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Fenerbahce vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-74
31-12 17-22 26-21 26-19
Position#9
Record9-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#16
Record6-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game83.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2020
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Panathinaikos
29 Dec 2026
FEN v PAO
upcoming
16 Dec 2025
FEN77
PAO81
23 May 2025
FEN82
PAO76
25 Oct 2024
FEN76
PAO81
17 Oct 2023
FEN83
PAO69
18 Nov 2022
FEN107
PAO77
08 Apr 2022
FEN59
PAO62
15 Jan 2021
FEN100
PAO74
08 Feb 2019
FEN85
PAO66
17 Jan 2018
FEN67
PAO62
25 Apr 2017
FEN79
PAO61
19 Jan 2017
FEN84
PAO63
30 Dec 2015
FEN82
PAO75
04 Dec 2014
FEN84
PAO62
23 Jan 2014
FEN77
PAO72
01 Nov 2012
FEN73
PAO64
02 Feb 2012
FEN56
PAO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
70avg 78
H15/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
62-99
62
99
-37
47avg 78
A17/12
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#10
W
90-54
90
54
+36
94avg 78
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 78
H23/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 78
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
81-59
81
59
+22
82avg 78
H30/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
86avg 78
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 78
A07/01
Euroleague
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
72-63
72
63
+9
66avg 78
A09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#10
W
96-76
96
76
+20
102avg 78
H12/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
10-18
13-24
23-11
7-24
24-27
16-30
15-18
26-12
27-16
22-11
15-15
22-27
23-14
21-13
18-23
14-18
23-26
20-22
15-19
15-19
23-13
21-10
22-17
22-20
26-11
20-20
19-22
18-22
20-17
15-14
20-18
21-21
17-13
16-15
18-14
28-18
23-23
24-15
21-20
152.4Avg total
78.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.678.3152.8-3.747%
Season at home (9)80.774.2154.9+6.456%
Season away (10)69.181.9151.0-12.840%
Last 10 (10)78.873.6152.4+5.270%
Last 5 (5)81.868.4150.2+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.380.2153.5-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.080.8154.8-6.833%
vs Weaker (12)85.173.0158.1+12.192%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
H15/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 77
H17/12
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
A20/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 77
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
106-74
106
74
+32
110avg 77
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
71-74
71
74
-3
66avg 77
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
84avg 77
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
72avg 77
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
85avg 77
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 77
H13/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
14-19
19-23
20-12
25-18
14-14
27-20
26-17
19-12
18-16
18-19
18-19
12-21
18-20
22-18
29-30
31-22
21-27
31-15
23-10
15-22
22-26
9-9
25-17
19-9
23-22
17-33
23-28
16-26
19-21
19-29
23-13
24-18
19-19
24-25
13-13
25-21
20-21
25-18
18-11
163.9Avg total
84.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.183.1163.2-3.033%
Season at home (10)81.579.8161.3+1.740%
Season away (8)78.487.2165.6-8.925%
Last 10 (10)84.379.6163.9+4.750%
Last 5 (5)79.680.2159.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.988.1170.0-6.222%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.879.7158.4-0.933%
vs Weaker (12)84.868.8153.6+16.192%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.8+4.8
FenerbahcePanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H15/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A17/12
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#10
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H30/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#11
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/01
Euroleague
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#10
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H12/01
Euroleague
79.9Avg total
41.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.977.8+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.034.276.2+7.885%-
Last 30 away (17)38.240.879.0-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.579.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.478.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.840.878.7-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.438.575.9-1.142%-
vs Weaker (12)43.335.879.2+7.583%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H15/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H17/12
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A20/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
Euroleague
77.7Avg total
38.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.177.8+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.937.677.5+2.265%-
Last 30 away (13)39.438.878.2+0.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.877.7+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.081.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.241.278.4-4.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.440.777.1-4.233%-
vs Weaker (12)43.933.977.8+10.092%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.8
58.5%
52.7%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.9
35.7%
38.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws10.98.5
78.0%
79.3%8.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.6
57.6%
52.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.0
37.3%
38.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.114.8
81.8%
79.3%14.8
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWLWWLL
Panathinaikos
WWLLLWLWWL
#9
League position
#16
+7.1
Net rating
+10.4
111.0
Offensive rating
114.8
103.9
Defensive rating
104.4
56.7%
Effective FG%
56.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
37.3%
63.2%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 114.8Defence103.9 · 104.4Shooting56.7% · 56.9%3-point %35.7% · 37.3%Ball care19.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds30.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.18 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fenerbahce wins
3
Panathinaikos wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/21HBaskonia96-76
09/01/21AOGM Ormanspor72-63
07/01/21ACrvena zvezda73-71
02/01/21AGalatasaray87-73
30/12/20HLyon-Villeurbanne81-59
26/12/20AAnadolu Efes72-85
23/12/20HOlympiacos84-77
20/12/20HBursaspor90-54
17/12/20AZalgiris Kaunas62-99
15/12/20HOlimpia Milano71-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/21HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
10/01/21HAEK Athens80-75
07/01/21HZenit Petersburg77-89
03/01/21ALavrio82-92
30/12/20ACrvena zvezda71-74
27/12/20HIraklis106-74
22/12/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-89
20/12/20AHarilaos Trikoupis73-66
17/12/20HAlba Berlin92-69
15/12/20HReal Madrid93-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game74.680.769.1
Allowed / game78.374.281.9
Point differential-3.7+6.4-12.8
Avg total152.8154.9151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game80.181.578.4
Allowed / game83.179.887.2
Point differential-3.0+1.7-8.9
Avg total163.2161.3165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1915479%85.178.5+6.6
2 Barcelona1913668%81.273.6+7.6
3 Real Madrid1812667%82.377.7+4.6
4 Zenit Petersburg1711665%76.873.4+3.4
5 Bayern1912763%79.776.5+3.2
6 Olimpia Milano1912763%82.479.7+2.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%80.577.5+3.1
8 Olympiacos1810856%80.580.6-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes2011955%79.376.8+2.6
10 Valencia1910953%81.381.8-0.5
11 Fenerbahce1991047%74.678.3-3.7
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%79.778.5+1.2
13 Baskonia2091145%79.378.7+0.6
14 Alba Berlin2071335%77.083.6-6.6
15 Panathinaikos1861233%80.183.1-3.0
16 Crvena zvezda1861233%74.778.0-3.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1851328%74.880.8-6.0
18 Khimki M.2021810%78.690.3-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce31172626100
Panathinaikos1222211974
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