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Ovarense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-76
15-23 20-13 25-17 21-23
Position#5
Record9-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#9
Record6-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game83.7
PortugalLPBRound 17· Arena de Ovar
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ovarense v Vitoria
09 Jan 2027
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
OVAR75
VITO91
15 Mar 2025
OVAR81
VITO76
06 Jan 2024
OVAR91
VITO90
05 Oct 2022
OVAR97
VITO88
16 Apr 2022
OVAR101
VITO93
02 Feb 2022
OVAR81
VITO63
17 Apr 2021
OVAR108
VITO118
29 Mar 2020
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
16 Feb 2019
OVAR82
VITO60
26 Jan 2018
OVAR85
VITO84
17 Feb 2017
OVAR95
VITO102
21 Feb 2016
OVAR73
VITO62
24 Jan 2015
OVAR72
VITO70
27 Apr 2014
OVAR79
VITO85
26 Apr 2014
OVAR83
VITO82
07 Dec 2013
OVAR81
VITO74
01 May 2013
OVAR73
VITO71
21 Apr 2013
OVAR62
VITO75
20 Apr 2013
OVAR77
VITO68
02 Mar 2013
OVAR77
VITO84
24 Mar 2012
OVAR82
VITO74
26 Feb 2011
OVAR72
VITO54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
71avg 74
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 74
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 74
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 74
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
61avg 74
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 74
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 74
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 74
H15/02
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
94-68
94
68
+26
87avg 74
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
91-100
91
100
-9
80avg 74
A08/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-15
21-24
19-18
19-10
23-22
27-18
12-19
24-25
27-23
27-13
16-26
22-19
14-19
25-12
15-16
24-20
12-23
26-17
22-12
13-8
19-26
21-18
8-20
27-18
25-18
21-26
17-25
14-19
17-20
19-21
21-24
26-6
24-24
16-17
21-13
33-14
17-24
22-23
31-25
21-28
162.0Avg total
83.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.178.8158.9+1.360%
Season at home (8)81.279.5160.8+1.862%
Season away (7)78.978.0156.9+0.957%
Last 10 (10)83.079.0162.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)84.081.8165.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.984.6163.5-5.731%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.472.6149.0+3.860%
vs Weaker (11)84.675.1159.7+9.591%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 73
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 73
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
74-92
74
92
-18
62avg 73
H11/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
122-88
122
88
+34
116avg 73
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
70avg 73
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
85avg 73
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
91avg 73
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 73
A15/02
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
64avg 73
A01/03
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
104-77
104
77
+27
108avg 73
H08/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
30-20
31-16
12-33
18-21
14-20
17-30
20-18
14-24
25-20
17-21
18-27
29-20
38-20
28-25
27-23
18-20
22-26
22-32
20-27
23-21
17-20
20-20
18-17
21-26
27-20
20-17
22-32
22-17
23-25
19-19
22-12
15-22
16-28
22-18
15-17
25-11
22-19
33-25
24-22
177.8Avg total
88.5Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.383.7165.0-2.340%
Season at home (8)81.181.9163.0-0.838%
Season away (7)81.685.7167.3-4.143%
Last 10 (10)88.589.3177.8-0.840%
Last 5 (5)89.685.4175.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.189.9167.0-12.89%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.881.4159.2-3.630%
vs Weaker (8)89.673.8163.4+15.988%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
OvarenseVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H15/02
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/03
LPB
81.4Avg total
41.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.979.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.138.177.3+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)42.339.581.8+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.381.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.241.082.2+0.254%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.434.067.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker (11)42.538.881.4+3.764%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A15/02
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A01/03
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H08/03
LPB
85.9Avg total
43.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.781.0-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.978.8-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)42.640.583.1+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.385.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.884.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.343.881.1-6.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.740.077.7-2.350%-
vs Weaker (8)44.137.581.6+6.688%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.6
51.4%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.3
34.4%
32.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.813.2
66.7%
69.2%13.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.7
49.4%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.0
36.5%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws25.116.6
66.1%
69.2%16.6
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
LWWLLWWWWL
Vitoria
WLWLWLWLLL
#5
League position
#9
+5.5
Net rating
-0.9
111.1
Offensive rating
109.0
105.6
Defensive rating
109.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.4%
3-point %
36.5%
59.9%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 109.0Defence105.6 · 109.9Shooting51.5% · 52.0%3-point %34.4% · 36.5%Ball care14.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Ovarense   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ovarense wins
4
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Vitoria v Ovarense62-67
06/01/24Ovarense v Vitoria91-90
23/09/23Vitoria v Ovarense79-76
22/12/22Vitoria v Ovarense97-76
05/10/22Ovarense v Vitoria97-88
16/04/22Ovarense v Vitoria101-93
02/04/22Vitoria v Ovarense95-91
02/02/22Ovarense v Vitoria81-63
24/10/21Vitoria v Ovarense81-82
17/04/21Ovarense v Vitoria108-118 OT
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ASporting CP91-100
01/03/25HEsgueira94-68
15/02/25HCD Povoa83-71
09/02/25AFC Porto77-88
02/02/25AGalitos Barreiro75-82
26/01/25AGalomar73-60
25/01/25AGalomar78-67
19/01/25AEsgueira92-81
11/01/25HCA Queluz86-84
04/01/25HEsgueira81-89 OT
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HCA Queluz104-77
01/03/25ABenfica68-85
15/02/25AEsgueira86-73
08/02/25HBenfica90-95
02/02/25HFC Porto100-97 OT
25/01/25AImortal82-105
18/01/25AVasco Da Gama122-88
11/01/25HOliveirense74-92
04/01/25HBenfica69-89
21/12/24ASporting CP90-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game80.181.278.9
Allowed / game78.879.578.0
Point differential+1.3+1.8+0.9
Avg total158.9160.8156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game81.381.181.6
Allowed / game83.781.985.7
Point differential-2.3-0.8-4.1
Avg total165.0163.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1716194%90.776.2+14.5
2 FC Porto1614288%88.778.4+10.2
3 Sporting CP1611569%85.678.8+6.8
4 Ovarense159660%80.178.8+1.3
5 Oliveirense169756%85.980.0+5.9
6 Galitos Barreiro168850%78.077.7+0.3
7 Esgueira167944%82.287.5-5.3
8 Imortal1771041%78.785.5-6.8
9 Vitoria156940%81.383.7-2.3
10 CD Povoa1741324%73.981.1-7.2
11 CA Queluz1741324%82.390.3-8.0
12 Galomar1621412%73.282.2-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense1520252181
Vitoria2313172376
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