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Panathinaikos vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 85-80 (OT)
20-17 25-23 13-15 15-18 12-7
Position#5
Record17-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game74.8
Panathinaikos 🏆
vs
CSKA Moscow
Position#1
Record21-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2016
Meetings · Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow
12 Jan 2022
PAO74
CMO98
06 Nov 2020
PAO83
CMO89
28 Dec 2018
PAO96
CMO84
19 Jan 2018
PAO70
CMO75
31 Mar 2017
PAO85
CMO80
22 Apr 2015
PAO55
CMO74
20 Apr 2015
PAO86
CMO85
05 Oct 2014
PAO46
CMO75
23 Apr 2014
PAO73
CMO72
21 Apr 2014
PAO65
CMO59
04 Apr 2013
PAO63
CMO69
10 Nov 2011
PAO76
CMO78
28 Oct 2010
PAO74
CMO60
03 May 2009
PAO73
CMO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A27/02
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A03/03
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H05/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A09/03
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A12/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H16/03
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H18/03
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H21/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A23/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
106-87 OT
106
87
+19
A26/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
21-24
18-9
18-18
17-17
16-18
20-18
19-24
20-20
24-10
9-13
17-11
17-9
14-10
10-15
17-30
22-17
24-8
27-31
24-18
21-19
22-22
15-17
30-24
25-6
19-21
20-20
21-17
21-15
17-10
19-15
17-21
24-6
13-15
17-16
18-26
23-24
18-18
16-20
20-15
150.3Avg total
80.4Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.174.8151.9+2.461%
Season at home (14)80.372.0152.3+8.393%
Season away (14)74.077.5151.5-3.529%
Last 10 (10)80.469.9150.3+10.580%
Last 5 (5)85.071.4156.4+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)82.574.5157.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (11)71.170.5141.6+0.555%
vs Weaker (17)83.669.6153.3+14.094%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H23/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H26/02
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A03/03
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
101-65
101
65
+36
A05/03
VTB United League
Galatasaray
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
99-83
99
83
+16
A12/03
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A17/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H22/03
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A24/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A27/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
28-34
15-12
24-21
23-19
27-28
21-16
21-25
29-4
19-20
18-23
19-14
26-17
25-21
28-17
22-10
13-17
33-12
19-20
20-20
23-20
31-30
25-10
20-23
14-18
19-16
21-27
24-18
24-19
23-16
21-27
27-23
25-18
19-15
30-24
11-17
33-15
21-21
21-8
17-26
166.0Avg total
90.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.579.1166.6+8.375%
Season at home (14)92.179.1171.2+12.993%
Season away (14)82.979.1162.0+3.757%
Last 10 (10)90.575.5166.0+15.090%
Last 5 (5)89.878.2168.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.095.0180.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)87.675.1162.7+12.479%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
PanathinaikosCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A27/02
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/03
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H05/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
31-19
31
19
+12
A09/03
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A12/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/03
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H18/03
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A23/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A26/03
Basket League
71.4Avg total
40.3Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.533.171.6+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.833.773.5+6.285%-
Last 30 away (17)37.532.670.2+4.959%-
Last 10 (10)40.331.171.4+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.631.271.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.034.570.5+1.5100%-
vs Similar (11)34.233.267.4+1.055%-
vs Weaker (17)41.632.974.5+8.876%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H23/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H26/02
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A03/03
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A05/03
VTB United League
Galatasaray
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A12/03
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H22/03
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A24/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A27/03
VTB United League
85.5Avg total
48.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.937.983.7+8.080%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.836.182.9+10.694%-
Last 30 away (14)44.939.984.7+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)48.137.485.5+10.790%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.684.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)46.050.096.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.937.483.3+8.483%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.7
47.9%
50.7%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.7
38.8%
37.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.310.4
68.0%
75.6%10.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.1
54.8%
50.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.1
39.1%
37.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.617.5
81.0%
75.6%17.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWLWLW
CSKA Moscow
WWWLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
+4.6
Net rating
+11.1
107.0
Offensive rating
113.3
102.4
Defensive rating
102.2
52.6%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.9%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.8%
3-point %
39.1%
58.3%
Assist %
71.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 113.3Defence102.4 · 102.2Shooting52.6% · 56.2%3-point %38.8% · 39.1%Ball care16.5% · 18.9%Off. rebounds27.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
7
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
21/10/16CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos81-77
04/10/15CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos81-80
22/04/15Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow55-74
20/04/15Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow86-85
16/04/15CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos100-80
14/04/15CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos93-66
05/10/14Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow46-75
25/04/14CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos74-44
23/04/14Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow73-72 OT
21/04/14Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow65-59
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/17AAEK Athens106-87 OT
23/03/17ABaskonia72-63
21/03/17HOlimpia Milano74-61
18/03/17HLavrio85-64
16/03/17HReal Madrid88-82
12/03/17AApollon Patras97-74
09/03/17AZalgiris Kaunas58-64
05/03/17HAris70-54
03/03/17ADarussafaka72-77
27/02/17AKolossos Rhodes82-73
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/17AKhimki M.92-70
24/03/17AUnics Kazan85-74
22/03/17HDarussafaka95-85
17/03/17ABaskonia78-79
12/03/17AVEF Riga99-83
09/03/17HGalatasaray85-69
05/03/17ANizhny Novgorod101-65
03/03/17ABarcelona85-61
26/02/17HUnics Kazan92-88
23/02/17HMaccabi Tel Aviv93-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%93%29%
Points / game77.180.374.0
Allowed / game74.872.077.5
Point differential+2.4+8.3-3.5
Avg total151.9152.3151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %11%14%7%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%93%57%
Points / game87.592.182.9
Allowed / game79.179.179.1
Point differential+8.3+12.9+3.7
Avg total166.6171.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%64%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2821775%87.579.1+8.3
2 Real Madrid2821775%86.779.2+7.5
3 Olympiacos29191066%77.773.7+4.0
4 Panathinaikos28171161%77.174.8+2.4
5 Fenerbahce28171161%77.275.6+1.6
6 Baskonia29171259%81.679.0+2.6
7 Anadolu Efes29171259%84.283.3+0.9
8 Crvena zvezda29161355%74.073.3+0.7
9 Darussafaka29151452%79.179.4-0.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas29131645%78.179.7-1.6
11 Barcelona29121741%71.675.0-3.4
12 Bamberg29101934%79.980.9-1.0
13 Galatasaray29101934%78.082.6-4.7
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv29101934%78.683.7-5.1
15 Olimpia Milano2982128%81.287.2-6.1
16 Unics Kazan2972224%76.181.3-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panathinaikos202513151285
CSKA Moscow17231518780
← all games of the day
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