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Panathinaikos vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 70-75
20-15 9-16 22-20 19-24
Position#5
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#1
Record14-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19
European cup2017
Meetings · Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow
12 Jan 2022
PAO74
CMO98
06 Nov 2020
PAO83
CMO89
28 Dec 2018
PAO96
CMO84
19 Jan 2018
PAO70
CMO75
31 Mar 2017
PAO85
CMO80
22 Apr 2015
PAO55
CMO74
20 Apr 2015
PAO86
CMO85
05 Oct 2014
PAO46
CMO75
23 Apr 2014
PAO73
CMO72
21 Apr 2014
PAO65
CMO59
04 Apr 2013
PAO63
CMO69
10 Nov 2011
PAO76
CMO78
28 Oct 2010
PAO74
CMO60
03 May 2009
PAO73
CMO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#9
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H17/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H19/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A21/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A28/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A31/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H04/01
Euroleague
Koroivos
#13
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H11/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
94-74
94
74
+20
A14/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A17/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
22-17
21-10
29-24
25-21
24-22
18-13
22-20
20-15
21-23
17-11
11-14
17-12
15-20
16-16
15-19
19-12
14-17
21-27
18-15
23-12
24-21
23-23
20-23
24-12
21-17
25-11
22-17
17-19
19-15
18-14
30-27
32-23
17-16
23-15
22-20
20-18
10-17
20-12
12-20
150.4Avg total
80.6Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.875.2153.0+2.767%
Season at home (9)84.874.3159.1+10.4100%
Season away (9)70.976.0146.9-5.133%
Last 10 (10)80.669.8150.4+10.880%
Last 5 (5)84.470.4154.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)72.580.5153.0-8.050%
vs Similar (9)75.274.8150.0+0.444%
vs Weaker (19)85.569.4154.9+16.295%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A20/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H22/12
Euroleague
Astana
#10
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H25/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A04/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H07/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
107-81
107
81
+26
A11/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A14/01
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H17/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
28-14
23-23
29-29
20-23
28-22
20-19
18-24
23-16
20-17
14-22
22-13
21-16
19-14
17-18
22-15
18-26
33-22
19-24
20-9
17-25
25-22
13-19
17-19
18-19
19-22
20-21
22-28
23-15
27-21
27-25
30-20
22-22
23-18
22-23
16-24
35-21
23-25
23-15
29-18
169.4Avg total
88.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.379.1169.3+11.278%
Season at home (9)93.079.0172.0+14.089%
Season away (9)87.679.1166.7+8.467%
Last 10 (10)88.680.8169.4+7.860%
Last 5 (5)90.284.4174.6+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)81.088.5169.5-7.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.277.5168.6+13.786%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
PanathinaikosCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A28/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A31/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/01
Euroleague
Koroivos
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H11/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A14/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/01
Euroleague
75.0Avg total
40.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.376.9+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.236.778.9+5.571%-
Last 30 away (16)39.235.975.1+3.362%-
Last 10 (10)40.334.775.0+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.075.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.548.585.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (9)36.035.671.6+0.444%-
vs Weaker (19)43.235.378.5+7.984%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H22/12
Euroleague
Astana
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A11/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A14/01
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H17/01
Euroleague
86.3Avg total
46.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.339.886.1+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.440.285.6+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)47.339.386.6+8.086%-
Last 10 (10)46.340.086.3+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.088.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.045.582.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.939.486.3+7.582%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.2
52.3%
51.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.3
38.0%
37.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.911.8
69.8%
76.3%11.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.2
54.5%
51.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.910.1
46.1%
37.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.617.9
82.9%
76.3%17.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWWWWLWWW
CSKA Moscow
WLWLLWWWLW
#5
League position
#1
+7.1
Net rating
+15.2
112.2
Offensive rating
123.0
105.1
Defensive rating
107.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
59.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.3%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.0%
3-point %
46.1%
62.5%
Assist %
59.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 123.0Defence105.1 · 107.8Shooting54.4% · 59.8%3-point %38.0% · 46.1%Ball care16.3% · 15.3%Off. rebounds30.1% · 28.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Panathinaikos wins
8
CSKA Moscow wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/18AFenerbahce62-67
14/01/18AAEK Athens94-74
11/01/18HBarcelona84-75
07/01/18HKoroivos92-57
04/01/18HAnadolu Efes90-79
31/12/17AKolossos Rhodes72-71
28/12/17AValencia63-67
21/12/17ACrvena zvezda69-63
19/12/17HMaccabi Tel Aviv89-76
17/12/17HRethymno91-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/18HAnadolu Efes110-79
14/01/18AZenit Petersburg83-87
11/01/18AOlimpia Milano107-81
07/01/18HLokomotiv Kuban79-90
04/01/18ABarcelona72-85
29/12/17ABaskonia90-81
25/12/17HAstana79-63
22/12/17HKhimki M.79-68
20/12/17AOlympiacos86-88
15/12/17HMaccabi Tel Aviv101-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game77.884.870.9
Allowed / game75.274.376.0
Point differential+2.7+10.4-5.1
Avg total153.0159.1146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game90.393.087.6
Allowed / game79.179.079.1
Point differential+11.2+14.0+8.4
Avg total169.3172.0166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1814478%90.379.1+11.2
2 Fenerbahce1913668%79.973.6+6.3
3 Olympiacos1913668%75.073.5+1.5
4 Real Madrid1812667%85.178.9+6.2
5 Panathinaikos1812667%77.875.2+2.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas1912763%80.780.5+0.2
7 Khimki M.1911858%77.577.9-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv1910953%80.082.3-2.3
9 Baskonia1881044%80.779.6+1.1
10 Unicaja1871139%77.681.7-4.2
11 Barcelona1971237%80.478.3+2.2
12 Crvena zvezda1971237%77.182.1-5.1
13 Bamberg1971237%74.480.0-5.6
14 Valencia1961332%76.779.6-2.9
15 Olimpia Milano1851328%80.685.5-4.9
16 Anadolu Efes1951426%78.483.8-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos209221970
CSKA Moscow1516202475
← all games of the day
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