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Panathinaikos vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-78
23-20 23-13 24-18 24-27
Position#16
Record6-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#18
Record2-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game90.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2020
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Khimki M.
21 Jan 2021
PAO94
KHM78
22 Feb 2019
PAO94
KHM85
14 Nov 2017
PAO93
KHM65
09 Nov 2012
PAO67
KHM79
29 Oct 2009
PAO101
KHM66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A20/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
106-74
106
74
+32
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A17/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
18-16
18-19
18-19
12-21
18-20
22-18
29-30
31-22
21-27
31-15
23-10
15-22
22-26
9-9
25-17
19-9
23-22
17-33
23-28
16-26
19-21
19-29
23-13
24-18
19-19
24-25
13-13
25-21
20-21
25-18
18-11
12-31
22-17
21-26
19-26
23-20
24-16
25-25
21-14
163.0Avg total
82.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.884.0163.8-4.232%
Season at home (10)81.579.8161.3+1.740%
Season away (9)77.988.7166.6-10.822%
Last 10 (10)82.580.5163.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)82.482.0164.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.988.1170.0-6.222%
vs Similar (9)77.980.8158.7-2.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.469.6153.0+13.892%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A18/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A23/12
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
103-83
103
83
+20
H26/12
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#12
L
88-105
88
105
-17
H29/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A03/01
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
75-102
75
102
-27
A08/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H12/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
60-99
60
99
-39
A14/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H17/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
16-19
12-18
21-18
29-20
22-23
19-29
14-18
13-16
16-29
23-14
30-29
27-23
34-25
24-15
18-20
23-26
27-25
14-27
24-27
31-27
23-24
28-23
20-17
20-22
28-17
13-39
14-24
26-26
22-28
12-19
15-14
19-26
17-26
10-23
14-24
21-21
25-24
17-20
24-28
175.5Avg total
83.0Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.690.3168.9-11.710%
Season at home (9)81.891.4173.2-9.711%
Season away (11)76.089.4165.4-13.49%
Last 10 (10)83.092.5175.5-9.520%
Last 5 (5)79.894.4174.2-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.189.6169.8-9.517%
vs Similar (1)85.096.0181.0-11.00%
vs Weaker (5)91.481.6173.0+9.860%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
PanathinaikosKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A20/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A17/01
Basket League
80.9Avg total
40.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.577.2+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.477.1+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)37.639.777.3-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.780.9-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.082.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.241.278.4-4.022%-
vs Similar (9)35.641.376.9-5.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.234.276.5+8.092%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A18/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A23/12
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H26/12
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H29/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A03/01
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A08/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H12/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A14/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/01
VTB United League
94.3Avg total
46.4Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.845.988.7-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.646.991.5-2.229%-
Last 30 away (16)41.245.086.2-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)46.447.994.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.294.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)41.745.987.6-4.225%-
vs Similar (1)39.051.090.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker (5)48.844.893.6+4.060%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.2
55.2%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.3
35.8%
38.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.315.2
78.8%
79.3%15.2
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.7
52.0%
52.7%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.4
37.9%
38.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.714.4
81.4%
79.3%14.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWLLLWLW
Khimki M.
LLLLWLWLLL
#16
League position
#18
+2.2
Net rating
-13.5
113.6
Offensive rating
112.1
111.4
Defensive rating
125.6
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
60.1%
20.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
37.9%
64.6%
Assist %
69.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 112.1Defence111.4 · 125.6Shooting54.5% · 54.3%3-point %35.8% · 37.9%Ball care20.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds37.7% · 27.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Khimki M. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21AAris93-75
15/01/21AFenerbahce74-100
13/01/21HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
10/01/21HAEK Athens80-75
07/01/21HZenit Petersburg77-89
03/01/21ALavrio82-92
30/12/20ACrvena zvezda71-74
27/12/20HIraklis106-74
22/12/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-89
20/12/20AHarilaos Trikoupis73-66
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21HUnics Kazan87-93
14/01/21AAnadolu Efes60-99
12/01/21HBarcelona75-87
08/01/21AZalgiris Kaunas75-102
03/01/21ALokomotiv Kuban102-91
29/12/20HOlympiacos88-105
26/12/20HParma Perm103-83
23/12/20AValencia82-88
18/12/20ALyon-Villeurbanne84-90
16/12/20ABarcelona74-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game79.881.577.9
Allowed / game84.079.888.7
Point differential-4.2+1.7-10.8
Avg total163.8161.3166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %11%10%11%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %10%11%9%
Points / game78.681.876.0
Allowed / game90.391.489.4
Point differential-11.7-9.7-13.4
Avg total168.9173.2165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2015575%84.679.0+5.7
2 Barcelona2014670%81.573.7+7.8
3 Zenit Petersburg1913668%77.373.2+4.1
4 Real Madrid2013765%82.077.7+4.2
5 Olimpia Milano1912763%82.479.7+2.7
6 Bayern2012860%79.576.8+2.8
7 Zalgiris Kaunas2011955%79.877.5+2.3
8 Valencia2011955%81.881.2+0.5
9 Olympiacos2011955%80.780.7+0.0
10 Anadolu Efes21111052%79.377.1+2.1
11 Fenerbahce20101050%75.878.0-2.2
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%79.778.5+1.2
13 Baskonia2091145%79.378.7+0.6
14 Crvena zvezda2071335%74.878.6-3.9
15 Alba Berlin2071335%77.083.6-6.6
16 Panathinaikos1961332%79.884.0-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2061430%75.581.0-5.5
18 Khimki M.2021810%78.690.3-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2323242494
Khimki M.2013182778
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