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Panathinaikos vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 96-84
19-26 36-18 17-18 24-22
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#1
Record11-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game81.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2018
Meetings · Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow
12 Jan 2022
PAO74
CMO98
06 Nov 2020
PAO83
CMO89
28 Dec 2018
PAO96
CMO84
19 Jan 2018
PAO70
CMO75
31 Mar 2017
PAO85
CMO80
22 Apr 2015
PAO55
CMO74
20 Apr 2015
PAO86
CMO85
05 Oct 2014
PAO46
CMO75
23 Apr 2014
PAO73
CMO72
21 Apr 2014
PAO65
CMO59
04 Apr 2013
PAO63
CMO69
10 Nov 2011
PAO76
CMO78
28 Oct 2010
PAO74
CMO60
03 May 2009
PAO73
CMO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A23/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A30/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H07/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A16/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A19/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H21/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
111-79
111
79
+32
H23/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
21-15
21-25
21-20
12-20
20-24
23-29
22-13
25-29
19-19
7-11
17-17
12-18
21-17
19-21
17-25
21-18
22-21
26-17
11-19
22-16
21-16
14-21
18-14
19-11
29-20
21-25
24-27
10-23
21-20
24-20
13-26
23-21
17-26
16-17
27-22
36-16
21-21
30-23
24-19
159.2Avg total
80.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.379.9158.1-1.643%
Season at home (8)83.880.2164.0+3.562%
Season away (6)71.079.3150.3-8.317%
Last 10 (10)80.079.2159.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)86.080.8166.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)66.382.7149.0-16.30%
vs Similar (8)81.081.1162.1-0.138%
vs Weaker (19)85.271.2156.3+14.089%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#14
W
119-88
119
88
+31
H18/11
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
H21/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A29/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A07/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#9
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H10/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#13
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H13/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A18/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
102-84
102
84
+18
H20/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
107-80
107
80
+27
A23/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
21-23
39-15
26-26
16-18
21-20
22-22
27-26
21-17
28-18
18-30
25-28
24-20
14-21
29-20
26-27
21-21
17-19
17-15
18-21
16-21
23-14
33-19
29-17
24-17
25-23
26-13
13-21
26-18
22-18
14-24
13-19
31-24
25-30
21-14
25-16
32-15
25-24
19-17
31-24
177.9Avg total
94.9Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.881.9170.7+6.979%
Season at home (6)88.778.3167.0+10.3100%
Season away (8)88.984.6173.5+4.262%
Last 10 (10)94.983.0177.9+11.970%
Last 5 (5)94.677.6172.2+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)90.083.7173.7+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)94.178.4172.5+15.789%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
PanathinaikosCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/12
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A16/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A19/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H23/12
Basket League
78.6Avg total
40.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.378.4+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.835.276.9+6.665%-
Last 30 away (13)40.240.180.3+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.178.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.081.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)30.740.771.3-10.00%-
vs Similar (8)38.942.681.5-3.838%-
vs Weaker (19)43.734.578.2+9.274%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H18/11
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H21/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H13/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A18/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H20/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A23/12
VTB United League
87.0Avg total
46.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.639.586.1+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.839.285.1+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)47.639.887.5+7.869%-
Last 10 (10)46.540.587.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)49.840.890.6+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)47.343.791.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.539.085.6+7.574%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.6
51.5%
52.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.3
30.0%
37.0%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.4
70.9%
76.7%13.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.4
53.5%
52.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.210.4
44.8%
37.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.012.9
80.6%
76.7%12.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLLWWWLLLW
CSKA Moscow
WWLWWLWLWW
#7
League position
#1
-5.0
Net rating
+7.6
104.5
Offensive rating
119.9
109.4
Defensive rating
112.3
49.3%
Effective FG%
58.5%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.0%
3-point %
44.8%
53.9%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 119.9Defence109.4 · 112.3Shooting49.3% · 58.5%3-point %30.0% · 44.8%Ball care14.8% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Panathinaikos wins
8
CSKA Moscow wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18HAEK Athens111-79
21/12/18HOlimpia Milano83-86
19/12/18AReal Madrid68-89
16/12/18APAOK93-83
14/12/18HDarussafaka75-67
10/12/18HPeristeri80-75
07/12/18HFenerbahce69-81
30/11/18AKhimki M.68-76
23/11/18ABaskonia77-86
21/11/18HBarcelona76-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18AVEF Riga107-80
20/12/18HAnadolu Efes102-84
18/12/18AFenerbahce75-79
13/12/18HKhimki M.88-74
10/12/18HEnisey101-71
07/12/18ABaskonia73-76
29/11/18AReal Madrid93-88
23/11/18ABuducnost92-93
21/11/18HZalgiris Kaunas99-97 OT
18/11/18HMinsk119-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%62%17%
Points / game78.383.871.0
Allowed / game79.980.279.3
Point differential-1.6+3.5-8.3
Avg total158.1164.0150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %79%100%62%
Points / game88.888.788.9
Allowed / game81.978.384.6
Point differential+6.9+10.3+4.2
Avg total170.7167.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %7%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1514193%83.674.7+8.9
2 Real Madrid1512380%87.576.0+11.5
3 CSKA Moscow1411379%88.881.9+6.9
4 Anadolu Efes159660%86.182.4+3.7
5 Olympiacos159660%80.677.0+3.6
6 Barcelona158753%76.276.8-0.6
7 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%82.581.2+1.3
8 Bayern147750%79.680.3-0.7
9 Olimpia Milano157847%85.985.7+0.3
10 Baskonia157847%80.880.7+0.1
11 Panathinaikos146843%78.379.9-1.6
12 Gran Canaria145936%81.889.4-7.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1551033%78.080.1-2.1
14 Khimki M.1551033%77.780.8-3.1
15 Buducnost1431121%71.483.6-12.2
16 Darussafaka1521313%75.985.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1936172496
CSKA Moscow2618182284
← all games of the day
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