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Paisas vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:10
Final 72-89
19-23 24-25 17-20 12-21
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game91.2
vs
Position#1
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game68.8
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals· Ivan de Bedout
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paisas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaisasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
74avg 69
H25/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 69
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 69
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 69
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
68-102
68
102
-34
48avg 69
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 69
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
81avg 69
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
101-100
101
100
+1
103avg 69
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 69
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
93avg 69
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
32-16
17-26
14-21
33-17
13-27
24-17
24-26
18-22
17-21
13-22
29-23
30-20
26-20
27-21
17-27
18-28
17-23
16-28
17-23
17-20
12-22
20-19
21-18
29-24
15-18
27-21
28-24
30-29
31-28
24-28
16-15
12-20
23-23
23-27
29-22
21-23
31-21
24-24
25-19
178.0Avg total
88.4Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.791.2178.8-3.550%
Season at home (3)96.393.0189.3+3.367%
Season away (3)79.089.3168.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)88.489.6178.0-1.260%
Last 5 (5)91.689.0180.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.783.4162.1-4.736%
vs Similar (12)76.382.6158.9-6.242%
vs Weaker (4)97.271.0168.2+26.2100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 80
H26/01
Super 8
Franca
#4
W
103-72
103
72
+31
106avg 80
H29/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
56avg 80
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
71-96
71
96
-25
55avg 80
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
110-65
110
65
+45
114avg 80
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 80
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-71
85
71
+14
87avg 80
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
92avg 80
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 80
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 80
A05/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
14-17
20-20
29-12
21-16
19-28
30-16
33-12
10-13
15-17
18-17
21-14
17-24
15-32
12-28
27-12
29-19
26-17
32-13
23-16
20-21
21-19
24-17
19-22
17-22
30-19
24-17
14-13
19-12
27-22
25-22
20-25
21-20
18-19
25-17
18-21
20-15
20-22
19-21
23-27
162.4Avg total
86.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.368.8159.2+21.583%
Season at home (4)93.866.8160.5+27.0100%
Season away (2)83.573.0156.5+10.550%
Last 10 (10)86.476.0162.4+10.480%
Last 5 (5)84.878.6163.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.073.0152.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.574.0161.5+13.581%
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
PaisasFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H25/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
Champions League Americas
89.4Avg total
44.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.580.7-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.540.481.9+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.779.5-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)44.944.589.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.689.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.541.378.8-3.829%-
vs Similar (12)41.040.781.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker (4)47.237.584.8+9.875%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/01
Super 8
Franca
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/03
NBB
80.6Avg total
40.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.938.382.2+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.936.781.7+8.278%-
Last 30 away (12)42.340.682.9+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.880.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.280.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.238.082.2+6.170%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.4
49.9%
49.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.917.1
78.1%
71.9%17.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.5
58.2%
49.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.1
36.8%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
71.9%13.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paisas
WLWWLLWLWW
Flamengo
LWWWWWLWWW
#7
League position
#1
+4.3
Net rating
+14.6
114.2
Offensive rating
115.4
109.9
Defensive rating
100.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
56.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.0%
3-point %
36.8%
56.0%
Assist %
59.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 115.4Defence109.9 · 100.8Shooting50.9% · 56.8%3-point %35.0% · 36.8%Ball care17.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds38.1% · 36.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Paisas   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Paisas wins
0
Flamengo wins
No previous meetings.
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HToros del Valle101-87
06/02/25HReal Esteli87-92
02/02/25HReal Esteli101-100
01/02/25AToros del Valle99-87
19/01/25AReal Esteli70-79
18/01/25AToros del Valle68-102
29/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands100-88
28/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands77-88
25/11/24HPiratas de Bogota94-87
25/11/24HPiratas de Bogota87-86
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25ACaxias do Sul82-85
03/03/25AUniao Corinthians82-77
28/02/25HPato91-81
15/02/25HUnifacisa85-71
13/02/25HCearense84-79
11/02/25HToros del Chiriqui110-65
09/02/25ABoca Juniors71-96
01/02/25AMinas64-61
29/01/25HFranca103-72
26/01/25HVasco92-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paisas
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game87.796.379.0
Allowed / game91.293.089.3
Point differential-3.5+3.3-10.3
Avg total178.8189.3168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game90.393.883.5
Allowed / game68.866.873.0
Point differential+21.5+27.0+10.5
Avg total159.2160.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca770100%83.472.3+11.1
2 Minas76186%78.469.6+8.9
3 Flamengo65183%90.368.8+21.5
4 Boca Juniors64267%85.873.5+12.3
5 Real Esteli64267%85.881.5+4.3
6 Instituto de Cordoba74357%76.676.0+0.6
7 Paisas63350%87.791.2-3.5
8 Toros del Valle62433%84.585.3-0.8
9 Quimsa72529%71.375.7-4.4
10 Bigua61517%70.577.2-6.7
11 Leones Quilpue6060%71.283.3-12.2
12 Toros del Chiriqui6060%65.299.0-33.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paisas1924171272
Flamengo2325202189
← all games of the day
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