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Aris vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-93
20-23 16-24 25-25 14-21
Position#9
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game67.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Aris v Panathinaikos
01 Nov 2026
ARI101
PAO91
01 Feb 2026
ARI102
PAO95
17 Mar 2025
ARI73
PAO83
02 Jun 2024
ARI65
PAO80
13 May 2024
ARI68
PAO80
12 Nov 2023
ARI65
PAO75
09 Oct 2022
ARI69
PAO65
24 May 2022
ARI65
PAO85
03 Oct 2021
ARI81
PAO71
17 Jan 2021
ARI75
PAO93
15 Feb 2020
ARI81
PAO88
13 Oct 2018
ARI70
PAO84
10 Dec 2017
ARI70
PAO88
21 Nov 2016
ARI59
PAO71
28 Apr 2015
ARI56
PAO72
24 Nov 2013
ARI59
PAO75
15 Oct 2012
ARI56
PAO71
21 Apr 2012
ARI65
PAO88
14 Jan 2012
ARI68
PAO72
18 Mar 2011
ARI69
PAO75
09 Feb 2011
ARI74
PAO70
08 Nov 2009
ARI62
PAO70
13 May 2009
ARI53
PAO66
21 Mar 2009
ARI69
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 61
A24/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H10/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 61
H05/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 61
A09/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
50avg 61
A13/12
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
77avg 61
A16/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
67-84
67
84
-17
57avg 61
A20/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
68avg 61
H26/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
64-68
64
68
-4
54avg 61
A03/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
71-84
71
84
-13
26avg 61
H09/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
21-20
9-19
21-17
24-22
16-22
21-22
20-9
29-17
17-25
26-26
22-15
18-22
14-31
19-15
20-24
24-27
11-20
11-16
18-12
23-21
19-26
24-21
22-16
16-15
15-27
17-21
19-21
20-22
15-21
14-18
25-23
14-18
20-16
17-19
13-15
10-23
25-23
22-21
14-17
154.6Avg total
74.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.480.2154.6-5.830%
Season at home (4)80.081.5161.5-1.550%
Season away (6)70.779.3150.0-8.717%
Last 10 (10)74.480.2154.6-5.830%
Last 5 (5)72.880.8153.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.984.0159.9-8.133%
vs Similar (15)76.480.1156.5-3.727%
vs Weaker (2)75.079.5154.5-4.50%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 77
H17/12
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
A20/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 77
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
106-74
106
74
+32
110avg 77
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
71-74
71
74
-3
66avg 77
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
84avg 77
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
72avg 77
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
85avg 77
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 77
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
74-100
74
100
-26
65avg 77
A15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
14-14
27-20
26-17
19-12
18-16
18-19
18-19
12-21
18-20
22-18
29-30
31-22
21-27
31-15
23-10
15-22
22-26
9-9
25-17
19-9
23-22
17-33
23-28
16-26
19-21
19-29
23-13
24-18
19-19
24-25
13-13
25-21
20-21
25-18
18-11
12-31
22-17
21-26
19-26
162.3Avg total
82.4Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.467.9151.3+15.689%
Season at home (6)86.266.7152.8+19.5100%
Season away (3)78.070.3148.3+7.767%
Last 10 (10)82.479.9162.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)80.285.4165.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.988.1170.0-6.222%
vs Similar (10)78.381.7160.0-3.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.569.1151.6+13.591%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
ArisPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H10/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H05/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A09/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A13/12
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A16/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A20/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H09/01
Basket League
80.5Avg total
37.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.678.5-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.038.377.3+0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)37.042.479.4-5.424%-
Last 10 (10)37.043.580.5-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.477.8-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.240.676.8-4.425%-
vs Similar (15)38.540.579.1-2.040%-
vs Weaker (2)43.543.086.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H17/12
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A20/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
39.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.777.2-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.937.677.5+2.265%-
Last 30 away (13)36.840.076.8-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.379.7-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.080.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.241.278.4-4.022%-
vs Similar (10)36.241.477.6-5.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.834.175.9+7.791%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.615.6
49.4%
51.8%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.2
34.9%
35.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.517.0
75.6%
74.2%17.0
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.8
55.8%
51.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
35.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.715.2
81.3%
74.2%15.2
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLLWLLWWL
Panathinaikos
LWWLLLWLWW
#9
League position
#1
-9.7
Net rating
+3.5
100.6
Offensive rating
113.7
110.2
Defensive rating
110.3
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
36.8%
49.6%
Assist %
66.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 113.7Defence110.2 · 110.3Shooting50.6% · 55.5%3-point %34.9% · 36.8%Ball care20.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds24.0% · 34.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Aris   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
10
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
15/02/20Aris v Panathinaikos81-88
26/10/19Panathinaikos v Aris108-86
28/01/19Panathinaikos v Aris85-65
13/10/18Aris v Panathinaikos70-84
02/04/18Panathinaikos v Aris84-63
10/12/17Aris v Panathinaikos70-88
05/03/17Panathinaikos v Aris70-54
18/02/17Panathinaikos v Aris68-59
21/11/16Aris v Panathinaikos59-71
27/12/15Panathinaikos v Aris90-69
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/21HPeristeri71-84
03/01/21AIonikos64-68
26/12/20HKolossos Rhodes74-84
20/12/20AAEK Athens67-84
16/12/20ALarisa88-84
13/12/20APAOK64-75
09/12/20ALavrio71-92
05/12/20HPromitheas94-83
10/11/20HIraklis81-75
24/10/20AHarilaos Trikoupis70-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21AFenerbahce74-100
13/01/21HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
10/01/21HAEK Athens80-75
07/01/21HZenit Petersburg77-89
03/01/21ALavrio82-92
30/12/20ACrvena zvezda71-74
27/12/20HIraklis106-74
22/12/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-89
20/12/20AHarilaos Trikoupis73-66
17/12/20HAlba Berlin92-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game74.480.070.7
Allowed / game80.281.579.3
Point differential-5.8-1.5-8.7
Avg total154.6161.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game83.486.278.0
Allowed / game67.966.770.3
Point differential+15.6+19.5+7.7
Avg total151.3152.8148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos98189%83.467.9+15.6
2 AEK Athens118373%79.872.6+7.2
3 Lavrio107370%77.873.2+4.6
4 Promitheas96367%80.376.4+3.9
5 Peristeri117464%73.873.6+0.2
6 PAOK115645%79.281.1-1.9
7 Iraklis115645%70.575.4-4.9
8 Kolossos Rhodes114736%77.075.8+1.2
9 Ionikos114736%75.479.5-4.1
10 Aris103730%74.480.2-5.8
11 Larisa113827%74.580.2-5.7
12 Harilaos Trikoupis113827%72.579.3-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2016251475
Panathinaikos2324252193
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