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Valencia vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 88-82
16-13 29-16 14-23 29-30
Position#8
Record9-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#18
Record2-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game88.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v Khimki M.
23 Dec 2020
VAL88
KHM82
26 Jan 2018
VAL85
KHM83
08 Mar 2017
VAL92
KHM76
28 Feb 2017
VAL88
KHM82
17 Mar 2015
VAL75
KHM76
05 Mar 2014
VAL75
KHM59
03 Apr 2009
VAL73
KHM76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
100-90
100
90
+10
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
92-100
92
100
-8
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H20/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
17-26
26-21
31-22
32-22
19-29
19-19
30-20
21-27
29-24
15-32
27-17
21-16
9-15
22-6
16-24
12-16
27-17
21-32
12-20
19-23
21-15
14-22
22-14
15-27
19-13
21-21
31-20
25-16
27-23
24-26
20-20
22-20
14-25
21-12
16-19
14-22
28-21
18-19
29-16
165.8Avg total
84.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.381.1163.4+1.160%
Season at home (8)79.279.6158.9-0.462%
Season away (7)85.782.9168.6+2.957%
Last 10 (10)84.281.6165.8+2.670%
Last 5 (5)84.078.8162.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.282.7159.8-5.533%
vs Similar (11)85.085.1170.1-0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.878.4160.2+3.469%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H09/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A17/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
77-105
77
105
-28
H19/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A22/11
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#15
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A26/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A04/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H11/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A18/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
23-23
21-14
30-23
19-27
25-20
19-20
25-16
30-29
21-29
12-28
14-19
17-25
17-16
20-18
22-24
24-20
20-30
18-27
18-23
22-15
18-28
24-21
13-16
20-28
27-26
21-18
25-30
22-25
21-27
26-25
18-19
25-32
16-19
12-18
21-18
29-20
22-23
19-29
14-18
172.6Avg total
82.2Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.588.3167.8-8.913%
Season at home (7)81.990.1172.0-8.314%
Season away (8)77.486.8164.1-9.412%
Last 10 (10)82.290.4172.6-8.220%
Last 5 (5)83.091.0174.0-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.986.9165.9-8.017%
vs Similar (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (10)90.583.6174.1+6.980%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
ValenciaKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A01/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H03/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/12
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A16/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/12
ACB
82.1Avg total
40.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.079.7-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.141.180.2-2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.879.1-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.482.1-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.081.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.341.776.0-7.333%-
vs Similar (11)40.141.581.5-1.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.540.279.8-0.746%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H09/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H19/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/11
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A26/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A04/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H08/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H11/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A18/12
Euroleague
91.0Avg total
43.0Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.686.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.544.187.6-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)41.943.185.1-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)43.048.091.0-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)44.448.693.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.344.584.8-4.217%-
vs Similar (2)42.046.088.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (10)47.241.688.8+5.680%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.1
57.4%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.0
38.6%
38.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.314.8
80.9%
79.3%14.8
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.9
53.8%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
38.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.612.1
72.9%
79.3%12.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWWLWLWW
Khimki M.
LLLLLLLLWW
#8
League position
#18
+2.8
Net rating
-10.9
117.6
Offensive rating
108.3
114.8
Defensive rating
119.2
57.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.6%
3-point %
36.3%
71.1%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 108.3Defence114.8 · 119.2Shooting57.6% · 54.1%3-point %38.6% · 36.3%Ball care17.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Valencia   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
26/01/18Valencia v Khimki M.85-83
13/10/17Khimki M. v Valencia75-70
08/03/17Valencia v Khimki M.92-76
03/03/17Khimki M. v Valencia98-74
28/02/17Valencia v Khimki M.88-82
25/03/15Khimki M. v Valencia76-61
17/03/15Valencia v Khimki M.75-76
12/03/14Khimki M. v Valencia97-82
05/03/14Valencia v Khimki M.75-59
15/04/12Khimki M. v Valencia77-68
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/20HMurcia89-78
18/12/20ACrvena zvezda73-76
16/12/20AOlympiacos96-85
13/12/20AEstudiantes86-81
10/12/20HAnadolu Efes76-74
08/12/20HZenit Petersburg72-85
05/12/20AFuenlabrada68-61
03/12/20HAlba Berlin92-100
01/12/20ABarcelona100-90
27/11/20AFenerbahce90-86
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/20ALyon-Villeurbanne84-90
16/12/20ABarcelona74-87
11/12/20HCSKA Moscow87-96
08/12/20HOlimpia Milano93-102
04/12/20ABayern77-80
26/11/20AAlba Berlin80-100
22/11/20AUnics Kazan76-83
19/11/20HAnadolu Efes77-105
17/11/20AZenit Petersburg88-83
09/11/20HCSKA Moscow86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game82.379.285.7
Allowed / game81.179.682.9
Point differential+1.1-0.4+2.9
Avg total163.4158.9168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%12%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %13%14%12%
Points / game79.581.977.4
Allowed / game88.390.186.8
Point differential-8.9-8.3-9.4
Avg total167.8172.0164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1613381%84.477.2+7.1
2 Barcelona1611569%80.672.6+8.0
3 Real Madrid1611569%83.278.4+4.9
4 Zenit Petersburg149564%75.672.6+3.0
5 Bayern1610662%78.875.8+3.0
6 Olimpia Milano159660%81.379.8+1.5
7 Valencia159660%82.381.1+1.1
8 Zalgiris Kaunas169756%80.177.7+2.4
9 Anadolu Efes168850%77.377.9-0.6
10 Baskonia157847%78.175.3+2.8
11 Olympiacos157847%78.179.6-1.5
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv167944%78.677.9+0.7
13 Alba Berlin156940%77.083.6-6.6
14 Fenerbahce1661038%72.980.1-7.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne1551033%75.878.9-3.1
16 Panathinaikos1551033%80.484.1-3.7
17 Crvena zvezda1651131%75.078.8-3.8
18 Khimki M.1521313%79.588.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1629142988
Khimki M.1316233082
← all games of the day
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