Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	85.2	73.8	158.9	+11.4	85%
Season at home (20)	85.9	71.8	157.7	+14.2	95%
Season away (20)	84.4	75.8	160.2	+8.7	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	75.8	157.8	+6.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	77.4	162.8	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	83.1	80.2	163.3	+2.9	73%
vs Weaker (19)	85.1	71.2	156.3	+13.9	89%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

95-67

+28

99avg 72

A14/05

ACB

Barcelona

78-66

+12

73avg 72

A19/05

Euroleague

Olympiacos

79-78

75avg 72

A21/05

Euroleague

Real Betis

#17

79-77

62avg 72

H24/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

95-68

+27

92avg 72

H28/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

89-81

84avg 72

A31/05

ACB

Joventut Badalona

83-93

-10

80avg 72

H06/06

ACB

Joventut Badalona

90-73

+17

86avg 72

H08/06

ACB

Joventut Badalona

83-73

+10

79avg 72

A10/06

ACB

Joventut Badalona

94-73

+21

88avg 72

A12/06

ACB

23-21

31-22

17-16

24-8

18-18

18-24

22-13

20-11

17-24

28-21

14-18

20-15

24-19

14-19

19-23

22-16

22-13

29-12

19-22

25-21

21-18

18-19

28-19

22-25

22-18

17-24

25-25

19-26

22-14

14-26

27-19

27-14

25-16

23-16

22-11

13-30

17-17

21-18

25-14

31-24

161.4Avg total

86.5Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	88.5	77.2	165.7	+11.2	82%
Season at home (20)	91.5	77.5	168.9	+14.0	85%
Season away (20)	85.5	77.0	162.5	+8.4	80%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	74.9	161.4	+11.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	78.6	166.4	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	87.5	87.8	175.2	-0.3	54%
vs Weaker (17)	88.9	76.5	165.4	+12.5	88%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BarcelonaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.6	38.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	17.3	38.6	+4.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.4	20.3	40.6	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.5	16.1	37.6	+5.5	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.3	15.7	38.0	+6.6	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	17.3	40.2	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.5	19.5	40.1	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	84%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	22.9	43.6	-2.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.1	24.2	45.2	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.2	20.4	41.5	+0.8	53%	-

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

45-45

A14/05

ACB

Real Madrid

42-36

H19/05

Euroleague

Monaco

28-44

-16

A21/05

Euroleague

Murcia

41-26

+15

H24/05

ACB

Valencia

40-37

H29/05

ACB

Valencia

43-26

+17

A02/06

ACB

Unicaja

45-31

+14

H07/06

ACB

Unicaja

37-40

-3

H09/06

ACB

Unicaja

40-43

-3

A11/06

ACB

Unicaja

45-37

A13/06

ACB

77.1Avg total

40.6Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	35.2	76.8	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	35.2	79.0	+8.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.0	35.3	74.3	+3.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	36.5	77.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	35.4	77.4	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.9	39.8	80.7	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (19)	41.9	32.6	74.5	+9.4	89%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

54-43

+11

A14/05

ACB

Barcelona

36-42

-6

A19/05

Euroleague

Olympiacos

45-45

A21/05

Euroleague

Real Betis

#17

38-38

H24/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

51-25

+26

H28/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

39-37

A31/05

ACB

Joventut Badalona

39-42

-3

H06/06

ACB

Joventut Badalona

36-40

-4

H08/06

ACB

Joventut Badalona

48-32

+16

A10/06

ACB

Joventut Badalona

38-35

A12/06

ACB

80.3Avg total

42.4Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	40.2	83.5	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.2	40.9	84.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.4	39.6	82.9	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	37.9	80.3	+4.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	43.1	45.6	88.7	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.5	36.1	79.5	+7.4	71%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.5	19.2	41.6	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	21.1	45.0	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	20.4	42.2	+1.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	17.6	43.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+0.9	69%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.1	20.1	43.2	+2.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.2	19.5	40.6	+1.7	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.0	41.8	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	19.9	42.9	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	20.1	40.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.8	46.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.1	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	39.2	82.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	38.5	80.9	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	40.1	83.3	+3.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.3	80.7	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	42.0	85.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.2	40.4	82.5	+1.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (19)	43.2	38.6	81.7	+4.6	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	40.7	85.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.9	41.0	87.9	+5.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	37.0	81.1	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	41.4	89.2	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	43.6	41.1	84.7	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	45.5	40.4	85.9	+5.1	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 81.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.3	17.5	55.9%	52.1%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	11.1	41.4%	34.5%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.7	77.4%	73.9%	12.7

They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	20.4	60.2%	52.1%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	9.6	32.8%	34.5%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.2	15.7	81.8%	73.9%	15.7

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.7	51.7%	52.1%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	6.4	26.9%	34.5%	19.2
🏀 Free throws	18.2	14.2	78.0%	73.9%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	16.5	46.6%	52.1%	33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	10.6	34.5%	34.5%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	13.5	9.5	70.4%	73.9%	9.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	18.6	56.3%	52.1%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	10.7	41.1%	34.5%	32.2
🏀 Free throws	17.5	14.1	80.6%	73.9%	14.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	20.2	57.9%	52.1%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	10.0	36.9%	34.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	21.5	16.9	78.3%	73.9%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	20.0	48.9%	52.1%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.8	6.7	32.1%	34.5%	20.0
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.5	77.9%	73.9%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.0	49.7%	52.1%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.6	35.5%	34.5%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.2	75.8%	73.9%	13.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Barcelona

WWLWWWWLLW

Real Madrid

WWWLWWWWWW

League position

+8.6

Net rating

+15.0

112.8

Offensive rating

116.6

104.2

Defensive rating

101.6

58.8%

Effective FG%

55.1%

47.5%

Opp. effective FG%

49.0%

19.5%

Turnover %

15.2%

26.9%

Off. rebound %

28.5%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.30

41.4%

3-point %

32.8%

66.8%

Assist %

58.0%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Barcelona ■ Real Madrid

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Barcelona wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
19/05/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	66-78
16/04/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	97-82
26/01/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	91-86 OT
02/01/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	78-87
13/10/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	75-73
25/09/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	89-83 OT
19/06/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	81-74
17/06/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	81-66
15/06/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	71-69
13/06/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	75-88

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/06/23	A	Unicaja	87-75
11/06/23	A	Unicaja	90-79
09/06/23	H	Unicaja	79-88
07/06/23	H	Unicaja	84-81
02/06/23	A	Valencia	87-64
29/05/23	H	Valencia	84-74
24/05/23	H	Murcia	86-57
21/05/23	A	Monaco	66-78
19/05/23	H	Real Madrid	66-78
14/05/23	A	Baskonia	91-84

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/06/23	A	Joventut Badalona	94-73
10/06/23	A	Joventut Badalona	83-73
08/06/23	H	Joventut Badalona	90-73
06/06/23	H	Joventut Badalona	83-93
31/05/23	A	Gran Canaria	89-81
28/05/23	H	Gran Canaria	95-68
24/05/23	H	Real Betis	79-77
21/05/23	A	Olympiacos	79-78
19/05/23	A	Barcelona	78-66
14/05/23	A	Gran Canaria	95-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona

ACB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	85%
Home	WWWWL	95%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	85%	95%	75%
Points / game	85.2	85.9	84.4
Allowed / game	73.8	71.8	75.8
Point differential	+11.4	+14.2	+8.7
Avg total	158.9	157.7	160.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	65%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	100% (4)	38% (8)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	82%
Home	WWWLW	85%
Away	WWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	82%	85%	80%
Points / game	88.5	91.5	85.5
Allowed / game	77.2	77.5	77.0
Point differential	+11.2	+14.1	+8.4
Avg total	165.7	168.9	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	75%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	40	34	6	85%	85.2	73.8	+11.4
2	Real Madrid	40	33	7	82%	88.5	77.2	+11.2
3	Baskonia	36	28	8	78%	91.5	83.3	+8.2
4	Unicaja	40	27	13	68%	86.5	77.8	+8.8
5	Tenerife	36	24	12	67%	82.4	74.6	+7.8
6	Joventut Badalona	40	22	18	55%	81.5	79.5	+2.0
7	Gran Canaria	36	19	17	53%	82.9	81.1	+1.9
8	Valencia	36	17	19	47%	82.8	83.2	-0.5
9	Murcia	34	16	18	47%	79.8	82.9	-3.1
10	Breogan	34	14	20	41%	77.1	79.9	-2.8
11	Obradoiro CAB	34	14	20	41%	79.2	83.3	-4.1
12	Bilbao	34	14	20	41%	76.1	80.4	-4.4
13	Basket Zaragoza	34	12	22	35%	78.7	81.0	-2.4
14	Manresa	34	12	22	35%	83.9	89.0	-5.1
15	Basquet Girona	34	11	23	32%	76.6	81.6	-5.0
16	Granada	34	11	23	32%	76.6	85.7	-9.1
17	Real Betis	34	10	24	29%	78.2	84.0	-5.8
18	Fuenlabrada	34	4	30	12%	76.1	92.3	-16.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Barcelona	28	19	16	34	97
Real Madrid	23	27	11	27	88

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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