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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 87-84
21-23 32-27 19-18 15-16
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7
European cup2016
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD v PAO
upcoming
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
no box
H16/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
89-82
89
82
+7
120avg 116
A20/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
96-88
96
88
+8
no box
A23/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
87-91
87
91
-4
113avg 116
H25/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
A27/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H30/10
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
H03/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A06/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
90-91
90
91
-1
120avg 116
A11/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H13/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-17
26-28
25-22
20-16
26-17
16-24
27-25
22-17
15-25
33-26
26-20
19-32
24-22
23-15
21-22
26-20
26-21
23-25
26-24
21-21
16-16
25-11
32-20
19-22
26-25
21-17
24-17
15-20
18-29
20-18
22-18
26-17
12-32
30-24
22-18
23-19
23-13
20-14
20-13
172.2Avg total
90.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.083.3173.3+6.767%
Season at home (3)86.779.0165.7+7.767%
Season away (3)93.387.7181.0+5.767%
Last 10 (10)90.182.1172.2+8.070%
Last 5 (5)87.076.8163.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)88.878.1166.9+10.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.282.8177.9+12.485%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
no box
A17/10
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
106avg 104
A21/10
Euroleague
Koroivos
#12
W
96-65
96
65
+31
no box
H23/10
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
W
84-83
84
83
+1
110avg 104
A26/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
93avg 104
H28/10
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
92-52
92
52
+40
no box
H31/10
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
83-91 OT
83
91
-8
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
Lefkadas
#14
W
73-46
73
46
+27
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
no box
H10/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
80-65
80
65
+15
no box
H13/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
15-27
17-18
14-20
19-22
11-13
28-22
19-24
24-9
27-17
21-21
24-18
20-15
22-22
20-26
22-20
23-14
23-11
15-16
9-18
35-25
24-7
15-9
18-11
20-16
22-19
11-18
17-17
18-13
23-9
18-13
14-11
18-12
17-16
17-15
15-24
21-13
19-20
24-17
16-15
150.6Avg total
80.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.277.5157.7+2.767%
Season at home (3)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)81.385.0166.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)80.170.5150.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)82.265.8148.0+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)77.081.0158.0-4.00%
vs Similar (13)77.080.2157.2-3.246%
vs Weaker (15)81.965.7147.6+16.187%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A20/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H25/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A27/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H30/10
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H03/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A06/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A11/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/11
ACB
83.9Avg total
41.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.640.986.5+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.140.487.5+6.771%-
Last 30 away (13)43.641.585.1+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.083.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.882.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)43.641.485.0+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.440.386.7+6.170%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/10
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A21/10
Euroleague
Koroivos
#12
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H23/10
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H28/10
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
59-32
59
32
+27
H31/10
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A04/11
Euroleague
Lefkadas
#14
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A07/11
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/11
Basket League
74.1Avg total
41.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.033.974.0+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.633.574.1+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)39.434.473.8+4.964%-
Last 10 (10)41.832.374.1+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.430.073.4+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)30.035.065.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (13)38.437.676.0+0.854%-
vs Weaker (15)41.930.372.1+11.680%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.323.3
57.9%
50.7%46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.7
32.3%
37.3%26.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.3
74.2%
75.6%16.3
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.5
53.2%
50.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.0
35.3%
37.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.8
71.4%
75.6%13.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/4 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWWWLWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWLWWWWLL
#2
League position
#5
+8.5
Net rating
+5.1
113.8
Offensive rating
112.9
105.3
Defensive rating
107.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
12.8%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.3%
3-point %
35.3%
56.2%
Assist %
55.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 112.9Defence105.3 · 107.8Shooting54.1% · 53.1%3-point %32.3% · 35.3%Ball care15.4% · 12.8%Off. rebounds30.9% · 28.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
3
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16HTenerife86-59
11/11/16ACSKA Moscow90-91
06/11/16ABarcelona75-85
03/11/16HGalatasaray90-81
30/10/16HTecnyconta Zaragoza94-68
27/10/16AOlimpia Milano101-90
25/10/16HBaskonia87-91
23/10/16AEstudiantes96-88
20/10/16AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-82
16/10/16HMurcia93-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16HKolossos Rhodes80-65
10/11/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-75 OT
07/11/16ALefkadas73-46
04/11/16AAnadolu Efes83-91 OT
31/10/16HG.S. Kymis92-52
28/10/16HCrvena zvezda70-59
26/10/16ABamberg84-83
23/10/16HKoroivos96-65
21/10/16ACSKA Moscow77-81
17/10/16AOlympiacos63-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game90.086.793.3
Allowed / game83.379.087.7
Point differential+6.7+7.7+5.7
Avg total173.3165.7181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game80.279.081.3
Allowed / game77.570.085.0
Point differential+2.7+9.0-3.7
Avg total157.7149.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %33%33%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow76186%90.983.4+7.4
2 Darussafaka75271%81.779.3+2.4
3 Real Madrid64267%90.083.3+6.7
4 Panathinaikos64267%80.277.5+2.7
5 Baskonia74357%81.678.1+3.4
6 Olympiacos74357%80.377.4+2.9
7 Barcelona74357%72.471.4+1.0
8 Olimpia Milano74357%92.391.9+0.4
9 Fenerbahce74357%75.378.1-2.9
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv73443%85.084.7+0.3
11 Crvena zvezda73443%70.672.0-1.4
12 Anadolu Efes73443%86.990.6-3.7
13 Bamberg72529%80.981.1-0.3
14 Zalgiris Kaunas72529%78.482.3-3.9
15 Unics Kazan72529%80.184.1-4.0
16 Galatasaray71614%84.494.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2132191587
Panathinaikos2327181684
← all games of the day
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