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Oviedo vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-76
8-18 22-15 14-26 17-17
Position#5
Record9-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#3
Record13-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game73.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 21
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oviedo v Palencia
14 Feb 2027
OVIE v PAL
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
OVIE61
PAL76
20 Dec 2024
OVIE71
PAL91
04 Feb 2023
OVIE56
PAL67
02 Jun 2022
OVIE67
PAL75
04 Jan 2022
OVIE79
PAL74
09 Dec 2020
OVIE78
PAL79
09 Nov 2019
OVIE66
PAL73
13 Oct 2018
OVIE81
PAL83
15 May 2018
OVIE54
PAL66
06 May 2018
OVIE91
PAL76
04 May 2018
OVIE64
PAL58
24 Mar 2018
OVIE73
PAL72
21 May 2017
OVIE74
PAL68
19 May 2017
OVIE74
PAL76
04 Feb 2017
OVIE93
PAL89
21 Nov 2015
OVIE68
PAL74
14 Feb 2015
OVIE74
PAL77
04 May 2014
OVIE51
PAL63
02 May 2014
OVIE79
PAL76
18 Jan 2014
OVIE82
PAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OviedoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOviedo
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 72
H06/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
89-88
89
88
+1
84avg 72
A12/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
94avg 72
A21/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
75-73
75
73
+2
73avg 72
H28/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
83-64
83
64
+19
80avg 72
H04/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
69-74
69
74
-5
55avg 72
A11/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
101-70
101
70
+31
no box
H17/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
50avg 72
A31/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
74avg 72
H07/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
70avg 72
A11/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
19-14
23-27
23-17
21-21
21-22
22-20
25-25
24-14
28-22
16-33
23-22
24-23
13-16
22-16
16-18
29-14
12-18
18-6
24-26
24-22
19-19
17-17
9-16
16-25
27-17
28-12
30-16
11-19
21-22
22-23
14-22
26-24
17-18
18-19
23-28
26-18
23-23
7-23
31-15
166.1Avg total
85.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.080.3163.3+2.747%
Season at home (9)84.778.9163.6+5.856%
Season away (10)81.581.6163.1-0.140%
Last 10 (10)85.580.6166.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)81.879.6161.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.385.7164.0-7.414%
vs Similar (7)77.381.0158.3-3.729%
vs Weaker (16)86.675.3161.9+11.275%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 75
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
64-76
64
76
-12
40avg 75
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
85avg 75
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 75
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
81avg 75
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
76avg 75
H04/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
82-63
82
63
+19
81avg 75
A31/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 75
A08/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
85-69
85
69
+16
83avg 75
H11/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-24
12-12
16-24
11-20
13-24
15-16
25-16
18-25
26-25
27-17
22-19
17-25
14-15
17-18
19-15
25-23
29-14
22-25
15-14
29-26
20-20
21-13
15-28
16-22
23-17
13-26
31-12
28-16
14-17
23-15
17-15
15-17
30-15
25-16
24-24
18-22
25-18
26-11
16-18
158.0Avg total
81.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.773.3157.0+10.468%
Season at home (10)81.773.3155.0+8.470%
Season away (9)85.973.3159.2+12.667%
Last 10 (10)81.976.1158.0+5.860%
Last 5 (5)85.873.6159.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.082.8166.8+1.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)85.174.8159.9+10.372%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
OviedoPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#12
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H06/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A21/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H04/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H17/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/02
Primera FEB
82.5Avg total
43.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.082.6+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.438.480.8+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)42.741.684.3+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.282.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.483.4+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.641.781.3-2.129%-
vs Similar (7)41.942.384.1-0.443%-
vs Weaker (16)44.238.282.4+5.975%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A31/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/02
Primera FEB
82.5Avg total
41.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.737.782.4+7.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.635.780.3+8.988%-
Last 30 away (14)44.740.084.7+4.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.782.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.081.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.046.095.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (4)48.044.092.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.036.480.3+7.672%-
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oviedo: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.713.7
40.6%
51.5%27.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.011.0
29.7%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
78.0%
73.4%13.0
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.5
53.3%
51.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
73.4%13.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oviedo
WLLWLWWLWW
Palencia
WWWWLWLWLL
#5
League position
#3
-1.8
Net rating
-7.3
98.0
Offensive rating
108.6
99.8
Defensive rating
115.9
42.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.7%
3-point %
34.4%
56.8%
Assist %
65.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 108.6Defence99.8 · 115.9Shooting42.7% · 52.6%3-point %29.7% · 34.4%Ball care0.0% · 13.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Oviedo   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oviedo wins
8
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
14/11/25Palencia v Oviedo88-80
01/03/25Palencia v Oviedo90-78
20/12/24Oviedo v Palencia71-91
04/02/23Oviedo v Palencia56-67
16/10/22Palencia v Oviedo88-63
02/06/22Oviedo v Palencia67-75
28/05/22Palencia v Oviedo83-70
26/05/22Palencia v Oviedo76-71
17/04/22Palencia v Oviedo76-80
04/01/22Oviedo v Palencia79-74 OT
Oviedolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AEstela87-79
07/02/26HLeyma Coruna84-89
31/01/26AObradoiro CAB68-86
17/01/26HMelilla101-70
11/01/26AGipuzkoa69-74
04/01/26HFibwi Palma83-64
28/12/25HOurense75-73
21/12/25AZamora102-104 OT
12/12/25AAlicante89-88
06/12/25HEstela97-79
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HPalmer Basket85-69
08/02/26AEstudiantes94-72
31/01/26AAlicante82-63
16/01/26HOurense83-77
04/01/26HObradoiro CAB85-87
28/12/25HTizona Burgos91-76
20/12/25AFuenlabrada67-73
17/12/25AFibwi Palma93-86
12/12/25HGipuzkoa64-76
07/12/25ALeyma Coruna75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oviedo
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game83.084.781.5
Allowed / game80.378.981.6
Point differential+2.7+5.8-0.1
Avg total163.3163.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%70%67%
Points / game83.781.785.9
Allowed / game73.373.373.3
Point differential+10.4+8.4+12.6
Avg total157.0155.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1918195%92.778.3+14.5
2 Obradoiro CAB1916384%91.878.7+13.1
3 Palencia1913668%83.773.3+10.4
4 Estudiantes1912763%84.880.8+3.9
5 Fuenlabrada1912763%79.780.8-1.1
6 Gipuzkoa2012860%79.574.2+5.3
7 Hestia Menorca1911858%82.978.4+4.5
8 Alicante1911858%84.280.2+4.0
9 Oviedo1991047%83.080.3+2.7
10 Ourense2091145%82.281.8+0.5
11 Fibwi Palma2091145%77.581.0-3.5
12 Zamora1981142%84.887.7-2.9
13 Estela2081240%78.185.0-6.9
14 Tizona Burgos1951426%82.688.6-6.1
15 Cartagena1951426%73.485.1-11.7
16 Palmer Basket1831517%71.285.9-14.7
17 Melilla1921711%75.888.4-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oviedo822141761
Palencia1815261776
← all games of the day
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