Panathinaikos vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 73-72 (OT)

21-16 16-22 14-10 13-16 9-8

Position#12

Record13-14

FormWLLLW

Points / game71.1

Allowed / game70.6

Panathinaikos 🏆

CSKA Moscow

Position#3

Record21-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game70.4

EuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals

European cup2013

Meetings · Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

CSKA Moscow winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

76-67

H20/03

Euroleague

Ikaros

#14

85-64

+21

A23/03

Basket League

Barcelona

62-84

-22

A28/03

Euroleague

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

102-69

102

+33

H31/03

Basket League

Unicaja

#14

69-60

H03/04

Euroleague

PAOK

82-71

+11

A06/04

Basket League

Olympiacos

65-68

-3

A10/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

74-77 OT

-3

A16/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

51-77

-26

A18/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

65-59

H21/04

Euroleague

16-19

25-18

17-12

18-18

22-19

20-23

26-11

17-11

15-14

17-28

14-22

16-20

28-24

21-21

25-11

28-13

19-12

14-16

22-13

14-19

24-20

21-11

16-19

21-21

16-12

21-17

11-17

17-22

14-21

19-19

23-18

16-14

19-21

6-18

14-11

12-27

20-11

21-24

10-12

14-12

142.7Avg total

73.1Scored

69.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	71.1	70.6	141.7	+0.4	48%
Season at home (13)	70.2	65.3	135.5	+4.8	69%
Season away (14)	71.9	75.6	147.5	-3.6	29%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	69.6	142.7	+3.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	67.4	70.4	137.8	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	62.7	70.0	132.7	-7.3	29%
vs Similar (8)	69.2	68.5	137.8	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker (15)	80.4	65.2	145.6	+15.2	100%

This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

#24

84-52

+32

H13/03

Euroleague

Volgograd

#12

84-57

+27

A16/03

VTB United League

Real Madrid

79-93

-14

A20/03

Euroleague

Neptunas

#17

87-64

+23

A23/03

VTB United League

Bayern

#17

77-70

H27/03

Euroleague

Galatasaray

#13

86-85 OT

H04/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

81-76

A10/04

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

#12

77-74 OT

H16/04

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

#12

77-51

+26

H18/04

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

#12

59-65

-6

A21/04

Euroleague

16-15

22-7

32-19

14-11

16-22

18-9

32-15

18-11

24-24

17-18

20-24

18-27

19-7

24-20

23-24

21-13

23-19

15-15

28-15

11-21

20-24

18-14

13-14

16-15

23-17

19-28

17-18

22-13

21-14

19-19

18-23

14-16

21-19

18-6

11-14

27-12

11-20

24-21

12-10

12-14

147.8Avg total

79.1Scored

68.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	78.2	70.4	148.6	+7.8	78%
Season at home (14)	81.6	67.1	148.6	+14.5	93%
Season away (13)	74.6	74.0	148.6	+0.6	62%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	68.7	147.8	+10.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	70.2	146.2	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.5	80.8	160.2	-1.2	50%
vs Similar (3)	89.3	77.0	166.3	+12.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	81.0	69.1	150.1	+12.0	91%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PanathinaikosCSKA Moscow

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	16.5	36.9	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	16.5	34.1	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.3	36.6	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.0	17.3	35.3	+0.7	57%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.6	17.5	35.1	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	15.7	35.8	+4.5	87%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.9	38.6	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	16.8	37.7	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	18.5	38.8	+1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	27.0	20.3	47.3	+6.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	15.9	33.5	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.2	35.3	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.6	20.1	35.7	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	14.6	16.8	31.4	-2.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.7	15.7	35.4	+3.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	16.7	36.1	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	15.9	34.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	15.7	35.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	20.7	38.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.7	16.0	35.6	+3.7	74%	-

PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

41-37

H20/03

Euroleague

Ikaros

#14

42-42

A23/03

Basket League

Barcelona

32-42

-10

A28/03

Euroleague

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

49-45

H31/03

Basket League

Unicaja

#14

33-28

H03/04

Euroleague

PAOK

45-31

+14

A06/04

Basket League

Olympiacos

37-29

A10/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

33-40

-7

A16/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

25-39

-14

A18/04

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

41-35

H21/04

Euroleague

74.6Avg total

37.8Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	33.6	69.9	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	32.4	70.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	34.7	69.4	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	36.8	74.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	34.8	71.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	33.6	37.4	71.0	-3.9	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	32.2	34.2	66.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	39.8	31.4	71.2	+8.4	87%	-

This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

#24

38-22

+16

H13/03

Euroleague

Volgograd

#12

34-31

A16/03

VTB United League

Real Madrid

41-42

-1

A20/03

Euroleague

Neptunas

#17

43-27

+16

A23/03

VTB United League

Bayern

#17

38-34

H27/03

Euroleague

Galatasaray

#13

38-38

H04/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

42-45

-3

A10/04

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

#12

40-33

H16/04

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

#12

39-25

+14

H18/04

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

#12

35-41

-6

A21/04

Euroleague

72.6Avg total

38.8Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	34.6	74.7	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	32.7	72.3	+7.0	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	36.6	77.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	33.8	72.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.4	75.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.5	36.5	76.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.7	41.0	85.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	39.5	33.5	73.0	+6.0	78%	-

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.0	34.3	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	15.2	34.5	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	16.7	34.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	14.6	32.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	15.4	30.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	14.1	14.6	28.7	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.5	16.1	36.6	+4.5	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.7	37.5	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	15.8	30.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	16.9	34.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	15.3	32.1	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	14.7	17.3	32.0	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.3	16.5	34.8	+1.9	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.5	37.9	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	15.3	32.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.0	32.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.3	18.3	41.7	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.2	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	32.8	68.9	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	30.5	66.6	+5.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	35.1	71.1	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	32.3	67.4	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	34.6	65.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	28.9	31.9	60.7	-3.0	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.0	34.2	71.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (15)	38.9	32.5	71.4	+6.3	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	35.8	75.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	35.0	75.1	+5.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	36.5	76.0	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	32.9	70.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	29.8	62.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	44.2	84.2	-4.2	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.7	36.0	80.7	+8.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	39.1	34.3	73.4	+4.9	61%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Panathinaikos wins

CSKA Moscow wins

Date	Game	Score
21/04/14	Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow	65-59
18/04/14	CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos	77-51
16/04/14	CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos	77-74 OT
28/09/13	CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos	72-49
04/04/13	Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow	63-69
14/02/13	CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos	86-69
11/05/12	CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos	66-64
14/12/11	CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos	91-75
10/11/11	Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow	76-78 OT
01/12/10	CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos	68-72

Panathinaikoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/14	H	CSKA Moscow	65-59
18/04/14	A	CSKA Moscow	51-77
16/04/14	A	CSKA Moscow	74-77 OT
10/04/14	A	Olympiacos	65-68
06/04/14	A	PAOK	82-71
03/04/14	H	Unicaja	69-60
31/03/14	H	Kolossos Rhodes	102-69
28/03/14	A	Barcelona	62-84
23/03/14	A	Ikaros	85-64
20/03/14	H	Fenerbahce	76-67

CSKA Moscowlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/14	A	Panathinaikos	59-65
18/04/14	H	Panathinaikos	77-51
16/04/14	H	Panathinaikos	77-74 OT
10/04/14	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	81-76
04/04/14	H	Galatasaray	86-85 OT
27/03/14	H	Bayern	77-70
23/03/14	A	Neptunas	87-64
20/03/14	A	Real Madrid	79-93
16/03/14	A	Volgograd	84-57
13/03/14	H	Partizan	84-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos

Euroleague 2013

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	48%
Home	WLWWW	69%
Away	WLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	48%	69%	29%
Points / game	71.1	70.2	71.9
Allowed / game	70.6	65.3	75.6
Point differential	+0.4	+4.8	-3.6
Avg total	141.7	135.5	147.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	23%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	30% (10)	50% (2)	25% (8)
Overtime %	15%	0%	29%

CSKA Moscow

Euroleague 2013

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	78%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WWLWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	78%	93%	62%
Points / game	78.2	81.6	74.6
Allowed / game	70.4	67.1	74.0
Point differential	+7.8	+14.5	+0.6
Avg total	148.6	148.6	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	57%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (10)	80% (5)	80% (5)
Overtime %	11%	14%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	27	23	4	85%	86.1	71.3	+14.8
2	Barcelona	27	22	5	81%	79.4	71.7	+7.7
3	CSKA Moscow	27	21	6	78%	78.2	70.4	+7.8
4	Olympiacos	27	19	8	70%	77.6	73.2	+4.4
5	Maccabi Tel Aviv	27	18	9	67%	79.0	76.1	+2.9
6	Oostende	3	2	1	67%	79.3	78.0	+1.3
7	Olimpia Milano	27	16	11	59%	77.3	75.0	+2.3
8	Fenerbahce	24	14	10	58%	80.3	77.1	+3.2
9	Lokomotiv Kuban	24	13	11	54%	75.9	76.1	-0.2
10	Banvit	2	1	1	50%	83.5	80.0	+3.5
11	Oldenburg	2	1	1	50%	83.0	86.5	-3.5
12	Panathinaikos	27	13	14	48%	71.1	70.6	+0.4
13	Galatasaray	27	13	14	48%	73.0	75.6	-2.6
14	Unicaja	24	11	13	46%	74.5	74.0	+0.5
15	Baskonia	24	11	13	46%	76.2	78.3	-2.1
16	Crvena zvezda	10	4	6	40%	80.4	77.9	+2.5
17	Bayern	24	9	15	38%	77.4	78.9	-1.5
18	Rytas	13	4	9	31%	72.3	80.3	-8.0
19	Siena	10	3	7	30%	67.4	70.6	-3.2
20	Nanterre	10	3	7	30%	68.2	75.3	-7.1
21	Bamberg	10	3	7	30%	75.6	82.9	-7.3
22	Strasbourg	10	3	7	30%	70.5	79.8	-9.3
23	Zalgiris Kaunas	24	7	17	29%	75.2	80.9	-5.7
24	Partizan	24	7	17	29%	67.5	74.3	-6.8
25	Anadolu Efes	24	6	18	25%	71.2	77.6	-6.5
26	Zielona Gora	10	2	8	20%	70.7	79.9	-9.2
27	Budivelnyk	10	2	8	20%	73.7	83.2	-9.5
28	Varese	1	0	1	0%	74.0	79.0	-5.0
29	Nymburk	1	0	1	0%	78.0	87.0	-9.0
30	VEF Riga	1	0	1	0%	71.0	80.0	-9.0
31	Khimki M.	1	0	1	0%	79.0	90.0	-11.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Panathinaikos	21	16	14	13	9	73
CSKA Moscow	16	22	10	16	8	72

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Panathinaikos vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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