01/19	A	Illiabum	69-88
29/12/18	H	Galitos	88-87
22/12/18	H	Oliveirense	86-91
15/12/18	A	FC Porto	86-94
08/12/18	H	Lusitania	96-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	61%
Home	WWLLW	56%
Away	WLLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	61%	56%	67%
Points / game	80.1	80.9	79.3
Allowed / game	77.6	78.2	77.0
Point differential	+2.5	+2.7	+2.3
Avg total	157.7	159.1	156.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	22%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vitoria

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	41%
Home	LLWWW	56%
Away	WLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	41%	56%	25%
Points / game	81.5	86.6	75.8
Allowed / game	83.7	84.6	82.8
Point differential	-2.2	+2.0	-7.0
Avg total	165.2	171.1	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	40% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Oliveirense	18	17	1	94%	86.7	72.4	+14.3
2	Benfica	18	16	2	89%	90.2	76.2	+14.1
3	FC Porto	18	13	5	72%	89.6	82.0	+7.6
4	Ovarense	18	11	7	61%	80.1	77.6	+2.5
5	Lusitania	18	8	10	44%	79.8	82.4	-2.6
6	Esgueira	18	8	10	44%	80.1	84.0	-3.9
7	Vitoria	17	7	10	41%	81.5	83.7	-2.2
8	Terceira	18	7	11	39%	77.3	83.4	-6.2
9	Illiabum	18	6	12	33%	78.7	82.5	-3.8
10	CAB Madeira	16	5	11	31%	77.1	81.5	-4.4
11	Galitos	17	5	12	29%	78.9	84.5	-5.6
12	Imortal	18	3	15	17%	75.3	86.1	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ovarense	22	23	18	19	82
Vitoria	19	12	14	15	60

← all games of the day

Ovarense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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