Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 77-68

22-20 17-19 17-17 21-12

Position#1

Record8-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game62.8

Panathinaikos 🏆

AEK Athens

Position#3

Record8-1

FormWLLWW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game63.9

Basket LeagueRound 10

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Athens winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Panathinaikos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPanathinaikos

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

83-75 OT

no box

H10/11

Euroleague

Kolossos Rhodes

80-65

+15

no box

H13/11

Basket League

Real Madrid

84-87

-3

109avg 103

A16/11

Euroleague

Olympiacos

77-79

-2

102avg 103

H18/11

Euroleague

Aris

71-59

+12

no box

A21/11

Basket League

Darussafaka

86-80

no box

H25/11

Euroleague

Apollon Patras

#13

96-59

+37

no box

H28/11

Basket League

Barcelona

#11

57-72

-15

78avg 103

A02/12

Euroleague

Lavrio

84-60

+24

no box

A05/12

Basket League

Galatasaray

#12

85-58

+27

115avg 103

H09/12

Euroleague

18-12

17-16

17-15

15-24

21-13

19-20

24-17

16-15

23-21

27-32

18-19

16-15

23-23

16-24

24-14

14-18

17-14

19-14

15-17

20-14

21-16

25-18

18-26

22-20

24-14

30-16

18-13

24-16

19-19

12-17

9-21

17-15

25-10

23-22

16-12

20-16

20-13

19-18

25-14

21-13

149.7Avg total

80.3Scored

69.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	81.8	62.8	144.6	+19.0	89%
Season at home (5)	89.0	62.4	151.4	+26.6	100%
Season away (4)	72.8	63.2	136.0	+9.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	69.4	149.7	+10.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	65.8	147.4	+15.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.5	84.0	164.5	-3.5	0%
vs Similar (12)	78.2	81.3	159.5	-3.2	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	81.1	64.9	146.1	+16.2	87%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAthens

Date

Competition

Rethymno

80-62

+18

no box

H05/11

Basket League

Sassari

#24

78-58

+20

no box

H08/11

Champions League

PAOK

78-71

no box

A12/11

Basket League

Ludwigsburg

#13

67-72

-5

no box

A16/11

Champions League

Promitheas

76-60

+16

no box

H19/11

Basket League

Partizan

#16

91-81

+10

no box

H23/11

Champions League

Olympiacos

67-78

-11

no box

A26/11

Basket League

Zielona Gora

#39

75-78

-3

no box

A29/11

Champions League

Koroivos

#12

89-75

+14

no box

H03/12

Basket League

Szolnoki Olaj

#47

89-76

+13

no box

A07/12

Champions League

25-13

20-21

12-17

23-11

27-13

20-13

13-12

18-20

15-21

19-17

19-20

25-13

19-15

12-21

13-14

23-22

17-23

21-17

19-8

19-12

22-14

20-19

22-29

27-19

16-26

18-17

12-22

21-13

17-15

20-16

14-24

24-23

24-20

22-19

21-17

21-22

29-15

24-21

15-18

150.1Avg total

79.0Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	80.2	63.9	144.1	+16.3	89%
Season at home (4)	85.2	63.2	148.5	+22.0	100%
Season away (5)	76.2	64.4	140.6	+11.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	71.1	150.1	+7.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	77.6	159.8	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	68.3	84.3	152.7	-16.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	78.1	77.9	156.0	+0.2	50%
vs Weaker (18)	83.4	67.1	150.5	+16.4	83%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PanathinaikosAEK Athens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	16.2	37.2	+4.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	15.5	36.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	14.4	36.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.1	15.7	36.8	+5.3	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	18.4	39.9	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	14.0	23.7	37.7	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.6	16.9	38.4	+4.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	17.2	38.3	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.6	15.6	36.2	+5.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	17.1	35.4	+1.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.5	37.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.7	22.0	40.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+3.9	72%	-

PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

35-28

H10/11

Euroleague

Kolossos Rhodes

40-33

H13/11

Basket League

Real Madrid

50-53

-3

A16/11

Euroleague

Olympiacos

39-47

-8

H18/11

Euroleague

Aris

36-28

A21/11

Basket League

Darussafaka

46-34

+12

H25/11

Euroleague

Apollon Patras

#13

54-30

+24

H28/11

Basket League

Barcelona

#11

31-36

-5

A02/12

Euroleague

Lavrio

48-32

+16

A05/12

Basket League

Galatasaray

#12

39-31

H09/12

Euroleague

77.0Avg total

41.8Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	35.3	76.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.0	33.5	75.5	+8.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.1	37.7	76.8	+1.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	35.2	77.0	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	32.6	76.2	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	44.0	84.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.7	31.3	73.0	+10.3	73%	-

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rethymno

45-34

+11

H05/11

Basket League

Sassari

#24

47-26

+21

H08/11

Champions League

PAOK

34-38

-4

A12/11

Basket League

Ludwigsburg

#13

31-36

-5

A16/11

Champions League

Promitheas

38-40

-2

H19/11

Basket League

Partizan

#16

42-33

H23/11

Champions League

Olympiacos

34-43

-9

A26/11

Basket League

Zielona Gora

#39

37-31

A29/11

Champions League

Koroivos

#12

46-39

H03/12

Basket League

Szolnoki Olaj

#47

50-37

+13

A07/12

Champions League

76.1Avg total

40.4Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	36.9	76.7	+2.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	37.1	79.2	+5.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	36.8	74.5	+1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	35.7	76.1	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	36.6	78.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	32.7	45.7	78.3	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.6	42.2	80.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.7	33.1	74.8	+8.6	67%	-

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	20.5	43.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.3	15.8	35.1	+3.5	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.6	36.3	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	14.3	18.3	32.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.0	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	18.6	37.2	-0.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.6	35.1	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.0	36.8	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.1	17.3	36.3	+1.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	16.4	37.1	+4.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	15.2	36.6	+6.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	17.5	37.6	+2.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.3	20.3	41.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.6	15.2	35.8	+5.4	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.3	74.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.0	35.4	75.4	+4.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.0	37.5	73.5	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	33.4	70.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	33.2	71.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	40.0	80.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.2	40.4	77.7	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	38.4	33.1	71.5	+5.3	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	34.1	73.4	+5.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	32.4	74.1	+9.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	35.5	72.7	+1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	35.4	74.0	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.0	81.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	35.7	38.7	74.3	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.5	35.6	75.1	+3.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	40.6	32.9	73.6	+7.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.0	53.1%	53.4%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.6	36.2%	34.8%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.7	71.5%	74.0%	13.7

They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	19.4	46.7%	53.4%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.4	8.1	39.7%	34.8%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	15.1	10.9	72.1%	74.0%	10.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	19.4	46.7%	53.4%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.4	8.1	39.7%	34.8%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	15.1	10.9	72.1%	74.0%	10.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Panathinaikos wins

AEK Athens wins

Date	Game	Score
16/02/15	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	62-70
26/10/14	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	92-58
06/04/11	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	111-70
18/12/10	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	78-95
25/04/10	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	91-62
17/01/10	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	47-85
22/04/09	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	70-79
11/01/09	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	86-82

Panathinaikoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/16	H	Galatasaray	85-58
05/12/16	A	Lavrio	84-60
02/12/16	A	Barcelona	57-72
28/11/16	H	Apollon Patras	96-59
25/11/16	H	Darussafaka	86-80
21/11/16	A	Aris	71-59
18/11/16	H	Olympiacos	77-79
16/11/16	A	Real Madrid	84-87
13/11/16	H	Kolossos Rhodes	80-65
10/11/16	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	83-75 OT

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/16	A	Szolnoki Olaj	89-76
03/12/16	H	Koroivos	89-75
29/11/16	A	Zielona Gora	75-78
26/11/16	A	Olympiacos	67-78
23/11/16	H	Partizan	91-81
19/11/16	H	Promitheas	76-60
16/11/16	A	Ludwigsburg	67-72
12/11/16	A	PAOK	78-71
08/11/16	H	Sassari	78-58
05/11/16	H	Rethymno	80-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	89%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	89%	100%	75%
Points / game	81.8	89.0	72.8
Allowed / game	62.8	62.4	63.2
Point differential	+19.0	+26.6	+9.5
Avg total	144.6	151.4	136.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	89%	100%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AEK Athens

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	89%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	89%	100%	80%
Points / game	80.2	85.2	76.2
Allowed / game	63.9	63.2	64.4
Point differential	+16.3	+22.0	+11.8
Avg total	144.1	148.5	140.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	78%	100%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olympiacos	10	10	0	100%	82.1	65.7	+16.4
2	Panathinaikos	9	8	1	89%	81.8	62.8	+19.0
3	AEK Athens	9	8	1	89%	80.2	63.9	+16.3
4	Aris	10	6	4	60%	75.5	71.5	+4.0
5	PAOK	10	6	4	60%	76.4	76.8	-0.4
6	Rethymno	10	5	5	50%	75.4	75.7	-0.3
7	Kolossos Rhodes	10	5	5	50%	70.9	71.8	-0.9
8	Promitheas	10	4	6	40%	73.2	75.2	-2.0
9	G.S. Kymis	10	4	6	40%	72.0	76.2	-4.2
10	Lavrio	10	3	7	30%	69.4	76.2	-6.8
11	Apollon Patras	10	3	7	30%	68.0	75.2	-7.2
12	Koroivos	10	3	7	30%	77.4	88.0	-10.6
13	Lefkadas	10	2	8	20%	70.6	77.3	-6.7
14	Trikala	10	2	8	20%	65.5	78.6	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Panathinaikos	22	17	17	21	77
AEK Athens	20	19	17	12	68

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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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